Dynamo vs Dinamo Prediction 24 September 2026
🔊 This will be the third Dynamo derby in less than a month, and so far, Moscow have come out on top in both previous encounters. However, after their emphatic 4-1 victory in August, they couldn’t replicate that dominance-last time out in the league, the teams had to settle matters in a shootout. Both sides come into this clash with contrasting moods. Dynamo Moscow are returning to the ice after back-to-back heavy defeats, while Dynamo Minsk have finally snapped their losing streak and are riding the momentum of two consecutive wins.
From a dominant win to a shootout thriller
📊 At the end of August, Dynamo Moscow claimed victory in the first head-to-head, but in the league, the Minsk side came much closer to getting their revenge. The Muscovites took a 2-0 lead, only for Nicolas Aubé-Kubel and Vladimir Alistrov to level things up. After 65 minutes, the teams remained deadlocked at 2-2, and it was Moscow who prevailed in the shootout, converting twice while their opponents failed to score. As a result, both meetings this season have gone the way of Leonid Tambiev’s team.
Head-to-head statistics Dynamo - Dinamo
There are chances, but no goals.
After four straight wins, Moscow’s run was halted by two tough outings. First, the team failed to score against Amur despite firing 32 shots on target (0-4), and then managed just a single goal at home versus Barys, even with 38 shots on goal. The third period in that game was particularly telling: Dynamo outshot their opponents 16-3, but still conceded twice without reply during those 20 minutes. The hosts’ only goal came on the power play, courtesy of Nikita Korostelev.
The issue isn’t a complete lack of chances-Dynamo’s average expected goals (xG) remains at 2.94. However, their finishing has lagged behind: even during their four-game winning streak, the team averaged just 2.5 goals per game. Injuries have also started to pile up. Nikita Tertyshny and Egor Rimashevsky are both sidelined, with Rimashevsky out until the end of October. Meanwhile, Jordan Weal missed the last game as he had yet to return to Russia due to family reasons.
Match Results: Dynamo Moscow
Minsk finally break their goal drought
The start to the championship was rough-four straight defeats, the latest coming against Lada (2-4). But after that, Sergei Brylin’s side found a new gear offensively. Sibir and Avtomobilist conceded a combined nine goals to the Minsk club, with Nicolas Aubé-Kubel netting a hat-trick and Daniil Lipsky scoring twice. The power play also clicked: two goals from three opportunities against Sibir, and just one chance was enough to score versus Avtomobilist.
Back-to-back wins have lifted the mood ahead of the trip to Moscow, but not without some concerns. Against Avtomobilist, Minsk racked up penalties in the third period, and Sergei Brylin specifically pointed out that for the second game in a row, the team was penalized for too many men on the ice. Meanwhile, the defense has been active in joining the attack-Ty Smith is already up to eight assists. Sam Anas has missed the last two games due to a minor injury picked up in training.
Match Results: Dinamo Minsk
⚡️ Key Players
Dylan Sikura leads the way for Dynamo Moscow, tallying a team-high 7 points (1 goal, 6 assists) over eight games. He’s fired 27 shots on net but has converted just 3.7% of his attempts. Egor Rimashevsky managed 4 points (3 goals, 1 assist) in six appearances and took 22 shots, but the forward is now sidelined until the end of October. Jordan Weal has chipped in with three points (1 goal, 2 assists) from four outings.
For Dinamo Minsk, defenseman Ty Smith surprisingly tops the scoring chart with eight assists in six games, averaging 20:30 of ice time per night. Christopher Tierney is close behind with 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists). Sam Anas racked up six points (2 goals, 4 assists) in just four games, but he’s missed the last two contests due to injury.
🥅 Goaltenders
Vladislav Podjapolski has posted a .931 save percentage and a 1.56 goals-against average through five games. He’s picked up two wins and one loss, with two more games going to shootouts. The netminder also has one shutout to his name. Maksim Motorygin has dropped all three of his starts, stopping just 87.7% of shots faced with a 3.45 goals-against average.
For Dinamo Minsk, Zak Fucale and Vasily Demchenko have split time almost evenly. Fucale has logged 184:48 in net, turning aside 91.4% of shots for a 2.27 goals-against average. Demchenko has played 181:36, earning two wins and one loss, with an 89.9% save percentage and a 2.64 goals-against average.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
This matchup has seen six consecutive games finish with no more than five goals. That trend has continued into this season: the first meeting ended 4-1, while the second was decided only in a shootout. Scoring has been especially tough for Dynamo Moscow lately-seven of their last eight outings have featured five goals or fewer, and across their last two games they've managed just one goal from a combined 70 shots on target. Minsk have improved offensively, but the 5.5 line still gives us a cushion in what has been a low-scoring series. My pick: under 5.5 total goals.
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Betting Tips: Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk
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