Colorado vs Tampa Bay Prediction 24 October 2026
🔊 Four years ago, Colorado and Tampa Bay battled for the Stanley Cup, but they now head into their upcoming head-to-head clash in very different form. The Avalanche have already racked up 41 goals, yet they've also suffered five defeats in just ten games. The Lightning, meanwhile, have won seven of their nine outings, including a dominant road victory over Vegas last time out. Nikita Kucherov didn’t just play a key role in that win-he also matched Steven Stamkos for the most career points in franchise history. Now Tampa travel to Denver, where they'll face one of the most potent offenses in the West. Can the visitors keep their winning run alive, or will Colorado finally snap their losing streak?
Each side held serve at home.
📊 Last regular season, the teams split their head-to-head clashes. In November, Colorado edged out a 3-2 win on home ice, with Viktor Olofsson stealing the spotlight by netting a brace. Two months later, Tampa Bay struck back with a 4-2 victory, as Brandon Hagel scored the decisive goal in the third period. Notably, four of their last five encounters have seen at least six goals combined. Even factoring in November’s lower-scoring affair, the recent history between these sides suggests we can expect plenty of goals.
Head-to-head statistics Colorado - Tampa Bay
Scoring forty-one goals doesn't guarantee a win.
Colorado currently sit seventh in the Western Conference with 11 points. The Avalanche have picked up five wins and suffered five losses, and their offense has been firing-netting 41 goals in just 10 games. The real issue lies at the other end: Colorado have already conceded 31 goals. As a result, even their high-scoring attack hasn’t always translated into victories. Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas, and Cale Makar continue to create scoring chances, but in their last two outings, Colorado fell to Philadelphia (2-3) and New Jersey (3-4). Seven goals across those games weren’t enough to secure even a single positive result.
In Newark, the Avalanche once again found themselves chasing the game. After Luke Evangelista opened the scoring, Gabriel Landeskog leveled things up in the first period off a feed from Makar. That assist was particularly significant for the defenseman, marking his 300th career point at even strength. However, New Jersey regained the lead in the second period and stretched their advantage to three goals in the third. Scott Wedgewood made 37 saves for Colorado, but it wasn’t enough. In the closing moments, Artturi Lehkonen scored twice-his second coming with just five seconds left and Colorado skating with six attackers. The Avalanche cut the deficit to just one, but ran out of time to complete the comeback.
Match Results: Colorado Avalanche
Kucherov draws level with Stamkos, Vasilevskiy shuts down Vegas
Tampa have collected 14 points from nine games, sitting fourth in the Eastern Conference. With seven wins and just two losses, the Lightning boast one of the strongest starts to the season. They’ve scored 31 goals while conceding 23. Offensively, Nikita Kucherov remains a key figure, but Tampa’s scoring threat is far from limited to just one player. Brandon Hagel has already found the net seven times, and Anthony Cirelli reached the 150-goal milestone for his career in their latest outing. Andrei Vasilevskiy also continues to play a crucial role, setting a new personal season-high for saves in the game against Vegas.
The matchup in Las Vegas didn’t begin smoothly for Tampa. The visitors twice took the lead, but Vegas responded each time, with the opening period ending 2-2. The game shifted after the break. First, Kucherov set up an unmarked Cirelli in front of goal, and then the forward capitalized on a defensive error to complete his brace. Before the second intermission, Victor Hedman extended the lead to three, and in the third period, Kucherov converted a breakaway. That goal brought the Russian to 1,137 career points-matching Steven Stamkos’ tally with Tampa. Despite being outshot 34-21, the Lightning held firm as Vasilevskiy made 32 saves and kept a clean sheet over the final forty minutes.
Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning
Prediction for the 1st period
Colorado are prolific scorers over the course of a game, but they rarely come out firing in the opening twenty minutes. In their last five outings, the Avalanche have not managed more than a single goal before the first intermission. Tampa, meanwhile, held firm against Vegas, weathering a challenging start and gaining the upper hand after an even first period. So, despite Colorado’s overall offensive firepower, it’s far from certain they’ll strike twice early on home ice. The pick: Colorado individual total under 1.5 goals in the first period.
Match Result Prediction
Tampa have dropped just two games in their last nine outings, and they’ve avoided defeat in regulation in seven of their past eight. Colorado, on the other hand, enter this home fixture on the back of two straight losses. The Avalanche found the net in both contests but ultimately couldn’t overcome defensive lapses. The Lightning boast a potent offense right now, along with a goaltender capable of keeping them in games even when the opposition dominates the shot count. The pick: Tampa to avoid defeat in regulation at 1.67.
Total Goals Prediction
Tampa refuse to play it safe, even on the road. The Lightning have scored at least three goals in seven of their last eight outings, recently putting six past Vegas. Meanwhile, Colorado have conceded 31 goals across their last ten games, allowing opponents to find the net seven times in just their last two fixtures. With the Avalanche’s defensive struggles, Tampa’s potent offense look well-placed to extend their scoring streak. The bet - Tampa Bay team total over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69.
*Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Colorado are capable of putting three goals on the board and still coming up short. That’s exactly what happened in their recent clash with New Jersey, where the Avalanche nearly erased a three-goal deficit. Tampa, meanwhile, just showed how lethal they can be when converting chances: they put up six goals on just 21 shots on target against Vegas. Still, the Lightning have their own defensive issues-Vegas managed to equalize twice in the opening period of that game.
Recent stats point to another high-scoring contest. The over 5.5 goals line has hit in two of Colorado’s last three games and in four of Tampa’s last five. Head-to-head meetings tell a similar story: four of their last five encounters have featured at least six goals. The Avalanche have already scored 41 times this season, while the Lightning have found the net 31 times in nine games. Both teams boast potent attacks, and even with Vasilevskiy between the pipes, a high-scoring affair looks likely. My pick: over 5.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning
in 11 of last 12 away games (NHL).in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).in 12 of last 13 away games (NHL).
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