Vegas vs Tampa Bay Prediction 21 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ”Š Vegas are riding a three-game winning streak, outscoring their opponents 17-6 and showing no signs of offensive struggles. The Golden Knights sit atop the Pacific Division and now prepare to host Tampa Bay, who have also impressed early on with six wins in their first eight games. However, the Lightning have looked much more comfortable at home, claiming just one victory on the road so far. In Las Vegas, the visitors will face a real test of their current form against one of the league’s most prolific attacking sides.

    Two defeats last season

    πŸ“Š In last season’s regular campaign, Tampa defeated Vegas twice, netting eight goals while conceding four. However, their head-to-head clashes rarely lack for goals. Now, the hosts will look to snap their losing streak against the Lightning, especially given their current scoring form, which gives them every chance to seek revenge.

    Head-to-head statistics Vegas - Tampa Bay

    50%
    8 Wins
    50%
    8 Wins
    07.11.25
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    6
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1
    4
    26.10.25
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    24.03.25
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    4
    2
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    17.10.24
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    4
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    0
    20.03.24
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    5
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Seventeen goals in three games

    Under Ryan Craig, Vegas sit atop the Pacific Division and head into this home fixture riding a three-game winning streak. They cruised past Nashville (5-2) before putting six goals past both Calgary and Pittsburgh. Jack Eichel has been the driving force up front, already tallying 18 points (5 goals, 13 assists), while captain Mark Stone has also made a strong start to the season with seven goals. The Golden Knights are currently missing several key players-defensemen Alex Pietrangelo, Parker Wotherspoon, Lukas Cormier, and forward Victor Olofsson are all sidelined with injuries-but those absences haven’t slowed the team’s offensive output or creativity in front of goal.

    In Pittsburgh, the Knights asserted themselves early, scoring twice in the opening four minutes. Both attacks were initiated by Eichel and Stone, with defensemen Rasmus Andersson and Noah Hanifin finishing off the plays. Vegas later capitalized on a power play, and after Sidney Crosby pulled one back in the second period, the visitors responded with two more goals to stretch their lead to 5-1. The Penguins tried to mount a comeback, but the Golden Knights calmly saw out a convincing 6-2 victory. What stands out is Vegas’ composure in the offensive zone-the threat comes not just from their forwards but from defensemen joining the rush. Against Tampa Bay, a team equally adept at quick transitions, that could prove to be a crucial advantage.

    Match Results: Vegas Golden Knights

    18.10.26
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    6
    2
    3
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    W
    16.10.26
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Calgary Flames
    Calgary Flames
    6
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1
    3
    1
    W
    14.10.26
    NHL
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville Predators
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    2
    5
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    2
    W
    13.10.26
    NHL
    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota Wild
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    4
    2
    3
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    L
    11.10.26
    NHL
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Los Angeles Kings
    Los Angeles Kings
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
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    Undefeated at home

    Tampa have claimed six wins in their last eight games, firmly establishing themselves among the Atlantic Division frontrunners. Jon Cooper’s side have been perfect at home, winning all five games on their own ice, but have managed just one victory from three outings on the road so far. Brandon Hagel leads the way with 11 points (6 goals, 5 assists), while Nikita Kucherov continues to orchestrate the attack, already racking up seven assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy remains the first-choice goaltender, turning aside 88.6% of shots faced. The main injury concern is Yanni Gourde, who is still recovering from a hip injury. The Lightning now embark on a three-game road trip, with the first matchup set to be a significant test.

    In their most recent clash with Vancouver, Tampa found themselves in a tough spot, trailing 2-0. However, Kucherov sparked the comeback in the second period by converting on the power play and then leveling the score after Braden Point won a faceoff. In the third, Jake Guentzel put the hosts ahead before Pontus Holmberg sealed the 4-2 victory. The Lightning outshot their opponents 35-14 and won 62% of faceoffs. Kucherov fired seven shots on target and recorded his first brace of the season.

    Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning

    17.10.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver Canucks
    4
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    W
    15.10.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Seattle Kraken
    Seattle Kraken
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    W
    13.10.26
    NHL
    New York Rangers
    New York Rangers
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    L
    10.10.26
    NHL
    New York Islanders
    New York Islanders
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    5
    0
    2
    3
    1
    0
    2
    W
    08.10.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota Wild
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st period

    Head-to-head matchups between Vegas and Tampa Bay often get off to a high-scoring start. In eight of their last meetings, at least two goals have been scored in the opening period. The Golden Knights have seen a similar trend in six of their previous seven games. Given how aggressively the hosts tend to start and the attacking threat both sides possess, there’s every reason to expect early goals before the first intermission. The bet: over 1.5 goals in the first period at odds of 1.74.

    Match Result Prediction

    Tampa rarely lose by a wide margin. The Lightning have covered the +1.5 puck line in six of their last seven outings. They've also won six of their first eight games this season, and even after a rough start against Vancouver, they managed to turn things around. Vegas are in great form right now, but the visitors have what it takes to put up a fight. The pick: Tampa +1.5 puck line at odds of 1.41.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Vegas consistently manage to put at least three goals past Tampa. The Golden Knights have scored over 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight head-to-head clashes with the Lightning, including a six-game streak at home. Their offense is firing on all cylinders right now as well, having racked up 17 goals in their previous three outings. The pick here is Vegas individual total over 2.5 goals at 1.57.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    Vegas are averaging five or six goals per game, while Tampa Bay have just come back from a 0-2 deficit against Vancouver. Both sides boast powerful offenses, so it’s hard to expect a cautious, low-scoring contest here. The head-to-head stats also point toward a high-scoring affair: the total has gone over 5.5 goals in seven of their last eight meetings, including six straight in Las Vegas. The Golden Knights have seen the same outcome in six of their previous seven games, and the Lightning in three of their last four. The hosts are especially dangerous up front right now, but Tampa Bay can certainly keep up the pace. My pick: over 5.5 goals.
    Total goals Over (5,5)
    Odds-156
    Published: 19/10/2026, 21:14
    Artyom Ivanov
    Artyom Ivanov
    Hockey Expert
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    287 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning

    Vegas Golden Knights have not lost the 2nd period:
    vegas-golden-knightsin last 8 games (NHL).
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not won the 2nd period:
    tampa-bay-lightningin last 11 away games (NHL).
    2nd Period Vegas Golden Knights will not lose
    -227
    Vegas Golden Knights have not lost the 1st period:
    vegas-golden-knightstampa-bay-lightningin 10 of last 11 games against Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL).
    Tampa Bay Lightning have not won the 1st period:
    tampa-bay-lightningin 11 of last 12 away games (NHL).
    1st Period Vegas Golden Knights will not lose
    -256
    Vegas Golden Knights have not won the 3rd period:
    vegas-golden-knightstampa-bay-lightningin 9 of last 10 games against Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL).
    vegas-golden-knightstampa-bay-lightningin last 5 home games against Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL).
    3rd Period Tampa Bay Lightning will not lose
    -222
    Vegas Golden Knights have not lost the 3rd period:
    vegas-golden-knightsin 9 of last 10 games (NHL).
    vegas-golden-knightsin last 6 home games (NHL).
    3rd Period Vegas Golden Knights will not lose
    -233
    View more facts

    Vegas - Tampa Bay Table position

    Atlantic Division
    MPWLPPForm
    1.
    Boston Bruins
    Boston Bruins
    97234-1914
    2.
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    86225-2112
    3.
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa Senators
    96324-2312
    4.
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    95430-2512
    5.
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    94527-3410
    6.
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    84427-309