Amur Khabarovsk vs HC Barys Astana Prediction 19 October 2026
๐ Barys have been a pleasant surprise this season. The Astana side have dropped just one of their last six games, even managing to avenge their earlier loss to Sibir with an away win. Amur are also aiming for a top spot in the East, but their spirits likely took a hit after their most recent outing. The โTigersโ were ahead against Salavat Yulaev, yet still ended up on the losing side. Back in September, it was Amur who came out on top against Barys in Astana. Now, the Kazakh club will be looking to settle the score on Amurโs home ice.
The first victory came in Astana.
๐ Earlier this season, these two sides already went head-to-head, with Amur coming away from Astana with a 3-1 victory. The Khabarovsk club arrived in the Kazakh capital on the back of three straight losses but managed to snap that losing streak. Yaroslav Likhachyov put Amur ahead in the 10th minute, and Artem Shvarev doubled the visitorsโ lead in the second period. Garrett Pilon quickly pulled one back for Barys, but that was as close as the hosts would get. In the closing stages, Kirill Petkov sealed the win with an empty-netter. This marked Amurโs first victory of the season.
Head-to-head statistics Amur Khabarovsk - HC Barys Astana
Reliability faltered
In October, Amur are averaging just 1.7 goals per game, but their modest scoring is offset by a rock-solid defense. Over their last ten outings, the Khabarovsk side have conceded more than two goals only twice. Much of that defensive stability comes down to their goaltenders: Maksim Dorozhko boasts a 94.7% save percentage, while Aleksandr Trushkov has recorded two shutouts this month. This kind of performance keeps the โTigersโ firmly in the mix for the top spots in the Eastern Conference. However, injuries are complicating matters, with Galenyuk, Dergachyov, Krutov, Machulin, and Rykov all sidelined.
Yet against Salavat Yulaev, Amurโs trademark reliability vanished. By the 24th minute, Amur had raced out to a 3-0 lead with goals from Kostenko, Voynov, and Khrapov. For the veteran defenseman Vyacheslav Voynov, it was his first goal for the club. It looked as though the hosts would cruise to victory-especially since they were dominating shots on target (38:24). But Ufaโs side drew level before the second intermission and then grabbed the lead early in the third period. Aleksandr Andrievsky was forced to replace Dorozhko with Trushkov, but the change couldnโt prevent defeat. The 3-4 loss stung all the more given how confidently Amur had started the night.
Match Results: Amur Khabarovsk
They've learned how to win in a variety of ways.
Barys have not looked this sharp on offense in quite some time. In October, Mikhail Kravetsโ side are averaging 3.5 goals per game, even though their expected goals figure sits at just 2.7. The Astana club are making the most of their chances, outperforming the underlying stats. Take their clash with Avtomobilist, for example: Barys converted 15.4% of their shots on target and secured a 4-1 victory. Over their last six outings, the Kazakh side have suffered just one defeat. The only notable injury concern remains Dikhanbek.
But in Novosibirsk, Barys claimed victory in a completely different fashion. Sibir started the game on the front foot, generated several power plays, but could not find a way past Andrei Shutov. The visitors steadied themselves in the second period and bided their time until the third, when Mason Morelli tipped in Logan Dayโs shot for the gameโs lone goal. Shutov turned aside all 31 shots he faced, recording his second shutout of the season. Itโs especially telling that Barys had previously lost to Sibir (2-3), but managed to exact revenge this time around - and did so with just a single goal.
Match Results: HC Barys Astana
Prediction for the 1st period
In six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between Amur and Barys, the opening period has seen fewer than 1.5 goals scored. The Khabarovsk side typically rely on solid defensive play, while the visitors recently proved in Novosibirsk that they can patiently wait for their chances. The pick: Under 1.5 goals in the first period.
Total Prediction
Barys have scored at least two goals in nine of their last ten games. The 1-0 win over Sibir was the only exception, but overall, Astanaโs attacking output in October remains impressive. The pick here is Barys individual total over 1.5 goals.
โญ๏ธ Editorial Prediction
Barys are a far cry from their former underdog status this season. Under Mikhail Kravets, the team not only boasts an impressive attacking output but has also learned how to grind out results in tight, low-scoring contests. Their recent clashes with Sibir are a testament to this progress: after dropping the first game, the Astana side bounced back on the road, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Over their last six outings, Barys have suffered just one defeat and avoided losing in regulation five times. Amur remain a tricky opponent-Septemberโs win in Astana certainly favors the hosts-but after letting a three-goal lead slip against Salavat Yulaev, itโs hard to put much faith in Khabarovskโs defensive reliability right now. Given the current form of the visitors, they look the more trustworthy side heading into this matchup. My pick: Barys double chance in regulation (X2).
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Betting Tips: Amur Khabarovsk - HC Barys Astana
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