Buffalo vs Montreal Prediction

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The main thing
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
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    3
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    1

    ๐Ÿ”Š The series between Montreal and Buffalo has unexpectedly become one of the most high-scoring and emotionally charged matchups in the entire NHL playoffs. After six games, the teams are deadlocked at 3-3, setting up a decisive Game 7. The last clash in Montreal perfectly illustrated just how quickly momentum can shift in this battle. The Canadiens jumped out to a 3-1 lead in the opening period, only for Buffalo to respond with seven unanswered goals, cruising to a stunning 8-3 victory. Now, the series shifts back to Buffalo, where the Sabres will look to capitalize on Montrealโ€™s shaken confidence. Can the Canadiens recover from such a crushing defeat, or will the Sabres continue to impose their aggressive, free-scoring style of hockey?

    Head-to-Head

    ๐Ÿ“Š After six games in the series, both teams are delivering some of the most high-scoring hockey of this yearโ€™s playoffs. Montreal and Buffalo have combined for 45 goals over this stretch, averaging an impressive 7.5 goals per game. Montreal have found the net 24 times, while Buffalo have scored 21. During the regular season, these sides met four times, splitting the wins and each netting 13 goals, with an average total of 6.5 goals per game. However, the playoffs have seen the series open up significantly-both teams are struggling defensively under intense pressure and are quick to capitalize on each otherโ€™s mistakes.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    41%
    23 Wins
    55%
    31 Wins
    18.05.26
    NHL
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    17.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    3
    8
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    14.05.26
    NHL
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    3
    6
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    12.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    10.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    6
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    Empty
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    Buffalo Sabres Team Overview

    Buffalo delivered one of their best performances of the season just when they were staring elimination in the face. After a disastrous start and trailing 1-3, the team completely flipped the script, scoring seven unanswered goals. The nightโ€™s standout was Rasmus Dahlin, who racked up five points (1+4) and set several franchise playoff records in the process. Tage Thompson (1+3) was also outstanding, while Jack Quinn netted two power-play goals, and the newly formed line of Thompson - Norris - Benson dominated in both puck movement and possession. In terms of offensive output, this was one of Buffaloโ€™s most explosive games of the campaign-only their November clash with Chicago saw the Sabres score more, when they put up nine goals while conceding just three.
    Crucially, Buffalo once again showcased their top-level hockey when the pressure was at its highest. Lindy Ruffโ€™s squad consistently played with quick puck transitions, aggressive forechecking, and relentless intensity in the offensive zone. The Sabres looked especially dangerous on the power play, converting four opportunities. While Buffalo have shown greater confidence on the road throughout the series, the action now shifts back home, where theyโ€™ll be looking to maintain the same tempo and aggression that served them so well in Montreal.

    Match Results: Buffalo Sabres

    18.05.26
    NHL
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    L
    17.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    3
    8
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    3
    W
    14.05.26
    NHL
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    3
    6
    3
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1
    L
    12.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    6
    2
    1
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    L
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    Montreal Canadiens Team Overview

    Montreal endured a rough outing in Game 6 of the series, despite a brilliant start. By the 10th minute, the Canadiens were up 3-1 with goals from Arber Xhekaj, Ivan Demidov, and Jake Evans-the latter coming shorthanded. However, the momentum shifted completely after Alex Lyon was replaced by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen. Montreal started to make costly mistakes breaking out of their own zone, while Buffalo gradually seized control of the pace and movement. The defensive effort from the hosts was particularly troubling in the second and third periods, as they allowed the Sabres far too much freedom on secondary attacks.
    At the same time, this series has shown that Montreal can be a real threat when playing up-tempo, attacking hockey. The team leverages Demidovโ€™s speed, Nick Suzukiโ€™s movement, and constant support from their defensemen. Still, defensive inconsistency and frequent turnovers under pressure have become serious issues. In Game 6, Jakub Dobes conceded six goals on 33 shots, and Jacob Fowler was unable to provide stability after coming off the bench. Heading into the decisive game, Montreal need to be much more secure without the puck-otherwise, Buffalo will once again find plenty of open ice to exploit.

    Match Results: Montreal Canadiens

    30.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    6
    1
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    1
    L
    28.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    0
    4
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    1
    L
    26.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    L
    23.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    L
    22.05.26
    NHL
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    6
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Buffalo Sabres

    โŒ Buffalo will be without Noah Ostlund for the remainder of the second round after the forward suffered a lower-body injury. Ostlund managed to appear in three playoff games this year, tallying two points (1+1) with a plus-minus of +3. Sam Carrick also remains questionable as he continues to recover from an upper-body injury (hand) sustained in late March. The center has featured in just one playoff game so far and is considered an unlikely option to return during the current series.

    Montreal Canadiens

    โŒ Montrealโ€™s injury list still includes Patrik Laine. The forward is recovering from an abdominal muscle injury and has been skating in a non-contact jersey. However, his absence no longer feels like a major blow for Montreal-Laine has featured in just five games this season, posting only one point (0+1) with a -3 plus-minus rating. The team have long since adapted to playing without him.

    โšก๏ธ Key Players

    Buffalo are enjoying a stellar postseason thanks to the outstanding performances of Tage Thompson (5 goals, 10 assists) and captain Rasmus Dahlin (3 goals, 10 assists). Jack Quinn also stood out after Game 6, netting a power-play brace. Josh Norris and Zach Benson continue to put in a tremendous shift for the team as well.

    For Montreal, Lane Hutson (2 goals, 11 assists), Nick Suzuki (4 goals, 8 assists), and Cole Caufield (4 goals, 5 assists) remain their top point producers in this playoff run. Ivan Demidov has also played a crucial role in recent games, consistently creating offensive pressure with his pace and movement.

    ๐Ÿฅ… Goaltending

    Buffaloโ€™s situation between the pipes remains less than stable. Alex Lyon owns a .904 save percentage with a 2.59 goals-against average but was pulled in the first period of the last game. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen came in as relief, shutting out Montreal the rest of the way, but currently has a .875 save percentage and a 3.36 GAA.

    Jakub Dobes remains Montrealโ€™s primary netminder, having played 13 playoff games with 7 wins, a .906 save percentage, and a 2.59 GAA. Jacob Fowler replaced him in Game 6 but managed just a .500 save percentage and a lofty 7.16 GAA.

    Editorial Prediction

    After six games, itโ€™s clear that high-scoring, wide-open hockey has been the defining feature of this series. The teams have already combined for an impressive total of 45 goals, with the average game producing a remarkable 7.5 goals. Montreal have found the net 24 times, while Buffalo have scored 21 goals themselves. Even during the regular season, their head-to-head clashes were consistently entertaining: in four meetings, both sides tallied 13 goals apiece, averaging out at 6.5 goals per game.

    The series itself has been explosive-both teams constantly trade stretches of dominance, attack aggressively around the crease, and frequently struggle under sustained pressure in their own end. Game six was particularly telling: after trailing 3-1, Buffalo managed to completely turn the game around, scoring seven unanswered goals in a stunning comeback. Neither side has shown any inclination to sit back or play conservatively; defensive discipline has taken a back seat to relentless offense throughout the matchup. Given the overall tempo, the current form of both attacking units, and the inconsistency between the pipes, backing the over 5.5 goals line looks like a well-founded prediction here.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (5.5) at odds of -101*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (18 May 2026, 09:14)

    Betting Tips: Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens

    Buffalo Sabres have not won the 3rd period
    buffalo-sabresmontreal-canadiensin 6 of last 7 home games against Montreal Canadiens (NHL).
    Montreal Canadiens have not lost the 3rd period
    montreal-canadiensin last 5 away games (NHL).
    3rd Period Montreal Canadiens will not lose
    -238
    Buffalo Sabres have not won the 2nd period
    buffalo-sabresin 10 of last 11 home games (NHL).
    2nd Period Montreal Canadiens will not lose
    -238
    Montreal Canadiens have not lost (in regular time)
    montreal-canadiensin 6 of last 7 away games (NHL).
    Montreal Canadiens will not lose
    MyBookie
    -227
    Under 2.5 goals in the 3rd period
    buffalo-sabresin 7 of last 8 Buffalo Sabres games (NHL).
    montreal-canadiensin 16 of last 17 Montreal Canadiens games (NHL).
    montreal-canadiensin last 10 Montreal Canadiens away games (NHL).
    3rd Period, Total goals Under (2.5)
    -250
    View more facts

    Buffalo - Montreal Table position

    Eastern Conference
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina Hurricanes
    825329296-240113
    2.
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    825032288-241109
    3.
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    825032290-231106
    4.
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    824834283-256106
    5.
    Boston Bruins
    Boston Bruins
    824537272-250100