Tampa Bay vs Florida Prediction

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The main thing
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
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    5
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    🔊 The "Sunshine Derby" in the NHL regular season sees Tampa hosting Florida on their ice. The hosts enter this head-to-head clash in solid form, maintaining their position in the top eight of the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, the visitors have hit a truly championship stride, making a rapid push back into the playoff race since the start of December.

    Head-to-Head

    The rivals have already faced each other this season. In mid-November, Florida fell 1-3 on their home ice in Sunrise. The matchup was surprisingly subdued, with the teams combining for just 43 shots on goal. The winning goal came from forward Jack Finley, who is currently playing in the AHL.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    54%
    43 Wins
    43%
    34 Wins
    06.02.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    6
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    2
    1
    28.12.25
    NHL
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    16.12.25
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    2
    5
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    15.11.25
    NHL
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2
    04.10.25
    NHL Preseason
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    7
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Tampa Bay Lightning Team Overview

    John Cooper's squad navigated a challenging phase in early December, suffering four consecutive regulation losses. However, with Nikita Kucherov back in the lineup, the team managed to regain momentum, securing their spot in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. Statistically, they fully justify their status as one of the leaders: 104 goals scored against 83 conceded. No team in the conference has made fewer costly mistakes. A matchup against a fierce Atlantic Division rival comes at an opportune time and could vividly showcase the team's ambitions.

    Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning

    03.05.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    1
    2
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    1
    1
    0
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    L
    01.05.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    W
    29.04.26
    NHL
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    L
    26.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    2
    3
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    2
    W
    24.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Florida Panthers Team Overview

    The reigning Stanley Cup champions continue to operate with a significantly depleted roster. Due to various injuries, a number of key players remain sidelined for Florida. However, Paul Maurice has managed to find the right approach. The team has secured four wins in their last five games, bringing them closer to the playoff spots in the Eastern Conference. Despite this, the club's scoring ability still raises concerns. They've only managed to net 98 goals, which hampers their ability to compete equally with the favorites. Moreover, there are no internal resources available to improve in this area.

    Match Results: Florida Panthers

    15.04.26
    NHL
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    Detroit Red Wings
    Detroit Red Wings
    8
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    3
    0
    W
    13.04.26
    NHL
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    New York Rangers
    New York Rangers
    3
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    W
    11.04.26
    NHL
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    2
    6
    0
    2
    2
    1
    0
    3
    W
    09.04.26
    NHL
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa Senators
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    5
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    1
    L
    07.04.26
    NHL
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    4
    3
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    🏒 Projected Lineups

    Tampa: Johansson - Raddysh, Moser - Hagel, Cirelli, Kucherov

    Florida: Bobrovsky - Ekblad, Forsling - Reinhart, Lundell, Luostarinen

    🥅 Goalies

    Tampa's goaltender Jonas Johansson continues to stand in for his injured teammate Andrei Vasilevskiy, and it's fair to say the Swede hasn't been exceptional. The former Colorado player saves 90.4% of shots on average but occasionally makes costly errors.

    Florida's goalie Sergei Bobrovsky remains inconsistent this season. The Novokuznetsk-trained player is capable of a shutout one game and then completely collapsing in the next. On average, the Russian saves just 88.5% of shots, yet he has already recorded three shutouts.

    Editor's Prediction

    This derby, though lacking a long-standing history, is fiercely contested and emotions are bound to run high. Both teams are riding a wave of momentum and are determined not to drop points. In such a scenario, it's worth considering the factor of scoring potential. Notably, in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters in Tampa, at least 6 goals were scored. We believe this trend could very well continue. Our recommendation is a bet on over 5.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (5.5) at odds of -125*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (14 December 2025, 14:16)

    Betting Tips: Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers

    Tampa Bay Lightning have not won the 2nd period
    tampa-bay-lightningflorida-panthersin last 9 home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin 8 of last 9 home games (NHL).
    Florida Panthers have not lost the 2nd period
    florida-panthersin 8 of last 9 away games (NHL).
    2nd Period Florida Panthers will not lose
    MyBookie
    -294
    Tampa Bay Lightning scored under 1.5 goals in the 3rd period
    tampa-bay-lightningflorida-panthersin last 5 home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin 17 of last 19 home games (NHL).
    3rd Period, Tampa Bay Lightning Total goals Under (1.5)
    -278
    Under 2.5 goals in the 3rd period
    tampa-bay-lightningflorida-panthersin last 6 Tampa Bay Lightning home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin 12 of last 14 Tampa Bay Lightning games (NHL).
    florida-panthersin 8 of last 9 Florida Panthers games (NHL).
    3rd Period, Total goals Under (2.5)
    -222
    Tampa Bay Lightning scored under 1.5 goals in the 2nd period
    tampa-bay-lightningflorida-panthersin 11 of last 12 games against Florida Panthers (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin last 11 home games (NHL).
    tampa-bay-lightningin 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
    2nd Period, Tampa Bay Lightning Total goals Under (1.5)
    -286
    View more facts

    Tampa Bay - Florida Table position

    Eastern Conference
    gWLPPForm
    2.
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo Sabres
    825032288-241109
    3.
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    825032290-231106
    4.
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal Canadiens
    824834283-256106
    13.
    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey Devils
    824240230-25487
    14.
    Florida Panthers
    Florida Panthers
    824042251-27684
    15.
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    823250253-29978