Lada vs Barys Astana Prediction 16 September 2026
🔊 It took Lada five games to finally notch their first win of the season - just in time, as their home stretch continues. After four straight defeats, Pavel Zubov’s side desperately needed to get off the mark. Barys, on the other hand, started their campaign in far more impressive fashion, racking up two victories and 15 goals before Amur brought their run to a halt. These teams already sized each other up in a preseason clash this summer, with Barys coming out on top. Now, Lada will look to respond in an official matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 The most recent clash between these sides took place in the summer, with Barys claiming a regulation-time victory (2-1). Including that encounter, Barys hold a slight edge over the last five meetings, winning three times to Lada’s two. The average goal tally across those fixtures stands at 4.6 per game. However, in KHL play, Lada have enjoyed a strong run: they have avoided defeat in regulation against Barys in nine of their last ten head-to-head matchups, and have not lost at home in regulation for seven straight games.
Head-to-head statistics Lada - Barys Astana
Lada Team Overview
Four straight defeats have made for a tough start to the season for Lada. The Togliatti side managed to pick up points twice against SKA, but both contests slipped away in overtime. Their clash with Torpedo proved even more painful, conceding seven goals. Against this backdrop, their power play stands out: in their last two games, Lada have capitalized four times on the man advantage.
Their first win came against Dinamo Minsk. After a scoreless opening period, Riley Sawchuk broke the deadlock on the power play, and Nikita Setdikov converted another 5-on-4 chance in the third. Sawchuk then sealed the win with an empty-netter, recording back-to-back braces. After the match, Pavel Zubov didn’t look for complicated explanations, simply noting that the team had recovered. Altybarmakyan and Savchik remain sidelined with injuries.
Match Results: Lada
Barys Astana Team Overview
Barys opened their campaign with an offensive explosion, turning their first two games into high-scoring shootouts. The Astana side first put seven past Sibir, then followed up with eight goals against Salavat Yulaev. Four of those goals came on the power play. After just three games, Barys have already racked up 16 goals, with Justin Bailey tallying seven points.
However, their prolific attack finally hit a snag ahead of their first road trip of the season. Amur managed to hold Barys to just one goal, despite the visitors generating a higher expected goals total - 3.0 to Amur’s 2.0. In the third period, Barys kept Amur hemmed in their own end for extended stretches but couldn’t find an equalizer. The result: Barys suffered their first defeat of the season (1-3). Sarkenov and Shestakov remain sidelined through injury.
Match Results: Barys Astana
⚡️ Key Players
Riley Sawchuk has racked up seven points in five games for Lada - scoring five goals and adding two assists. Nikita Mikhailov follows closely with six points, all coming from assists. Nikita Setdikov has tallied five points, with one goal and four assists.
For Barys, Justin Bailey leads the way with seven points in just three games - three goals and four assists. Garrett Pilon and Mason Morelli have each collected five points; Pilon has two goals and three assists, while Morelli has one goal and four assists.
🥅 Goaltenders
Nikita Podskrebalin has featured in four games for Lada, notching one win and two losses. He has stopped 89 of 99 shots, posting an 89.9% save percentage with a 2.99 goals-against average. Andrei Mishurov has made two appearances, both ending in defeat, saving 41 of 47 shots for an 87.2% save percentage and a 3.59 goals-against average.
Hunter Shepard has started all three games for Barys, earning two wins and one loss. He has turned aside 77 of 86 shots-good for an 89.5% save percentage - with a 3.03 goals-against average.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
Earlier this summer, Barys managed to get the better of Lada, but their official head-to-head record tells a very different story. In nine of their last ten KHL meetings, Tolyatti have avoided defeat against Astana in regulation time. The streak is even more impressive at home - Lada are unbeaten in regulation across their last seven games against Barys in Tolyatti.
Right now, the hosts seem to be in a slightly better place than just a few days ago. After four straight losses, Lada finally broke through with a win over Dinamo Minsk, capitalizing on the power play twice. Barys, meanwhile, exploded for 15 goals in their opening two games but then managed just one goal against Amur and suffered their first pointless outing of the season. Picking a home win here isn’t straightforward, so we’ll play it safe and cover the draw as well. My pick: Lada (0) handicap in regulation.
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Betting Tips: Lada - Barys Astana
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