Dallas vs Florida Prediction 16 November 2026
🔊 Dallas Stars and Florida Panthers are gradually recovering from less-than-ideal starts to the season. Both teams are in playoff positions, but it is too early to relax. The Stars have picked up points in five of their last six games, while the Panthers have won three of their last four. Both also won their previous games, with each allowing no more than one goal. There is added intrigue from last season: Florida beat Dallas twice, including a heavy win in Texas. The Stars will now try to get revenge.
Two wins for Florida
📊 The teams met twice in last season’s regular season, and the Panthers won both games. In Florida, the teams scored three goals each before the winner was decided in a shootout (4:3). Dallas converted two of their three power plays but were outshot 22:28. The return game in Texas went even worse for the Stars. Florida won 4:0, Sergei Bobrovsky stopped all 15 shots, and Brad Marchand recorded three points (2+1).
Head-to-head statistics Dallas - Florida
Reaction to the thrashing
Dallas are gradually climbing the standings, although some games are still proving difficult. Glen Gulutzan’s team have failed to pick up a point only once in their last six games. That defeat to Winnipeg was a painful one, though (3:8). The Stars led by two goals after the first period and even had more expected goals than their opponents (4.7 to 4.4), but their defence fell apart. The Texans also lost to Columbus in a shootout in November (1:2). Injuries to defencemen Miro Heiskanen and Kyle Capobianco, along with the absence of Matt Duchene and Gavin Beck, have created further difficulties.
The team regrouped after the heavy loss to Winnipeg and beat Buffalo (2:0). Captain Jamie Benn was the key figure, scoring the game-winning goal and recording his 1,000th NHL point. Jake Oettinger posted the 20th shutout of his career, while Wyatt Johnston extended the lead with a power-play goal. The Stars’ improvement in discipline was particularly noticeable: they killed off all five of their opponents’ power plays and won 62% of faceoffs. Meanwhile, with defencemen sidelined by injury, Thomas Harley and Esa Lindell each spent more than 27 minutes on the ice.
Match Results: Dallas Stars
Wins without key players
Florida Panthers have won three of their last four games and returned to the Eastern Conference’s top eight. Their only loss in that stretch came against Boston (1-4). Paul Maurice’s team are playing without Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand, as well as the injured Jonah Gadjovich. The absence of those players has not stopped the Panthers from scoring regularly: they put four goals past both Columbus and St. Louis. Against Detroit, they even came back from three goals down to win in regulation.
Florida’s most recent game, against St. Louis, began almost perfectly. Brady Tkachuk scored on the power play by the seventh minute, and Dmitry Kulikov doubled the lead. The Panthers outshot their opponents 10-2 in the first period. Anton Lundell then put away a rebound from close range, before Sam Reinhart made it 4-0. St. Louis managed just one goal in reply, on the power play. Jacob Markstrom made 23 saves, Reinhart recorded the 700th point of his career, and Matthew Tkachuk extended his point streak to seven games.
Match Results: Florida Panthers
First-Period Prediction
Florida have scored at least one goal in the first period in 9 of their last 10 games. In their recent away games, they have averaged 1.67 goals in the first period. We pick Florida Panthers First-Period Team Total Over 0.5 Goals at odds of 1.59.
Total Goals Prediction
Over 5.5 goals has landed in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head games. Each of Florida Panthers’ last ten games has had over 4.5 goals, although that run alone does not support the higher line. Dallas Stars have averaged 3 goals scored and 3.38 goals allowed in their recent home games. We pick Over 5.5 Total Goals in the game at odds of 1.78.
Reliable Bet
More than 4.5 goals have been scored in each of Florida Panthers' last ten games. In their recent home games, Dallas Stars have averaged 3 goals scored and 3.38 goals allowed. We pick Over 4.5 Goals for the game at odds of 1.27.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Recent games between Dallas and Florida have not produced many goals, but the overall head-to-head record tells a different story. The teams have scored at least six goals in ten of their previous eleven meetings. The Stars have plenty of defensive problems, as their recent heavy defeat to Winnipeg showed, and the absence of several defencemen makes matters worse. Despite injuries to key players, Florida have scored four goals in two of their last three wins. So the opponents’ recent low-scoring games do not seem sufficient reason to rule out a high-scoring one here. My pick is Over 5.5 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Dallas Stars - Florida Panthers
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