Canada vs Sweden Prediction 15 November 2026
🔊 Nine days ago, Sweden’s women were already beaten by Canada before the first intermission. Now the Swedish side have a chance to get revenge in the World Championship semi-final, but first they will have to solve the problem that cost them the opening meeting.
Fell apart before half-time
📊 Canada beat Sweden 5-1 in the group stage of this year's championship, scoring three goals in the first period. However, Sweden then improved noticeably in defence and conceded only twice in the remaining 40 minutes. Interestingly, the teams' previous meeting at the 2024 World Championship also ended 5-1, while Canada won 3-0 in the 2022 quarter-finals.
Head-to-head statistics Canada - Sweden
Goals are drying up
Canada have won all five games at this championship, but their scoring has dropped against stronger opponents. After scoring nine goals against Japan and ten against Denmark, the Canadians managed just two against Finland and three in the quarter-final against Czechia (3:2). The last game is particularly telling: despite having the edge in play, Canada struggled to break down a compact defence and scored all three of their goals in the second period.
Match Results: Canada
Aiming to put things right
After losing their opener to Canada, Sweden won four games in a row, including a 4-1 victory over Finland and a 1-0 win over Switzerland in the quarter-finals. Since that game against Canada, they have conceded just one goal in four games. Goaltender Ebba Svensson Träff and an organised defence have been key to that success, although Sweden will have to withstand considerably more pressure against Canada.
Match Results: Sweden
Prediction for the 1st period
Canada scored in the first period of all four group-stage games, including the game against Sweden, in which they scored three goals. In that game, Sweden struggled with Canada’s activity in front of the net and made several serious defensive errors. Even if Sweden manage to avoid another poor start, Canada only need to convert one of their chances for the bet to win. Canada to score in the first period at odds of 1.33*.
Second-period prediction
In the first meeting, Canada scored only once in the second period, despite Sweden being shorthanded several times. Ebba Svensson Träff managed to prevent a rout in that period, and Sweden did not lose the second period in any of their next four games at the championship. Even if Canada build a comfortable lead before the first intermission, Sweden are capable of conceding considerably fewer goals as the game goes on. Sweden +1.5 handicap in the second period - odds of 1.44*.
Safer Bet
In games against their three toughest opponents in this tournament - Sweden, Finland and Czechia - Canada have not scored more than five goals once. Sweden's defence has improved noticeably since the opening game, and their goaltender has already shown that she can withstand sustained pressure from the favourites. Canada are quite capable of a convincing win without turning the semi-final into a high-scoring rout. Our pick is Canada Team Total Under 5.5 Goals at odds of 1.28*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
The first meeting between these teams at this championship ended with six goals, and a similar outcome is entirely possible. Canada could build a substantial lead in the first period, after which scoring may slow: in the second period of their previous game, the teams scored just one goal between them. Sweden could make the most of one of their few chances late on, but that is unlikely to prevent the favourites from holding on to a comfortable lead. Our main bet is Over 5 Goals. The correct-score prediction is a 5:1 win for Canada.
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Betting Tips: Canada - Sweden
in 7 of last 8 games against Sweden.in 8 of last 9 games (World Championship Women).in last 5 games.
in last 8 games against Sweden.in last 6 home games against Sweden.
in 7 of last 8 games.in last 8 games against Sweden.in last 6 home games against Sweden.in 18 of last 19 games (World Championship Women).in 10 of last 11 games.Other predictions
