HC Barys Astana vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk Prediction 15 November 2026
🔊 Metallurg Magnitogorsk continue their road trip and are looking to regain sole possession of the KHL lead. In Astana, they will play HC Barys Astana, who finally gave their fans a home win after an unsuccessful trip. The head-to-head record, however, is clearly not on the Kazakh club’s side. HC Barys Astana have failed to beat Metallurg Magnitogorsk in nine straight games and did not score a single goal in their first meeting this season. Can they put up a fight against one of the league leaders this time?
Three goals in ten minutes
📊 In the teams’ first meeting of the season, Metallurg Magnitogorsk took control against HC Barys Astana in the opening period. Makar Khabarov, Egor Korobkin and Nikita Mikhailis scored in the first ten minutes, and the score remained 3-0. It was Metallurg Magnitogorsk’s ninth consecutive win over HC Barys Astana. They have won seven of the last eight meetings by at least two goals.
Head-to-head statistics HC Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Turned the game around at home
HC Barys Astana returned to Astana after three straight away defeats. Still, Mikhail Kravets’ team have not defended as badly as the results might suggest. In their last six games, the Kazakh side have conceded more than two goals only once. Their weak point is the penalty kill, where they have stopped 78.7% of opponents’ power plays. In November, the Astana side conceded a power-play goal in three of their four games. Dmitry Nikolayev, who joined from Traktor, should provide help in goal. He has a 92.8% save percentage this season.
Against Admiral, HC Barys Astana made a good start thanks to Mason Morelli’s goal, but made two defensive mistakes late in the first period and fell behind. They did not turn the game around until the third period. Arkady Shestakov equalised, and Vsevolod Logvin scored twice, sending his second goal into an empty net (4:2). Andrey Shutov made 20 saves. Logan Day also deserves a mention: he assisted Logvin and reached 50 career KHL points.
Match Results: HC Barys Astana
Failed to hold on to the lead again
Metallurg are scoring plenty of goals, but they have regularly made life difficult for themselves in November. The Magnitogorsk side have averaged 4.5 goals across their last four games, yet won only twice. The third period is a particular concern: nine of the 15 goals they have allowed over that stretch came in the final period. Konstantin Shafranov’s team surrendered two-goal leads against CSKA and Avangard. Even so, their attacking potential gives them a chance to win despite difficult spells. Makar Khabarov and Daniil Vovchenko will miss the upcoming game.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk took the lead twice against Avangard. Nikita Korotkov opened the scoring, while Sergei Tolchinsky and Valery Orekhov helped extend the lead to two goals in the second period. After the intermission, however, Metallurg again struggled to cope with their opponents’ pressure. Michael McLeod cut the deficit, and Vasily Ponomaryov sent the game to overtime late on. Mikhail Gulyayev then secured a 4:3 win for the Omsk side. It was already the second game in November in which Metallurg had failed to hold a two-goal lead.
Match Results: Metallurg Magnitogorsk
First-Period Prediction
The first period ended with under 1.5 goals in each of Metallurg Magnitogorsk's last seven away games. However, in their recent home games, HC Barys Astana have averaged 1 goal scored and 2 goals allowed in the first period, so there is a clear risk to this bet. We pick First-Period Total Goals Under 1.5 at odds of 1.88.
Total Goals Prediction
More than 4.5 goals were scored in 9 of HC Barys Astana’s last 10 home games. Even the Over 5.5 Goals line was covered in 8 of Metallurg Magnitogorsk’s last 9 games; HC Barys Astana’s home games have averaged 4.11 goals this season. We pick Over 4.5 Total Goals for the game at odds of 1.45.
Reliable Bet
HC Barys Astana have scored more than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 14 home KHL games. They average 4.11 goals per home game this season, while Metallurg Magnitogorsk allow an average of 2.36 goals per away game. We pick HC Barys Astana Team Total Over 1.5 Goals for the game at odds of 1.45.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
HC Barys Astana have defended fairly well in recent games, but that may not be enough against Metallurg Magnitogorsk. Metallurg have averaged 4.5 goals over their previous four games, while Barys have regularly struggled on the penalty kill. The third period remains a problem for Shafranov’s team, of course, but the difference in the sides’ attacking capabilities is clear. Metallurg have also won nine head-to-head games in a row, with seven of their last eight wins coming by at least two goals. My pick is Metallurg Magnitogorsk with a -1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: HC Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk
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