Czech Republic vs Sweden Prediction

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The main thing
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    🔊 Perhaps the most underrated quarterfinal of the women's Olympic tournament. Yes, the Swedes cruised through Group B without a hitch and haven't faced seasoned opponents yet, but the Czech team doesn't seem like an obvious favorite either. Can the Swedes keep their hopes alive for their first Olympic medals in 20 years? Let's break down the match and offer a prediction for the game on February 13.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the past five years, the women's national teams of the Czech Republic and Sweden have faced off 15 times-11 victories for the Czechs and 4 for the Swedes. Notably, the last two head-to-head encounters at the Euro Hockey Tour ended in triumphs for the Scandinavians (4-1 and 3-1). At the Olympic Games and World Championships, Sweden, once formidable until the mid-2010s, have been unable to defeat their rivals since 2017.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    41%
    7 Wins
    53%
    9 Wins
    13.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    11.12.25
    Euro Hockey Tour, Women
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    05.11.25
    Euro Hockey Tour, Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    1
    4
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3
    30.08.25
    Euro Hockey Tour, Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    13.12.24
    Euro Hockey Tour, Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    3
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    Czech Republic (W) Team Overview

    Czechia arguably drew the most favorable opponent possible. While dreaming of facing Italy or Germany was out of the question, taking on recent medalists like Finland or Switzerland wasn't exactly a walk in the park either.

    Moreover, the Czech team has demonstrated their ability to overcome their rivals-during the group stage, they outplayed Finland (2-0) and secured a crucial point against Switzerland (3-4 SO). The European players fell to both USA and Canada with identical scores of 1-5.

    Match Results: Czech Republic (W)

    13.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    L
    09.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
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    4
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    L
    08.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Finland (W)
    Finland (W)
    2
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    0
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    W
    06.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    3
    4
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    1
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    1
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    05.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
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    3
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    Sweden (W) Team Overview

    The Swedish women steamrolled their opponents in Group B, demolishing Italy 6-1, and shutting out Japan and France with identical 4-0 victories, and defeating Germany 4-1. Including their games in the European Hockey Tour, the Scandinavians have now extended their winning streak to six matches.

    Sweden last claimed Olympic medals in Turin in 2006. However, since then, the Czechs have significantly improved, and the Swiss have become more formidable, so the challenges for the two-time Olympic medalists will begin as early as the quarterfinals. Considering the Swedes' efficiency during the group stage (11% conversion rate, with every ninth shot finding the net), they certainly have a shot.

    Match Results: Sweden (W)

    19.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Switzerland (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    16.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    L
    13.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    0
    2
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    W
    10.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Japan (W)
    Japan (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    W
    08.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
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    4
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    W
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    ⚡️ Leaders

    Natalie Mlynkova, with a tally of 3 goals and 1 assist, stands as the top scorer for the Czech team in the tournament and ranks among the leading goal scorers in the Olympic competition. Despite heavy defeats to Canada and the USA, she boasts a +2 rating, marking her as the most effective player on the national team.

    For Sweden, Thea Johansson (4 goals, 2 assists) and Hanna Olsson (2 goals, 4 assists) each collected six points, making them the most productive players in the group stage. Anna Kjellbin, with a +7 rating, ranks in the top three for efficiency in the tournament, while Lina Jungblom and Sophie Lundin secure their spots among the top three in faceoff success.

    🥅 Goalkeepers

    The Czech coaching staff has evenly rotated their goaltenders, Klara Peslarova and Michaela Hesova. Peslarova boasts a higher save percentage (92.5%) and a better goals-against average (2.50) compared to her counterpart.

    Sweden's primary goaltender, Ebba Svensson Treff, featured in three matches, conceding only twice. Her save percentage (96.4%) and goals-against average (0.67) are second only to American Erin Frankel.

    🏆 Winter Olympics Statistics

    • 1998 (Nagano, Japan): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 5th place
    • 2002 (Salt Lake City, USA): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 3rd place
    • 2006 (Turin, Italy): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 2nd place
    • 2010 (Vancouver, Canada): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 4th place
    • 2014 (Sochi, Russia): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 4th place
    • 2018 (Pyeongchang, South Korea): Czech Republic - did not participate, Sweden - 7th place
    • 2022 (Beijing, China): Czech Republic - 7th place, Sweden - 8th place

    Editorial Prediction

    While the Czech team battled against experienced opponents, Sweden breezed through the preliminary stage, clearly conserving more energy. We're not focusing on the Scandinavians' scoring throughout the tournament-after all, playoffs are a different ballgame entirely-but it's worth noting that Sweden have scored at least twice in 10 of their last 12 encounters against the Czechs. The Czech defense isn't as reliable (ailing Finns aren't a benchmark), so we're opting for Sweden's team total over 1.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Sweden (W) Total goals Over (1.5) at odds of -167*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (13 February 2026, 07:07)

    Betting Tips: Czech Republic (W) - Sweden (W)

    Sweden (W) have won (in regular time)
    sweden-2in last 6 games.
    Sweden (W) Win
    Everygame
    +185
    Czech Republic (W) have not won the 2nd period
    czech-republic-2sweden-2in last 7 games against Sweden (W).
    czech-republic-2in last 11 games.
    Sweden (W) have not lost the 2nd period
    sweden-2in 10 of last 11 games.
    2nd Period Sweden (W) will not lose
    -233
    Czech Republic (W) have not won the 1st period
    czech-republic-2sweden-2in 7 of last 8 games against Sweden (W).
    Sweden (W) have not lost the 1st period
    sweden-2in 22 of last 23 games.
    1st Period Sweden (W) will not lose
    -278
    Sweden (W) have not lost (in regular time)
    sweden-2in 9 of last 10 games.
    Sweden (W) will not lose
    -149
    View more facts

    Czech Republic - Sweden Table position

    A
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    44020-112
    2.
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    43114-69
    3.
    Czech Republic (W)
    Czech Republic (W)
    4127-144
    4.
    Finland (W)
    Finland (W)
    4133-133
    5.
    Switzerland (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    4035-152