Japan vs Sweden Prediction 11 November 2026
🔊 Japan must win their final group-stage game to reach the playoffs at the Women's World Championship. Of course, when the bookmakers put your chances at 2%, that sounds like an almost impossible scenario. Sweden need this game too: three points would guarantee them a top-two finish and a favourable seeding in the quarter-finals.
Head-to-Head
📊 Sweden and Japan have played six official games since 2022. While Japan won both games in 2022, Sweden dictated the play in the last four.
Japan (W) Team Overview
Japan failed to achieve their minimum objective, losing 3-2 in a shootout to World Championship hosts Denmark and all but losing their chances of reaching the playoffs. They now need to pull off an upset against Sweden, who are no longer the same side the Japanese women beat four years ago. Japan have conceded 20 goals and scored just four in their last three games, averaging 6.67 goals allowed and only 1.33 goals scored per game.
Match Results: Japan (W)
Sweden Team Overview
Sweden have done what they needed to do: they picked up important points against Finland, beat Denmark as expected and, just as predictably, suffered a heavy defeat to Canada. A win in their final game would guarantee the Swedish women second place and a favourable seeding in the playoffs. Across three games in the tournament, they have scored 15 goals and allowed six, averaging five goals scored and two allowed per game. In their most recent head-to-head game, Sweden claimed a convincing 4-0 win, underlining the difference in quality and level of play.
Match Results: Sweden
Risky bet
Sweden (W) scored no more than four goals in 6 of their last 7 World Championship games. At the same time, Japan (W) have allowed an average of 6.67 goals per game in the tournament. We cautiously pick Sweden (W) Team Total Under 4.5 Goals at odds of 2.4.
Reliable Bet
Fewer than seven goals were scored in 29 of Sweden (W)’s last 30 games. We’re choosing Under 7.5 Goals for the game as a reliable bet at odds of 1.3.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Both teams' statistics and form point to a clear advantage for Sweden, but the overall outlook for the game does not suggest an open, high-scoring affair. Japan have serious problems in attack and regularly concede plenty of goals. The trend towards a lower total is also backed up by the numbers: Under 6.5 Goals has landed in 6 of Sweden's last 7 games.Even when the favourites dominate, the scoreline often remains modest, as Sweden are reliable defensively and Japan are rarely able to keep up a high tempo. Based on both teams' goals scored and allowed, as well as the consistent trend towards a lower total, the editors' pick is Under 6.5 Goals. The correct score prediction is 4-0 to Sweden.
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Betting Tips: Japan (W) - Sweden
in 7 of last 8 games.
in 22 of last 23 games.in last 8 games (World Championship Women).in 11 of last 12 games.
in 7 of last 8 games.in last 6 games.Other predictions
