Dynamo vs SKA St. Petersburg Prediction 11 October 2026
๐ Not long ago, SKA were riding a four-game winning streak, but now the St. Petersburg side are struggling defensively. They have conceded 20 goals in their last four outings, even though their offense continues to deliver. Dynamo Moscow find themselves in an even tougher spot: eight losses in their last nine games have pushed the Blue-and-Whites out of the playoff picture. The two teams already met back in September, when Dynamo squandered a two-goal lead. Can Dynamo claim revenge on home ice, or will SKA once again capitalize on their opponentโs mistakes?
Two goals proved to be not enough
๐ The first meeting between these sides in the current campaign was a high-scoring affair, with SKA claiming a 5-3 victory. Dynamo made a strong start as Nick Merkley opened the scoring and Egor Rimashevsky doubled the visitorsโ lead. However, SKA turned the game around in the second period, with Andrei Pedan netting twice and Sergei Plotnikov adding another. In the final twenty minutes, Vasily Atanasov extended the hostsโ advantage, Rimashevsky responded with his second of the night, but Plotnikov had the final say to seal the win for SKA.
Head-to-head statistics Dynamo - SKA St. Petersburg

Defeats have become a regular occurrence.
Dynamo have lost eight of their last nine games and have slipped to ninth place in the Western Conference with just 12 points. In October, the Moscow side fell to Torpedo, suffered back-to-back defeats against CSKA, and also lost to the Shanghai Dragons, failing to snap their losing streak. The main issue for Leonid Tambievโs team is their offense, which averages just 1.9 goals per game-one of the lowest marks in the league. To make matters worse, Yegor Rimashevsky and Tertyshny will miss the upcoming fixture due to injury, further limiting the coaching staffโs options for lineup changes.
The most recent Moscow derby against CSKA once again underlined how costly Dynamoโs own mistakes have become. The Blue-and-Whites took three bench minors for too many men on the ice, while their rivals capitalized on three power plays to secure a 5-2 victory. Pavel Shen and Nick Merkley managed to cut the deficit, but each time Dynamo were forced to chase the Red Army club, who took full advantage of their opportunities. CSKA converted 13.9% of their shots, while Dynamo, even with the man advantage, failed to mount a real comeback in the third period.
Match Results: Dynamo Moscow

Attack canโt make up for defensive shortcomings
SKA are also navigating a challenging stretch, despite recently stringing together four consecutive wins under Igor Larionov. Earlier in October, the St. Petersburg side edged Admiral in a shootout (6-5 SO), but even in that victory, they allowed their opponents to level the score with just four minutes left on the clock. That was followed by back-to-back defeats to Severstal (2-5) and Dinamo Minsk (2-4), with the Army Men conceding a total of 20 goals over their last four outings. On the attacking front, however, SKA remain productive-averaging 3.5 goals per game over the same span-even with Bardakov, Weissbach, and Murphy sidelined, and Scott Wilson's availability still in doubt.
In Minsk, SKA twice took the lead or pulled level, but ultimately fell 2-4 to the local Dinamo. Matvei Korotky opened the scoring in the first period, and Sergei Plotnikov netted his ninth goal of the season. However, a pair of penalties in the second period allowed the hosts to capitalize twice on the power play. Just ten seconds into the third, SKA conceded again, and a defensive miscue soon after led to Dinamoโs fourth tally. SKA outshot their opponents 34-30, but ten penalty minutes and two shorthanded goals against wiped out any advantage they had in shot volume.
Match Results: SKA St. Petersburg
Prediction for the 1st period
Dynamo Moscow have consistently started strong against SKA, dominating the opening twenty minutes in their recent head-to-head clashes. The Blue-and-Whites have avoided defeat in the first period in 14 of their last 15 meetings, including a seven-game streak at home. Even with Dynamoโs current struggles, the stats in this matchup remain compelling-especially as SKA have shown defensive lapses of late. Our pick: Dynamo to avoid defeat in the first period (1X).
Total Prediction
Scoring efficiency remains a major concern for Dynamo in the early stages of the season. In nine of their last ten home games, the Moscow side have failed to score more than two goals, averaging just 1.9 goals per game so far this campaign. Even factoring in SKAโs defensive struggles, itโs hard to expect a sudden surge in Dynamoโs offensive output. Our pick: Dynamo Under 2.5 Goals (Individual Total).
Match Outcome Prediction
When Dynamo host SKA, they often fare better than on the road. In seven of their last eight head-to-head clashes in Moscow, Dynamo have avoided defeat in regulation against the St. Petersburg side. With both teams currently experiencing rough patches, Dynamoโs strong home record in this matchup stands out as a key factor for a cautious pick. Our suggestion: Dynamo double chance (1X) in regulation.