Ottawa vs Montreal Prediction 11 March 2026
🔊 Ottawa and Montreal head into their matchup riding impressive scoring streaks. The Senators are on the brink of securing a wild card spot, while the Canadiens are battling for a top-3 finish in the Eastern Conference. Let's break down the scenarios and trends ahead of this NHL regular-season clash and offer a prediction for the game.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Ottawa and Montreal have clashed ten times, with both the Senators and the Canadiens securing five wins each. The Senators have scored at least three goals in their last five head-to-head encounters.
Head-to-head statistics Ottawa - Montreal

Ottawa Senators Team Overview
Heading into their home game, Ottawa are riding a seven-game point streak, including a three-game winning run with victories over the Calgary Flames (4-1), Seattle Kraken (7-4), and Vancouver Canucks (2-0). These consecutive wins have brought the Senators within five points of the top eight in the Eastern Conference, with a game in hand.
Their only home game since the NHL season resumed saw Travis Green's squad fall to the Detroit Red Wings in overtime (2-1 OT). At the Canadian Tire Centre, the Senators have been solid defensively, allowing just 81 goals (an average of 2.79 per game).
A few days ago, the team suffered a setback with an injury to their highest-scoring defenseman and fourth-leading scorer this season, Jake Sanderson. He is expected to return by the end of March. In the last game, Nicolas Matinpalo filled his spot on the roster, while Thomas Chabot took his place on the top defensive pairing.
Match Results: Ottawa Senators

Montreal Canadiens Team Overview
The Canadiens are on an impressive point streak, having secured at least one point in 10 of their last 11 games. Recently, Martin St. Louis' squad defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs at home (3-1), climbing back into the top four of the Eastern Conference. They're just one win away from both a top-three spot and the eighth position.
On the road, Montreal alternates between wins and losses, with their last back-to-back away victories coming in early January. Nevertheless, with a points percentage of 65.6% in away games, the Canadiens hold the second position among Eastern teams, showcasing the best scoring average with 3.66 goals per game.
Cole Caufield has a minor injury but is expected to return for the upcoming away game in Canada's capital. Patrick Laine is also set to return early next week, having been sidelined since mid-October. In their last game, the coaches experimented with pairing Lane Hutson and Kaiden Guhle as the top defensive duo.
Match Results: Montreal Canadiens
⚡️ Leaders
Among the top 20 scorers of the season is Ottawa's forward Tim Stützle, who has racked up 68 points (30 goals, 38 assists) in 63 games. Including games before the break, the German forward has recorded points in 13 consecutive games. Brady Tkachuk has been slightly less prolific, scoring in seven straight games.
On one of the NHL's highest-scoring teams, standout performances come from the team's top scorer Nick Suzuki with 74 points (21 goals, 53 assists), leading goal-scorer Cole Caufield with 37 goals, and primary playmaker Lane Hutson with 54 assists. Jake Evans and Lane Hutson have both picked up points in five of six games since the break.
🥅 Goaltenders
Linus Ullmark continues to shoulder the main goaltending duties for the Senators. In five games post-break, the Swede has a save percentage of just 88.4% with a goals-against average of 2.78. In Vancouver, James Reimer recorded his first shutout of the season, stopping all 16 shots from the Canucks.
Jakub Dobes has been between the pipes for the Canadiens in four games following the break, posting an 89.4% save percentage with a goals-against average of 3.03. Dobes has delivered two consecutive games with a save percentage above 90% for the first time since the Christmas break. His backup, Sam Montembeault, has allowed nine goals in two games and has an 84.7% save percentage.
Editorial Prediction
Despite the teams' recent low-scoring games, head-to-head matchups between these two Canadian clubs have been high-scoring affairs over the past two seasons-each of their six regular-season games featured at least six goals. Considering that Montreal have followed this trend in their last nine away games, our editorial choice is over 5.5 goals in the game.