Dallas vs Vegas Prediction 11 March 2026
🔊 Dallas, who have extended their point streak to 12 games, are set to host Vegas, who have slipped from the upper echelons of the Western Conference playoff zone. The Golden Knights' goaltenders have been quite inconsistent since the break, with the team conceding nearly four goals per game on average. Can Dallas capitalize on the shaky defense and goaltending of their opponents? We delve into this NHL regular-season matchup and offer our editorial prediction for the game.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Dallas and Vegas have faced off seven times in the regular season: the Stars have claimed victory in three games, while the Golden Knights have won four. Notably, Dallas have triumphed in the last three encounters, and Vegas have managed to score at least three goals against their opponents in five consecutive games. In 2024, the teams met in the first round of the playoffs, with Dallas prevailing in a seven-game series (4-3).
Head-to-head statistics Dallas - Vegas
Dallas Stars Team Overview
Heading into the game against Vegas, Glen Gulutzan's squad rides a 12-game point streak. During February and March, the Stars put together a ten-game winning streak, the best in franchise history. Dallas' last two games went beyond regulation-they fell to the Colorado Avalanche (5-4 SO) and edged out the Chicago Blackhawks (4-3 OT). The Stars hold the second spot in the Western Conference, trailing the leader by seven points.
On home ice, Dallas has earned points in eight consecutive games. This impressive run has solidified their position in the top four for home points percentage (70.0%), showcasing one of the league’s best defenses-allowing just 2.70 goals per game on average at the American Airlines Center.
Roope Hintz made a brief return only to be sidelined again due to a lower-body injury. The Finnish forward had missed several weeks and is back on the injured list alongside Mikko Rantanen, Radek Faksa, and Tyler Seguin. Ilya Lyubushkin missed the last game, with Tyler Myers stepping in on the third pairing.
Match Results: Dallas Stars
Vegas Golden Knights Team Overview
Vegas have lost 5 of their last 6 games, and in the last two matchups, they fell 2-4 to both the Minnesota Wild and the Edmonton Oilers. These two defeats have seen the Golden Knights drop in the standings, with the Anaheim Ducks and Utah Mammoth overtaking them, pushing Vegas down to sixth place in the Western Conference.
On the road, the Knights have struggled to string together consecutive wins since mid-January, losing 7 out of 10 away games during this stretch. Bruce Cassidy's squad has a concerning away record, averaging 3.03 goals scored while conceding 3.09 per game. For six consecutive road games, Vegas have allowed at least three goals.
In March, injured Mark Stone has been absent from play, and preliminary reports suggest he will also miss the game in Texas. Reilly Smith was left out of the lineup for the last game, with Brett Howden stepping in. Nick Dowd, who recently joined from the Washington Capitals, has yet to register a point in his two appearances.
Match Results: Vegas Golden Knights
⚡️ Leaders
Three Dallas players have made their way into the NHL's top 20 scorers this season. Jason Robertson has tallied 74 points (34 goals, 40 assists), Mikko Rantanen has 69 (20 goals, 49 assists), and Wyatt Johnston has posted 67 (34 goals, 33 assists). Robertson has consistently delivered by scoring two points in four out of five March games, while Johnston has mirrored this performance with two points in four of his last six outings. Mavrik Bourque has also been on a roll, finishing four consecutive games with points (2 goals, 4 assists).
For Vegas, the leading point-getters are Jack Eichel with 71 points (22 goals, 49 assists) and Mitchell Marner with 65 (18 goals, 47 assists). The Canadian has been on a streak, registering points in his last three matches (2 goals, 4 assists). Pavel Dorofeyev has been productive as well, scoring in eight of his last ten games (6 goals, 5 assists).
🥅 Goaltenders
Following the break, Dallas's goaltenders have shared ice time equally. Jake Oettinger has allowed seven goals over three games with a save percentage of 90.0%, while Casey DeSmith has conceded five goals in three games, boasting a slightly higher save percentage at 91.5%.
Vegas's netminders have also split time fairly evenly. Adin Hill has struggled since returning to action, giving up 15 goals across four games with a save percentage of 82.4%. Akira Schmid's numbers are somewhat better, with ten goals allowed in three matches and a save percentage of 87.8%.
Editorial Prediction
Vegas have struggled defensively since the break, conceding at least three goals in each of their last seven games. Meanwhile, Dallas have found the back of the net at least three times in 11 of their last 12 outings. In their last three head-to-head encounters, both teams have put on a scoring display, but the Stars have consistently scored three or more goals against their opponents each time. There's little evidence to suggest Vegas can halt the potent Stars' offense at this point. Our pick is Dallas Stars to score over 2.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Dallas Stars - Vegas Golden Knights
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