Canada vs USA Prediction

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The main thing
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
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    🔊 The main showdown of the women's ice hockey tournament at the Olympic Games is here! The North American teams are highly likely to clash in the final match next week, but first, they will have a rehearsal in the group stage. Who will secure the top spot after this encounter? We break down the Group A match and offer a prediction for the game on February 10.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the past five years, the teams have faced off 33 times (averaging more than six meetings per year), including both official and friendly matches. Canada emerged victorious in 19 of those encounters, while the USA triumphed in 14. Notably, Canada has lost the last six meetings against the US.

    In official tournaments (the Olympics, World Championships, and the Euro Hockey Tour), Canada and the USA have clashed 13 times since 2021: the "Maple Leafs" claimed victory in 7 matches, while the "Stars and Stripes" took 6. At the 2022 Olympics, Canada defeated the USA in both the group stage (4-2) and the final match (3-2).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    43%
    21 Wins
    57%
    28 Wins
    19.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    10.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    14.12.25
    International Friendly Games, Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    1
    4
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    11.12.25
    International Friendly Games, Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    4
    10
    1
    4
    3
    2
    0
    4
    08.11.25
    International Friendly Games, Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    6
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    4
    0
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    Canada (W) Team Overview

    Due to the rescheduling of their match against Finland because of a virus affecting the Scandinavian team, Canada have only managed to play two games so far in the current Olympics. Troy Ryan's squad faced no difficulties in either, dominating Switzerland (4-0) and Czech Republic (5-1). With six points, the Canadian team sit in second place-victory over the USA would secure them the top spot in Group A.

    Julia Gosling emerged as Canada's top scorer after netting a brace against the Czechs, tallying three goals overall. Claire Thompson holds the title of top playmaker with three assists (0+3). Both Sarah Fillier (2+1) and Daryl Watts (1+2) have also recorded three points each.

    Match Results: Canada (W)

    19.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    L
    16.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    1
    W
    14.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    Germany (W)
    Germany (W)
    5
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1
    W
    12.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Finland (W)
    Finland (W)
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2
    W
    10.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    L
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    USA (W) Team Overview

    The Americans, like the Canadians, remain unbeaten, having dominated Czechia (5-1), Finland (5-0), and Switzerland (5-0). Regardless of the outcome against Canada, John Wroblewski's squad has already secured a spot in the quarterfinals, where they will face one of the Group B teams: Italy, Germany, or Japan.

    Alex Carpenter has been on the scoresheet in each of the three matches, with a tally of 3 goals and 2 assists, keeping her among the tournament's top scorers. Caroline Harvey, Megan Keller, and Laila Edwards, each with three assists, are in the race for the title of top playmaker. Goalie Erin Frankel has conceded just one goal over two games.

    Match Results: USA (W)

    19.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    W
    16.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Sweden (W)
    Sweden (W)
    5
    0
    1
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    W
    13.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    Italy (W)
    Italy (W)
    6
    0
    1
    0
    5
    0
    0
    0
    W
    10.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    W
    09.02.26
    Olympic Games Women
    Switzerland (W)
    Switzerland (W)
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    0
    5
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    3
    W
    Empty
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    🏆 Winter Olympics Statistics

    • 1998 (Nagano, Japan): Canada - 2nd place, USA - 1st place
    • 2002 (Salt Lake City, USA): Canada - 1st place, USA - 2nd place
    • 2006 (Turin, Italy): Canada - 1st place, USA - 3rd place
    • 2010 (Vancouver, Canada): Canada - 1st place, USA - 2nd place
    • 2014 (Sochi, Russia): Canada - 1st place, USA - 2nd place
    • 2018 (Pyeongchang, South Korea): Canada - 2nd place, USA - 1st place
    • 2022 (Beijing, China): Canada - 1st place, USA - 2nd place

    Editorial Prediction

    Friendly matches shouldn't be used as a benchmark for head-to-head records, as North American teams tend to be more focused in official competitions. For instance, at the Olympics in the 21st century, Canada have never lost in regulation time-a streak that has now reached 34 games. There’s no reason for concern, so we predict that Canada will not lose in regulation time.

    Our choice
    Canada (W) will not lose at odds of -132*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 February 2026, 08:16)

    Betting Tips: Canada (W) - USA (W)

    USA (W) have won the 3rd period
    usa-2in last 7 games.
    usa-2in last 6 games (Olympic Games Women).
    3rd Period USA (W) Win
    -114
    Canada (W) have won (in regular time)
    canada-2in last 9 games (Olympic Games Women).
    Canada (W) Win
    Everygame
    +275
    USA (W) have won (in regular time)
    usa-2in 13 of last 14 games.
    USA (W) Win
    Everygame
    -154
    Canada (W) have won the 1st period
    canada-2in 8 of last 9 games (Olympic Games Women).
    1st Period Canada (W) Win
    +320
    View more facts

    Canada - USA Table position

    Group A
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    Canada (W)
    Canada (W)
    33011-29
    2.
    USA (W)
    USA (W)
    3219-36
    3.
    Finland (W)
    Finland (W)
    3127-83
    4.
    Russia W (Olympic) (W)
    Russia W (Olympic) (W)
    3031-150