Calgary vs Colorado Prediction 9 October 2026
🔊 Calgary have opened the season with three straight defeats, each game ending in disappointment. The Flames have managed just three goals while conceding 16, and now return home after a heavy 1-6 loss to Seattle. Colorado also come into this matchup off a defeat, but the Avalanche's start paints a very different picture: two wins, 16 goals in three games, and they were just a minute away from picking up points in Winnipeg before conceding late. Last season, this head-to-head was also a tough one for Calgary-Colorado claimed victory in all three meetings.
Three games, three wins for Colorado
📊 Last regular season, Calgary never managed to find a way past the Avalanche. The toughest clash came at the end of March, when Colorado routed their opponents on home ice with a commanding 9-2 victory. Just ten days later, the teams met again in Denver, and this time the Avalanche settled for a 3-1 win. The final meeting of the season took place in Calgary, but the change of venue did nothing to alter the outcome-Colorado once again prevailed 3-1, sweeping the season series 3-0. Over those three encounters, the Avalanche outscored the Flames by a combined margin of 15-4.
Head-to-head statistics Calgary - Colorado
Three games, just three goals.
The start of the season has been rough for Calgary. Ryan Huska’s side have suffered consecutive defeats to Seattle (1-6), Vancouver (1-4), and again to Seattle (1-6), conceding an average of 5.3 goals per game. Offensively, the Flames are generating an average of 2.7 expected goals per match, yet they haven’t managed to score more than once in any outing so far. Their shooting percentage stands at just 3.7%, with the power play being one of the few bright spots-converting two of five opportunities.
Despite the most recent 1-6 loss, the underlying numbers suggest it wasn’t as one-sided as the scoreline indicates. Calgary outshot Seattle 33-27, held a 34-26 edge in five-on-five scoring chances, and led 14-13 in high-danger opportunities. Still, trouble struck early: by the eighth minute, the Flames already trailed 0-3, and their lone goal came from Morgan Frost on the power play with only 5:35 left on the clock. Following this poor run, Aidar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna were called up from Calgary Wranglers, while Jonathan Huberdeau remains sidelined through injury.
Match Results: Calgary Flames
After conceding 14 goals, they had to change their approach.
Colorado turned their first two games into a real shootout. The Avalanche opened the season by outgunning Los Angeles 8-4, then routed St. Louis 6-1, with Nathan MacKinnon picking up three assists in the second outing. Over those two matchups, the team converted four of their nine power play opportunities-a 44.4% success rate. Their offensive output dipped in Winnipeg, but even after a 3-2 defeat, Colorado have racked up 16 goals through three games.
The contest against the Jets unfolded differently. Colorado came out flying, outshooting the hosts 17-6 in the opening period, but couldn’t find the net before intermission. Jaden Schwartz and Fedor Svechkov both scored their first goals for the Avalanche-Svechkov tying things up in the third-but with just a minute left in regulation, Kyle Connor netted the winner for Winnipeg. MacKenzie Blackwood recorded 16 saves, Colorado’s penalty kill shut down both Jets power plays, and Logan O’Connor remains sidelined through injury.
Match Results: Colorado Avalanche
Prediction for the 1st period
Colorado have scored no more than one goal in the first period in six of their last seven road head-to-head games against Calgary. Overall, this bet has landed in eight of the Avalanche’s last nine away fixtures. We’re backing Colorado Individual Total Under 1.5 Goals in the First Period.
Total Prediction
Calgary have struggled to score heavily in this matchup. The Flames have been held to two goals or fewer in each of their last seven head-to-head meetings, and at home, they've failed to surpass that mark in nine of their last ten games against Colorado. Our pick: Calgary Individual Total Under 2.5 Goals.
Match Outcome Prediction
In recent years, Colorado have firmly held the upper hand in this matchup. Calgary have lost in regulation time in ten of their last eleven head-to-head meetings, including eight of nine at home. Given this trend, a Colorado win in regulation looks like the smart play here.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Calgary have conceded at least four goals in every game so far this season, and now they’re up against one of the league’s most potent offenses in the early going. Colorado have already found the net 16 times in just three outings. Even their loss to Winnipeg doesn’t overshadow how explosive the Avalanche have looked offensively to start the campaign. The head-to-head numbers also favor Colorado: over their last eight meetings, the Avalanche have averaged 4.6 goals per game, and last season alone, they beat Calgary three times by a combined score of 15-4. My pick here is for Colorado to score over 3 goals individually.
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Betting Tips: Calgary Flames - Colorado Avalanche
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