Toronto vs New Jersey Prediction 9 November 2026
🔊 Toronto are in trouble again. After a brief good run, Jim Hiller’s team have lost two straight home games and remain in the middle of the Eastern Conference standings. The Toronto Maple Leafs’ offense is still among the top three in the East, but their defense continues to struggle with the workload. The New Jersey Devils, by contrast, have won four straight and have established themselves among the conference leaders. Those recent wins have been hard-earned, though. Three of the games went to overtime or a shootout. Last season, the two teams traded goals fairly freely. It looks like the goaltenders will have plenty to do this time, too.
Three matches decided by the narrowest of margins
📊 Last season, New Jersey Devils won the season series against Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1. But the Canadian team held a slight edge in goals scored (9-8). One game went to a shootout, so the Maple Leafs earned three points despite losing twice. The Devils picked up four. A difference of just one goal across three games shows how close the teams were. Two of those games were high-scoring, with the teams combining for more than 5.5 goals. That is particularly interesting for the current Toronto team, who score plenty but allow even more at their own end.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto - New Jersey
The attack does the work of two
Toronto have 18 points from 18 games. That is a modest return, especially given their offensive numbers. The Maple Leafs have scored 64 goals - only two teams in the East have scored more. The problem lies elsewhere: the Canadian team have allowed 19 goals in their last five games and lost four of them. Even four goals in Seattle were not enough to avoid defeat (4:5). The same happened at home against Utah: the visitors scored twice on the power play and won (3:2), outshooting Toronto 36:29. The injury problems have not gone away, either. Max Domi and Kirill Marchenko remain sidelined, and John Tavares’ availability is still in doubt.
The Maple Leafs took too long to get going against Montreal. Alex Newhook scored twice in the first period, and Chris Kreider then extended the visitors’ lead to three goals. Toronto only came to life in the final period. William Nylander scored on the power play, and 55 seconds later Gavin McKenna cut the deficit to one. It seemed the hosts had finally found their rhythm, but Montreal quickly checked their momentum. Zachary Bolduc scored on the power play to seal the Canadiens’ win (4:2). Jacob Fowler made 26 saves. For Toronto, it was a second straight loss on home ice.
Match Results: Toronto Maple Leafs
They win even the toughest matches
New Jersey have 24 points from 17 games and rank among the top three teams in the Eastern Conference for wins. They already have 12. The Devils won four straight around the turn of October and November, but only the game against Vegas (5:2) was comfortable. They needed a shootout to get past Edmonton and overtime to beat St. Louis and the Islanders. The game against the Blues was particularly strange: Sheldon Keefe’s team managed to lose a three-goal lead just minutes before the final horn. Jesper Bratt saved them. New Jersey are particularly dangerous in second periods. They average 1.5 goals in those 20 minutes - the fourth-highest mark in the league.
On Long Island, the Devils nearly lost a game in which they were clearly the better team. New Jersey trailed (2:4) after two periods, despite outshooting the hosts 32-14. Evan Rodrigues and Declan Chisholm scored in the first two periods, but the Islanders answered every attempt by the visitors to get back into the game. Luke Evangelista cut the deficit in the third, and Dougie Hamilton tied it with a power-play shot. The game was decided quickly. In the second minute of overtime, Luke Hughes intercepted the puck and sent his brother Jack in alone against Ilya Sorokin. Jack made no mistake - a (5:4) win. The Devils finished with a 50:23 advantage in shots.
Match Results: New Jersey Devils
First-Period Prediction
New Jersey Devils have scored in the first period of each of their last six NHL road games. Over their last ten road games, they have averaged 1.2 first-period goals, while Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed an average of 1.2 in the first period over their last ten home games. The pick is New Jersey Devils first-period team total over 0.5 goals at odds of 1.42.
Outcome Prediction
New Jersey Devils have avoided defeat in regulation in 8 of their last 9 games. They have 12 wins this season, compared with 8 for Toronto Maple Leafs; those figures do not guarantee the outcome on their own, but they add to the picture of New Jersey's recent run. Our pick is New Jersey Devils to avoid defeat in regulation (X2) at odds of 1.39.
Reliable Bet
The total has gone over 4.5 goals in eight straight Toronto Maple Leafs games. It has gone over 5.5 in seven straight New Jersey Devils road games. We pick game total over 4.5 goals at odds of 1.29.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Toronto Maple Leafs score plenty, but too rarely get wins to show for it. They have allowed 19 goals in their last five games, and the total went over 5.5 in four of them. New Jersey Devils are no strangers to high-scoring games, either. Six straight games involving the Devils have produced at least six goals. Their recent games against St. Louis and the Islanders are particularly telling: both opponents scored four goals but still lost. The head-to-head record tells a similar story: over 5.5 goals has landed in three of the last four meetings. With Toronto's defence playing like this and the visitors scoring as they are, a quiet game is hard to expect. My pick is total over 5.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils
in 14 of last 15 games (NHL).in 6 of last 7 away games (NHL).
in 8 of last 9 games (NHL).in 8 of last 9 games.in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).in 7 of last 8 games (NHL).
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