HK Avangard Omsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk Prediction 7 November 2026
🔊 The Siberian derby in Omsk promises to be more interesting than HK Avangard Omsk’s recent results might suggest. Avangard unexpectedly lost to Lada and Sochi, but then managed to beat CSKA, who lead the Western Conference. Sibir Novosibirsk also come into the game after notable wins over Metallurg and Ak Bars. The teams split their head-to-head wins evenly last season, and both games in Omsk went to a shootout. Now Avangard will try to make the most of home ice, though Sibir have already shown this season that they can surprise the favourites.
No wins in regulation time in Omsk
📊 The teams met four times in last season’s regular season, with two wins apiece. The games at G-Drive Arena were particularly close. Both went to a shootout, with the teams splitting the wins. In Novosibirsk, neither game needed overtime: each team won once on the road in regulation. Neither club gained an edge in the season series, and the upcoming game will be the first Siberian derby of the new season.
Head-to-head statistics HK Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk
Victory despite the setbacks
HK Avangard Omsk have slowed noticeably in attack, although their defence is still helping them pick up points. In their last eight games, they have allowed more than two goals in regulation only once. Their average xGA of 2.59 ranks among the top three in the Eastern Conference. Things have been harder at the other end. After scoring twice against Lada, they managed just one goal against Sochi, then had to work hard to beat CSKA.
The game against CSKA remained scoreless for a long time. The first two periods were tightly contested, and the visitors finished with more shots on goal - 26 to 24. Maxime Lajoie put HK Avangard Omsk ahead in the 48th minute, but Prokhor Poltapov tied it with five minutes left in regulation. The winner came just 24 seconds into overtime: Konstantin Okulov gave the hosts a 2:1 victory. It was Guy Boucher’s 100th KHL win, all of them with the Omsk club.
Match Results: HK Avangard Omsk
Wins over the leaders
Sibir Novosibirsk have improved noticeably in their recent home games. They first beat league leaders Metallurg (5:2), then defeated Ak Bars (3:1). Yaroslav Lyuzenkov’s team do not always control games in terms of shots, though. Ak Bars, for example, outshot them 35:25 on goal. Penalties are another problem: Sibir Novosibirsk kill off only 73.8% of their opponents’ power plays, the worst rate in the Eastern Conference.
Against Ak Bars, Sibir Novosibirsk conceded on the power play just four minutes in. They found an answer fairly quickly, however: Alexander Kisakov scored his first goal since joining from Traktor’s system, and Alexander Yaremchuk put the hosts ahead. The score stayed the same in the second period, but Stepan Nikulin extended the lead in the third. Mikhail Berdin helped secure the win despite the visitors’ clear advantage in shots. Now Sibir Novosibirsk must back up those results on the road.
Match Results: Sibir Novosibirsk
First-Period Prediction
HK Avangard Omsk have not won the first period in 7 of their last 8 home KHL games. This supports a bet on Sibir Novosibirsk to avoid defeat in the first period (X2) at odds of 1.56.
Reliable Bet
HK Avangard Omsk have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in the first period in 11 of their last 12 KHL home games. Their home average this season is 0.6 first-period goals per game. We pick HK Avangard Omsk first-period team total under 1.5 goals at odds of 1.27.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
HK Avangard Omsk beat CSKA, but their scoring problems have not gone away. It started against Lada, when the Omsk side scored just two goals in regulation. Then came a loss to Sochi in which they scored only once, and the game against CSKA again brought just one goal in 60 minutes. Recent derbies have not gone particularly well either: HK Avangard Omsk scored no more than two goals in three of their four head-to-head games. Sibir Novosibirsk, for their part, have allowed no more than three goals in three of their previous four games. Given those numbers, there is little reason to expect a sudden scoring surge from the hosts. Our pick - HK Avangard Omsk team total under 3.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: HK Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk
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