Detroit vs Ottawa Prediction 6 October 2026
🔊 Detroit are set to play their third straight home game, but the first two have left them empty-handed. After a shutout loss to the Rangers, the Red Wings came close to salvaging points against Winnipeg, yet couldn’t claw back from a three-goal deficit. Ottawa, on the other hand, have started the season strongly, notching wins over both Montreal and Toronto. Now, the Senators face an opponent they managed to beat just once in four meetings last season.
Three games remain for Detroit.
📊 Last regular season, Detroit came out on top in three of their four clashes with Ottawa. The Red Wings opened the series with a 5-3 road victory, then secured back-to-back wins beyond regulation. Only the final meeting of the campaign went Ottawa’s way, as the Senators edged a 3-2 result. Detroit also led the aggregate score across the four games, outscoring Ottawa 13-10. Notably, after an eight-goal opener, scoring slowed considerably: the teams combined for seven, three, and five goals in the remaining matchups.
Head-to-head statistics Detroit - Ottawa

Two defeats despite solid performances
Detroit opened their campaign with back-to-back home losses-falling 0-2 to the Rangers and 2-3 against Winnipeg. It took them nearly 100 minutes to find their first goal of the new season, with Viktor Arvidsson finally breaking the drought when the team was already trailing the Jets 0-3. Emmitt Finney then pulled another one back in the third period, but time ran out before they could complete the comeback.
On the ice, the Red Wings didn’t look like a team destined to walk away empty-handed. In both games, they outshot their opponents-22-21 and 35-27-and also held an edge in expected goals, 3.18 to 2.75 overall. Special teams let them down against Winnipeg: the Jets converted three of four power plays, while Detroit managed just one goal from five opportunities. Notably, through six periods, the Red Wings have yet to concede a goal at even strength. The status of Dylan Larkin, Jacob Bernard-Docker, and Marco Kasper remains uncertain for the upcoming fixture.
Match Results: Detroit Red Wings

Preseason is now behind us
Four preseason defeats haven't carried over into the regular season for Ottawa. The Senators opened with a 4-3 home win against Montreal, then traveled to Toronto and edged out another victory, 3-2.
Special teams have played a particularly prominent role early on. Against Montreal, all four of Ottawa’s goals came on the power play. Ahead of the upcoming fixtures, the club has also called up defenseman Jorian Donovan from the AHL. Curtis MacDermid and Artem Zub are sidelined with injuries, while the status of Jake Sanderson and Andre Burakovsky remains uncertain.
Match Results: Ottawa Senators
Total Goals Prediction
Scoring has been a real challenge for Detroit lately. The Red Wings have failed to notch more than three goals in each of their last five NHL games, and they've managed just two goals across their first two outings of the new season. Following this trend, we’re backing Detroit’s individual total under 3.5 goals.
Match Outcome Prediction
Detroit have failed to win in regulation in eight of their last nine NHL games. The new season hasn’t started well for them either, as they suffered back-to-back home defeats. Our pick: Ottawa to avoid defeat in regulation.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
The first meeting between these sides last season saw a flurry of goals, with eight scored in total, but offensive output dipped in subsequent clashes. Across four head-to-head games, the average goals tally settled at 5.25, with the three following the opener producing seven, three, and five goals respectively.
Detroit’s start to the season has also been low-scoring. In their first two games, only once did they reach five goals in regulation, averaging just 3.5 total goals per game. Ottawa’s matches have averaged exactly five goals so far. Given these stats, backing under 6.5 total goals looks like a well-founded prediction.