Tampa Bay vs Chicago Prediction 6 November 2026
🔊 Tampa Bay Lightning keep winning at home, though not every game has been comfortable for John Cooper’s team. In their last game, the Lightning nearly let a three-goal lead slip away but held on to beat Detroit. Things are much worse for Chicago Blackhawks. The Blackhawks have lost seven of their last eight games and dropped to second-to-last place in the Western Conference. Even amid those struggles, though, the Blackhawks’ young forwards continue to put up points. Can the visitors take advantage of Tampa’s defensive problems?
The winner was decided in a shootout.
📊 In last season’s regular season, the teams split their two games. Chicago Blackhawks won the first thanks to two goals from Ryan Donato, while the second went to a shootout. The teams scored just one goal each in regulation, and the score remained tied through overtime. Dominic James scored the decisive shootout goal to give Tampa Bay Lightning the win. Neither team swept the season series.
Head-to-head statistics Tampa Bay - Chicago
Seven straight home wins
Tampa Bay Lightning won their first seven home games of the season, setting a new club record. They have also gone four games without a regulation loss, winning two of them. The Lightning have scored on 12.4% of their shots on goal, putting them among the NHL’s top ten teams in that category. Nikita Kucherov has recorded a point in four straight games and had two assists again in the most recent one. Still, even with that scoring, their defensive problems have not gone away. Opponents regularly find ways to get back into games.
Against Detroit, the hosts started so strongly that they allowed just two shots on goal in the first period. They took 13 themselves, and Brayden Point scored twice off passes from Kucherov. Anthony Cirelli extended the lead to three goals in the second period, but Tampa Bay eased off noticeably after that. The Red Wings cut the deficit, scored on the power play and forced Andrei Vasilevskiy to make several saves late in the game. Ryan McDonagh scored the final goal into an empty net (4:2). It was a deserved win, though hardly a comfortable one.
Match Results: Tampa Bay Lightning
The youngsters are trying to turn things around.
Chicago Blackhawks have won just four of their 16 games and sit second from bottom in the Western Conference. Jeff Blashill’s team have lost seven of their last eight games, and their 36 goals scored remain the fewest in the NHL. Even so, some players are regularly finding ways to score. Roman Kantserov has scored seven goals and leads all rookies in goals. Connor Bedard has points in seven straight games, with nine points (3+6) over that stretch.
In their last game against Florida, the Blackhawks once again got into the game too late. The hosts had a three-goal lead midway through the second period before Kantserov cut the deficit. Frank Nazar then took the initiative in the third period, scoring twice. His first goal came shorthanded on a breakaway. Chicago twice pulled to within one goal but could not complete the comeback (3:5). Bedard recorded two assists to extend his point streak.
Match Results: Chicago Blackhawks
First-Period Prediction
In 10 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games, more than 1.5 goals were scored in the first period. At the same time, the first period finished under 2.5 goals in 14 straight home games - both trends allow for exactly two goals. We pick first-period total over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.71.
Prediction on the Result
Tampa Bay Lightning have won in regulation in 6 of their last 7 NHL home games. They have 7 home wins this season, while Chicago Blackhawks have no road wins. We pick Tampa Bay Lightning to win in regulation at odds of 1.46.
Reliable Bet
Tampa Bay have scored in the first period at home in 6 of their last 7 NHL games. Their season average for that period at home is 1.29 goals per game; Chicago allow an average of 1.29 first-period goals on the road. We pick Tampa Bay first-period team total over 0.5 goals at odds of 1.3.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between sportsbooks.
⭐️ Editor's Pick
Tampa Bay regularly create chances and play confidently at home, but backing the hosts to score five or more goals is still risky. Even against Detroit, when the Lightning scored twice in the first period, they finished with only four goals. Their head-to-head record against Chicago points to a similar outcome: the Lightning have not scored more than four goals in their last eight meetings. At home, this bet has landed in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 14 games. Despite the visitors' defensive problems, there is no reason yet to go against such a long-running trend. My pick - Tampa Bay team total under 4.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks
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