Springfield vs Providence Prediction

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    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    3
    2
    1
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    🔊 The series between Springfield and Providence is heating up, with the score tied at 1-1 after two games. The second encounter was fiercely contested and ended with a narrow 2-1 victory for Providence. Both teams are showcasing tough and disciplined hockey. Will the hosts capitalize on their home-ice advantage, or will the Bruins continue to impose their gritty style of play?

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    55 Wins
    56%
    74 Wins
    07.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    05.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    03.05.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    01.05.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    12.04.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Springfield Thunderbirds Team Overview

    Springfield played their second match with solid intensity, but once again found themselves trailing. This marks the fifth consecutive playoff game where the team conceded first, highlighting a recurring issue. However, the Thunderbirds quickly leveled the score as Dillon Dubé capitalized on a power play, making it 1-1. The team continued to create opportunities, especially in the third period, but their finishing let them down. The special teams struggled, failing to score on the power play after the initial goal, going 0 for 6 in the latter part of the game. Meanwhile, goaltender Georgiy Romanov maintains his high standards-he has allowed no more than two goals for four straight games, boasting a playoff save percentage of 94.3% with 116 saves out of 123 shots. The team is solid defensively but faces challenges in converting their chances into goals.

    Match Results: Springfield Thunderbirds

    23.05.26
    AHL
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    8
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    1
    L
    21.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    W
    19.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    L
    14.05.26
    AHL
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    3
    4
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    W
    12.05.26
    AHL
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    L
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    Providence Bruins Team Overview

    Providence managed to level the series with disciplined play and effective execution in the first period. The team netted both goals within six minutes, with Matěj Blümel and Georgii Merkulov finding the back of the net. Defenseman Frédéric Brunet was instrumental in the offensive efforts, registering two assists. After that, the Bruins focused on game control and maintaining their lead. Goalie Michael DiPietro delivered a solid performance, stopping 27 of 28 shots. The team withstood Springfield's pressure, showcasing strong penalty-killing skills by successfully defending 6 out of 7 power plays. Blümel's form is also noteworthy, as he has scored in two consecutive games, emerging as one of the key finishers for the team.

    Match Results: Providence Bruins

    07.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    05.05.26
    AHL
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    L
    03.05.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    01.05.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    2
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    L
    18.04.26
    AHL
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    Utica Comets
    Utica Comets
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st period

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 129;
    • Number of first period wins by the home team (on home ice) - 21; by the away team (on the road) - 25;
    • Average total for the first period: 1.64;
    • Today's home team averages 0.71 goals, while the visitors average 0.93.

    First Period Statistics: Springfield Thunderbirds (home) vs Providence Bruins (away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 36 vs 36;
    • Number of wins: 15 (41.67%) vs 18 (50%);
    • Number of losses: 15 (41.67%) vs 13 (36.11%);
    • Number of draws: 6 (16.67%) vs 5 (13.89%).
    • Average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 0.94;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.97 vs 0.69.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 2 vs 5;
    • Number of losses: 5 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 3 vs 4;
    • Average total for the first period: 2.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 1.3) vs 1.8 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Providence Bruins have not lost the first period in 9 of their last 10 games (AHL).
    👉Prediction: 1st Period Providence Bruins will not lose (odds: 1.22)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 129;
    • Home wins - 53, Away wins - 74.
    Trends
    • Springfield Thunderbirds have covered the +1.5 spread in 8 consecutive head-to-head games against this team (AHL).
    • Springfield Thunderbirds have covered the +1.5 spread at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings.
    • Springfield Thunderbirds have covered the +1.5 spread at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head games (AHL).
    👉Prediction: Springfield Thunderbirds Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.53)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Average goals per game for the home team - 2.6, for the visitors - 3.11;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 5.14;
    • Both teams scored in the 1st period - 42 times;
    • Both teams scored in the 2nd period - 48 times;
    • Both teams scored in the 3rd period - 49 times.

    Statistics: Springfield Thunderbirds vs Providence Bruins

    • Average tournament total: 5.99 vs 5.32;
    • Average goals scored: 2.84 vs 3.28;
    • Average goals conceded: 3.31 vs 2.24;
    • Springfield Thunderbirds: average home total in the tournament - 2.97;
    • Providence Bruins: average away total in the tournament - 3.22;
    • Last 10 games (average goals scored): 2.9 (home - 4) vs 2.6 (away - 2.6).
    Trends
    • Providence Bruins have scored under 3.5 goals in 11 of the last 12 head-to-head encounters (AHL).
    👉Prediction: Providence Bruins Total goals Under (3.5) (odds: 1.52)

    Editor's Prediction

    The series is unfolding as a tight and defensive battle. Both games have been decided by the slimmest of margins, with all goals in the second match scored in the first period, followed by a focus on defense. This is further underscored by the performance of the goaltenders - Romanov boasts a save percentage of 94.3%, while DiPietro made 27 saves in the last game, consistently maintaining a high level of play. Meanwhile, Springfield struggles with power-play execution, and Providence emphasizes holding onto their lead. Given the current series dynamics and the significance of the third game, an open contest seems unlikely. The best bet is under 5.5 goals.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (5.5) at odds of -139*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 May 2026, 16:18)

    Betting Tips: Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins

    Springfield Thunderbirds have not lost the 2nd period
    springfield-thunderbirds-35169providence-bruins-64875in last 10 games against Providence Bruins (AHL).
    springfield-thunderbirds-35169providence-bruins-64875in 7 of last 8 home games against Providence Bruins.
    springfield-thunderbirds-35169in 16 of last 17 games (AHL).
    2nd Period Springfield Thunderbirds will not lose
    -192
    Providence Bruins have not lost the 1st period
    providence-bruins-64875in 9 of last 10 games (AHL).
    1st Period Providence Bruins will not lose
    -417
    Providence Bruins have not lost (in regular time)
    providence-bruins-64875in 6 of last 7 away games (AHL).
    Providence Bruins will not lose
    -333
    Providence Bruins have not won the 3rd period
    providence-bruins-64875in 7 of last 8 games (AHL).
    3rd Period Springfield Thunderbirds will not lose
    -189
    View more facts

    Springfield - Providence Table position

    AHL 25/26
    gWLPPForm
    1.
    Providence Bruins
    Providence Bruins
    725418239-162110
    2.
    Grand Rapids Griffins
    Grand Rapids Griffins
    725120255-159107
    3.
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
    724624243-186101
    22.
    Rochester Americans
    Rochester Americans
    723137214-23572
    23.
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    Springfield Thunderbirds
    723238207-24072
    24.
    Milwaukee Admirals
    Milwaukee Admirals
    723237206-22171