Pittsburgh vs Florida Prediction 5 April 2026
🔊 It's the rematch between Pittsburgh and Florida. The first game showcased an astounding 13 (!) goals combined. Will they manage to come close to such high-scoring action again and hit the over on the total? Let's break down the stakes ahead of this NHL regular season clash.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Pittsburgh and Florida have faced off eight times: the Penguins have won three games, while the Panthers have claimed victory in five. Notably, the team from the South has failed to defeat their rivals in regulation time for five consecutive games. Both encounters this season, including last night's game, were won by the Penguins (5-3 and 9-4).
Head-to-head statistics Pittsburgh - Florida
Pittsburgh Penguins Team Overview
Dan Muse's team, with their recent victory over the Panthers, have not only moved closer to the top five in the East but also left the two-time reigning Stanley Cup champions out of the playoffs. Pittsburgh now sits sixth, and their chances of securing an early playoff spot are high.
At home, Pittsburgh have won two consecutive games, both by a wide margin, scoring 14 goals in total. However, the Penguins' home win percentage is quite low at just 48.7%, with 69.2% of games resulting in points. Since the Olympic break, the Penguins average 3.86 goals per game (second-best in the conference) while conceding 3.62 (second-worst, ranked 15th in the conference).
For the final game of the regular season, forwards Filip Hallander and Blake Lizotte are expected to return to the lineup. Defenseman Caleb Jones is out for the remainder of the season.
Match Results: Pittsburgh Penguins
Florida Panthers Team Overview
Florida, after their defeat to the Penguins, have officially lost even the theoretical chance of making the playoffs, becoming the first team in 11 years to miss out on the Stanley Cup as the reigning champions.
On the road, Paul Maurice's squad have dropped four consecutive games, conceding at least three goals in each. The Panthers have won just 43.2% of their away games this season. Their average scoring in games outside Sunrise after the break stands at 2.79 goals per game (13th in the conference) while allowing 3.47 goals (14th in the conference).
The Panthers' injury list includes ten players, with Sam Reinhart, Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand, Anton Lundell, and Evan Rodrigues already ruled out for the rest of the season. Defenseman Dmitry Kulikov might return for the rematch in Pittsburgh.
Match Results: Florida Panthers
⚡️ Leaders
The top point scorers for Pittsburgh are Sidney Crosby with 69 points (28 goals, 41 assists), Erik Karlsson with 64 (14 goals, 50 assists), and Bryan Rust with 62 (27 goals, 35 assists). Anthony Mantha leads the team in goals with 31. Rickard Rakell has been on a hot streak, scoring in 15 of the last 16 games, while Rust has found the net in 11 of the past 13 matches.
For the Panthers, Sam Reinhart holds the lead in the scoring race with 61 points (29 goals, 32 assists). Sam Bennett, who currently has 58 points (26 goals, 32 assists), has a strong chance to surpass the injured forward by the end of the regular season. Bennett is on a four-game point streak.
🥅 Goaltenders
Pittsburgh faces challenges with consistency in their goaltending. Stuart Skinner and Arturs Silovs have been sharing the net time this spring. The Canadian has an 88.1% save percentage with a goals-against average (GAA) of 3.44, while the Latvian posts an 85.8% save percentage with a GAA of 3.48. Skinner has conceded at least three goals in eight of his last nine games. Silovs' streak is less daunting but still notable, as he's allowed three or more goals in four consecutive games.
For the Panthers, coaches have increasingly relied on Daniil Tarasov, who has an 87.7% save percentage over eight spring games, albeit with a troubling GAA of 4.08. Florida's number one, Sergei Bobrovsky, managed an 89.1% save percentage across ten games in March and April, with a GAA of 2.93. Tarasov has allowed three or more goals in eight straight games.
Editorial Prediction
The teams delivered an astonishingly high-scoring game, netting a combined total of 13 goals. For Pittsburgh, this match was predictably their highest-scoring of the season, while for Florida, it was the game with the most goals conceded. Let's look at how the teams have reacted after similar encounters this season.
Following games where they scored 7+ goals, in each of the next three matches, the Penguins scored at least five goals, with a combined total of at least six goals in those games. After conceding 7+ goals, Florida also scored five goals in each of their next two games, with a combined total of at least seven goals in those matches. Considering Pittsburgh's overall scoring trend (17 consecutive games with 6+ goals), a solid bet for the upcoming game would be on a total over 5.5 goals in the match.
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Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Penguins - Florida Panthers
in 6 of last 7 away games (NHL).
in 9 of last 10 games against Florida Panthers (NHL).in 8 of last 9 home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).in 8 of last 9 home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).in 8 of last 9 home games against Florida Panthers (NHL).in last 9 games (NHL).in last 5 away games (NHL).
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