Dallas vs St. Louis Prediction 3 October 2026
🔊 Dallas and St. Louis kick off the season as familiar foes, having already faced each other twice during preseason preparations. Both encounters ended the same way-with the Stars coming out on top. For the Texans, it was a flawless preseason: four wins in four games and just three goals conceded. The Blues, meanwhile, underwent far more significant changes over the summer-a new general manager, several fresh faces on the roster, and Robert Thomas stepping into the captaincy role. The revamped squad will get their first real test right away, traveling to Dallas for the opener.
Three wins out of four
📊 In last season’s regular campaign, Dallas claimed victory in three out of four matchups against St. Louis. Their most recent encounter turned into a high-scoring affair: the Stars edged out a 5-4 win on home ice, with Jamie Benn bagging a brace and chipping in an assist. The sides clashed twice more in September, and once again, Dallas came out on top in both meetings with a similar pattern unfolding.
Head-to-head statistics Dallas - St. Louis

Four games, three goals conceded
Last season ended much sooner than Dallas would have liked, especially after three consecutive trips to the Western Conference Finals. The Stars crashed out in the first round, falling to Minnesota 2-4 in the series. Despite the early exit, major changes didn’t follow. Glen Gulutzan remained as head coach, Jason Robertson signed a new one-year deal, and Joel Kiviranta was the most notable summer returnee.
Dallas went unbeaten in preseason action. They defeated St. Louis twice and then picked up back-to-back wins over Minnesota-2-0 and 2-1. Casey DeSmith started two games between the pipes, stopping 56 of 58 shots. Just before the start of the season, the club extended the 35-year-old goaltender’s contract for another two years-a deal set to begin in 2027. Dallas will kick off their official campaign without the injured Matt Duchene.
Match Results: Dallas Stars

A lot has changed over the summer.
St. Louis are entering a new era. Alexander Steen is in his first season as general manager, while Robert Thomas has been named the 25th captain in franchise history. The roster has also undergone significant changes. Jordan Kyrou has been traded to Washington, with Connor McMichael coming the other way. Another major addition is Mason McTavish, acquired from Anaheim.
Offensive production proved to be a challenge during the preseason. Over four games, the team managed just five goals, with two of them coming against Dallas-one in each meeting. The Blues split their games with Chicago, outshooting the Blackhawks in both contests but converting just 4.5% of their attempts. St. Louis will have to kick off the regular season without injured players Logan Mailloux and Tyler Tucker.
Match Results: St. Louis Blues
⚡️ Key Players
Jason Robertson led Dallas in scoring last season, racking up 96 points in 82 games. The forward tallied 45 goals and chipped in 51 assists. Wyatt Johnston also found the net 45 times, adding 41 assists for a total of 86 points. Mikko Rantanen put up 77 points in just 64 appearances, with 22 goals and 55 assists.
For St. Louis, Robert Thomas stands out up front. The Blues’ new captain suited up for 64 games and matched that with 64 points-25 goals and 39 assists. Dylan Holloway and Jimmy Snuggerud both finished last season with 51 points: Holloway registered 22 goals and 29 assists, while Snuggerud had 21 goals and 30 assists.
🥅 Goaltenders
Jake Oettinger started 54 games for Dallas last season, picking up 35 wins. He posted a .899 save percentage, a 2.59 goals-against average, and recorded four shutouts. Casey DeSmith featured in 30 games, collecting 15 wins with a .907 save percentage and a 2.43 GAA.
St. Louis relied more heavily on Joel Hofer, who played in 46 games, notching 24 wins. Hofer turned aside 91% of shots faced, carried a 2.61 GAA, and recorded six shutouts. Jordan Binnington made 41 appearances, earning 13 wins with an .873 save percentage and a 3.33 goals-against average.
⭐️ Editor’s Prediction
Preseason results don’t always carry over into the regular campaign, but there’s a clear trend worth noting here. Dallas have played four games and conceded just three goals. St. Louis have tested this defense twice-and managed only one goal each time. Even against Chicago, the Blues struggled to find the net, scoring just three times across two meetings despite outshooting their opponents. The first official game of the season brings some uncertainty, but so far St. Louis’ offense hasn’t shown signs of a sudden breakout. My pick is St. Louis under 2.5 goals.