Lada vs Ak Bars Kazan Prediction 3 March 2026
🔊 Lada will wrap up the season at home. The clash with Ak Bars marks the second of seven in this extended series. Kazan's main goalkeeper might miss the match due to injury. Will Togliatti seize this opportunity? We delve into this KHL regular-season matchup and offer our prediction for the game on March 3rd.
Head-to-Head
📊 Since Lada's return to the KHL in 2023, the teams have faced off in 11 matches: Tolyatti have claimed victory in four, while Kazan have taken seven. Notably, this season Lada have won two out of three encounters, but both wins came beyond regulation time (4-3 OT and 5-4 SO).
Head-to-head statistics Lada - Ak Bars Kazan
Lada Team Overview
A week ago, Pavel Desyatkov's team secured an away victory against Ak Bars, but then suffered a home defeat to the Shanghai Dragons (1-2). Tolyatti were the first team in the KHL to be eliminated from playoff contention, yet they manage to hold onto the second-to-last spot in the Western Conference, ahead of Sochi (43 points to 42).
At home, Lada are the worst team in the West in terms of points percentage (41.1%) and have the league's lowest scoring output (57 goals, averaging 2.04 per game). The last time Lada scored more than three goals at home was eight games ago, back in mid-January.
Defenseman Alexander Lukin and forward Tyler Graovac, who had scored in three consecutive games, were left out of the lineup against the Dragons. Vladislav Chervonenko returned to the squad.
Match Results: Lada
Ak Bars Kazan Team Overview
The Kazan club has been picking up points in seven consecutive matches. Despite a streak of three losses, Ak Bars managed to take each game beyond regulation time. Recently, Anvar Gatiyatulin's squad secured a narrow away victory over Traktor (1-0). The lone goal came from Alexander Barabanov midway through the third period.
Kazan have almost secured a top-three spot in the conference but are still aiming to climb above Avangard. On the road, Kazan have earned points in 11 of their last 12 games. Their defense is the best among Eastern teams in away games, conceding just 64 goals (an average of 2.13 per game).
Against Traktor, Vladimir Alistrov was included in the lineup for the first time since January 24, replacing Nikita Dynyak in the attack. Kazan's primary goaltender, Timur Bilyalov, sustained an injury.
Match Results: Ak Bars Kazan
⚡️ Top Performers
Despite Lada's reputation as one of the weaker teams in the KHL, they have a standout player among the league's top 15 scorers. Riley Sawchuk has tallied 42 points (21 goals, 21 assists) over 62 games this season. Three other players from the Togliatti club have surpassed the 30-point mark: the team's leading playmaker Artur Tyanulin (8 goals, 27 assists), Andrey Chivilyov (12 goals, 21 assists), and Andrey Altybarmakyan (17 goals, 15 assists).
Ak Bars boast three players with over 40 points this season: the team's top scorer and assist leader Kirill Semyonov (14 goals, 33 assists), Alexander Barabanov (17 goals, 27 assists), and the leading sniper Mitchell Miller (18 goals, 24 assists). Semyonov has registered points in five of his last six games (1 goal, 5 assists), while Alexey Pustozarov has extended his point streak to three games (0 goals, 3 assists).
🥅 Goalies
In Lada's net, Alexander Trushkov and Ivan Bocharov alternate starts. In their previous game against Ak Bars last week, Bocharov made 20 saves with a save percentage of 83.3%. Trushkov, who played against the Shanghai Dragons, posted a slightly better performance with an 85.7% save rate on 12 saves.
Timur Bilyalov started for Ak Bars against Traktor but was injured during the first period. Maxim Arefyev came in as a replacement and secured a shutout for the second consecutive game, although both times he started as a substitute.
Editorial Prediction
Despite Kazan's defensive stats in away games, the injury to their main goalkeeper could impact their performance. Maxim Arefyev has mostly come off the bench in recent matches, and in the last two games where he started, he conceded at least twice.
The shutout win over Traktor marked Kazan's fifth of the season, but in the previous four instances following a clean sheet, the "Bars" allowed at least two goals in the next game. Lada have scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 11 home games, so we choose Lada's individual total over 2 goals.
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Betting Tips: Lada - Ak Bars Kazan
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