Germany vs Croatia Prediction

    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    31
    28
    17
    14
    15
    13

    🔊 The European Handball Championship is reaching its climax. Only the top four teams remain in contention. As we anticipate the semi-final clashes, let's focus on the first matchup: Croatia will face Germany. Who will come out on top? Let's consider which bet might be the most worthwhile. Here is our prediction for the encounter.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The teams have an intriguing rivalry history, and each new match is quite different from the last. We shouldn't take this statistic too seriously.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    43%
    3 Wins
    57%
    4 Wins
    30.01.26
    European Championship
    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    31
    28
    17
    15
    14
    13
    11.01.26
    International Friendlies
    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    33
    27
    16
    12
    17
    15
    08.01.26
    International Friendlies
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Germany
    Germany
    29
    32
    14
    17
    15
    15
    31.07.24
    Olympic Games
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Germany
    Germany
    31
    26
    15
    13
    16
    13
    16.03.24
    Olympic Games, QF
    Germany
    Germany
    Croatia
    Croatia
    30
    33
    10
    16
    20
    17
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    Germany Team Overview

    The Germans, on the other hand, have suffered two losses throughout the tournament. Initially, as heavy favorites, they fell to Serbia (27:30), and later, in a more expected fashion, they lost to Denmark (26:31). Germany stays true to their style, favoring a fast pace, which sometimes clearly works against them. They usually struggle against top-tier teams.

    In seven tournament matches, Germany failed to score 30 goals only twice. Their attack is strong and highly efficient. It's worth noting that in their last match before the playoffs, they secured a significant win against France (38:34), despite not being the favorites. They claimed second place in their group and advanced to the semifinals. Is it deserved? Such a super aggressive style rarely leads to titles in handball.

    Match Results: Germany

    17.05.26
    International Friendlies
    Germany
    Germany
    Denmark
    Denmark
    29
    31
    16
    17
    13
    14
    L
    15.05.26
    International Friendlies
    Denmark
    Denmark
    Germany
    Germany
    36
    28
    21
    13
    15
    15
    L
    22.03.26
    International Friendlies
    Germany
    Germany
    Egypt
    Egypt
    34
    33
    19
    13
    15
    20
    W
    19.03.26
    International Friendlies
    Germany
    Germany
    Egypt
    Egypt
    41
    38
    21
    18
    20
    20
    W
    01.02.26
    European Championship
    Denmark
    Denmark
    Germany
    Germany
    34
    27
    18
    16
    16
    11
    L
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    Croatia Team Overview

    The team performed well throughout the tournament, securing six wins out of seven matches-a masterful achievement. It's worth noting that Croatia have always been a strong side, yet they've rarely been seen as genuine contenders for the title. On January 21, they suffered a defeat to Sweden (25:33), which clearly indicated the direction the team was heading. Their clash with the titan ended in a resounding loss.

    However, they managed to turn things around. A solid defense propelled Croatia into the semifinals. It was indeed their defense that made the difference. Only against Iceland (30:29) did they concede a significant number of goals; in other instances, opponents failed to surpass the 25-goal mark. Interestingly, Croatia also struggled with their scoring output and haven't reached 30 goals in a match since playing Iceland. This highlights their main issue: finishing.

    Match Results: Croatia

    16.05.26
    International Friendlies
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Sweden
    Sweden
    35
    31
    18
    16
    17
    15
    W
    13.05.26
    International Friendlies
    Sweden
    Sweden
    Croatia
    Croatia
    34
    31
    17
    17
    17
    14
    L
    21.03.26
    International Friendlies
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    35
    35
    D
    19.03.26
    International Friendlies
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    34
    26
    15
    14
    19
    12
    W
    01.02.26
    European Championship
    Iceland
    Iceland
    Croatia
    Croatia
    33
    34
    14
    17
    19
    17
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Croatia won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games.
    • Croatia won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (European Championship).
    • Croatia won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games.
    👉Prediction: Croatia Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 2.12)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Over 54.5 goals in 8 of last 9 Croatia games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (54.5)(odds: 1.36)

    Editor's Prediction

    There are doubts about whether the German attack will be as productive as it was during the group stage, given the high stakes of this match, which will significantly increase resistance from the opposition. Croatia knows how to play a balanced game, as they have repeatedly demonstrated in this tournament. We should expect a strong defensive showing from them, as it's the only way to overcome the aggressive Germans. All of this could lead to a lower-scoring game overall. We'll take the under 60.5 total, which seems like an optimal choice.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (60.5) at odds of -154*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 January 2026, 15:40)

    Betting Tips: Germany - Croatia

    Croatia have won
    croatia-2in 10 of last 11 games.
    croatia-2in 7 of last 8 games (European Championship).
    croatia-2in 6 of last 7 games.
    Croatia Win
    Everygame
    +310
    Over 25.5 goals in the 1st half
    germany-1in last 8 Germany games.
    croatia-2in 12 of last 14 Croatia games (European Championship).
    1st Half, Total goals Over (25.5)
    -455
    Under 64.5 goals
    germany-1in last 6 Germany games (European Championship).
    croatia-2in last 9 Croatia games.
    Total goals Under (64.5)
    -455
    Over 52.5 goals
    croatia-2in 12 of last 14 Croatia games (European Championship).
    Total goals Over (52.5)
    -400
    View more facts

    Germany - Croatia Table position

    A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Germany
    Germany
    320191-894
    2.
    Spain
    Spain
    320191-864
    3.
    Austria
    Austria
    310278-852
    4.
    Serbia
    Serbia
    310282-822