Mavericks vs Hornets Prediction 30 January 2026
🔊 On Friday, the American Airlines Center in Dallas will host an intriguing matchup between two teams eager to climb the standings. The Dallas Mavericks and the Charlotte Hornets are both aiming to bolster their play-in tournament chances, currently sitting in 11th place in their respective conferences. The visitors arrive in significantly better form both on and off the court, making them the bookmakers' favorites despite being on the road. Can the Hornets extend their winning streak to five games? Let's break down the game and offer an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Dallas Mavericks and Charlotte Hornets:
- played 38 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 24 for today's home team and 14 for the guests;
- the home team averages 104.71 points per match, the guests - 100.05;
- average total match points - 204.76.
The last confrontation took place on 12 October 2025 at the venue of Dallas Mavericks and ended with a score of 116:120.
Head-to-head statistics Mavericks - Hornets
Dallas Mavericks Team Overview
The Dallas Mavericks are showing inconsistent form with a mix of wins and losses: three victories and two defeats in their last five games. While the team doesn't stand out for high scoring, they manage slightly better on defense, limiting opponents' points (116.5 allowed, ranked 21st).
The Mavericks' strengths lie in their teamwork and long-range shooting, which often lead them to success. Notably, they have performed well at home, winning 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with the Charlotte Hornets with a +8.5 spread. However, it will be tougher to maintain this form as the participation of standout rookie Flagg is in doubt due to an injury. Without him, Kidd's squad already suffered a loss to Minnesota (105-118) recently.
Match Results: Dallas Mavericks
Charlotte Hornets Team Overview
The Charlotte Hornets enter this matchup riding a successful four-game winning streak. Known for their aggressive offensive play, they consistently score over 115 points per game. Their average scoring is also impressive at 116.3 points, ranking 15th in the league, thanks to a high shooting percentage from beyond the arc and strong rebounding under their own basket.
Recently, the Hornets seem to have decided against tanking and are aiming to make a push for the play-in tournament, needing to climb just one spot higher. Their latest victim was Memphis, whom they defeated 112-97. LaMelo Ball continues to affirm his leadership status, averaging 19 points and 7 assists this season. However, against the Grizzlies, it was Miller who stole the show with 26 points.
Match Results: Charlotte Hornets
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 38;
- Home team wins - 24, away team wins - 14.
- Dallas Mavericks won with a +5.5 points handicap in last 5 games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 104.71, for the away team - 100.05;
- average total points in H2H matches - 204.76.
Statistics: Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets
- average total in the tournament: 229.45 vs 231.79;
- average total points scored: 114.1 vs 116.62;
- average total points conceded: 115.35 vs 115.17;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 56.53 vs 59.06;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.73 vs 57.06;
- Dallas Mavericks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 115.31;
- Charlotte Hornets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 117.21;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 117.7 (home - 120.29) vs 119.2 (away - 122.29).
- Under 236.5 points scored in 18 of last 20 Dallas Mavericks home games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).
- Under 236.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Dallas Mavericks games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Expect a hard-fought battle: despite the visitors' recent wins, the hosts traditionally perform well at home against Charlotte. Considering past game trends between these teams and their current form, we anticipate a close scoreline. However, we lean towards the Hornets, who have hit their stride and, for once, face no injury issues. Meanwhile, the hosts struggle to fill the gap in the paint without the injured Davis, which could prove decisive. We’re backing Charlotte to win with a spread of (-2.5).No comments
Betting Tips: Dallas Mavericks - Charlotte Hornets
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in 18 of last 20 Dallas Mavericks home games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).in 6 of last 7 Dallas Mavericks games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).in 6 of last 7 Dallas Mavericks games (NBA).
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