Celtics vs Hawks Prediction
🔊 Can the Celtics showcase an effective defense? In this NBA regular season clash, Boston takes on Atlanta. The home team faces no roster issues-everyone is fit and ready. Hence, Mazzulla's squad is unlikely to deviate from their usual style. Although Atlanta has shown improvement, they are unlikely to handle the challenge posed by the powerhouse.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Boston Celtics and the Atlanta Hawks:
- They have played 61 matches;
- Wins (including overtime): 35 for today's home team and 26 for the visitors;
- The home team averages 109.39 points per game, while the visitors average 107.46;
- The average total points per game is 216.85.
Their last encounter took place on 18 January 2026 at the Atlanta Hawks' court and ended with a score of 106-132.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Boston Celtics Team Overview
The Celtics are confidently holding the 2nd spot in the Eastern Conference with a solid 63% win rate. This is an impressive statistic that positions them as favorites, especially in their matchup against Atlanta. Notably, the home-court advantage plays a significant role, where the Celtics are typically highly effective defensively. They rank 3rd in the league for points allowed, conceding just 110.3 per game.
It's reasonable to expect that the Celtics will continue to play at a slower pace. In fact, they are the slowest team in the entire tournament. This could neutralize Atlanta's high volume of attempts. However, Boston doesn't need to rely on speed. Their three-point shooting accuracy stands at 37%, which is more than sufficient.
Match Results: Boston Celtics

Atlanta Hawks Team Overview
Atlanta are the complete opposite of their opponents. Their hallmark is a high-tempo game, which sometimes translates into impressive results. Just recall their recent clash with Indiana (132-116). However, the conditions of that game were much more favorable, as they played at home against a less formidable opponent. Now, the circumstances are set to be more challenging.
There are no major personnel issues for the team. However, it's important to remember the kind of basketball their visitors play-unpredictable and wild. Much depends on their momentum in attempts. But since there will be fewer opportunities, expecting any kind of total domination in this scenario isn’t entirely logical. They'll have to adapt to a style that's not quite their usual playbook.
Match Results: Atlanta Hawks
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 61;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 18; for the visitors on the road - 11;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 55.28;
- Today's home team averages 28.13, while the visitors average 27.15.
First Quarter Stats: Boston Celtics (home) vs Atlanta Hawks (away)
- Tournament matches played: 23 vs 28;
- Number of wins: 17 (73.91%) vs 14 (50%);
- Number of losses: 6 (26.09%) vs 14 (50%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 30.48 vs 29.54;
- Average points conceded: 26.3 vs 30.18.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 8;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 53.3 (scored - 28.9, conceded - 24.4) vs 58.6 (scored - 28.3, conceded - 30.3).
- Boston Celtics won the 1st quarter in last 6 games against Atlanta Hawks (NBA).
- Boston Celtics won the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 home games (NBA).
- Atlanta Hawks lost the 1st quarter in last 8 games (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 61;
- Home team wins - 35, away team wins - 26.
- Boston Celtics won with a +3.5 points handicap in last 8 games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 109.39, for the away team - 107.46;
- average total points in H2H matches - 216.85.
Statistics: Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks
- average total in the tournament: 226.4 vs 236.65;
- average total points scored: 116.76 vs 117.71;
- average total points conceded: 109.64 vs 118.94;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 60.2 vs 59.37;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.04 vs 57.5;
- Boston Celtics: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 117.09;
- Atlanta Hawks: average total points scored away in the tournament - 118.39;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 113.2 (home - 110.25) vs 115 (away - 115).
- Under 236.5 points scored in 13 of last 14 Boston Celtics home games against Atlanta Hawks (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this matchup, the Boston representatives are clear favorites. They play with exceptional intelligence. The team boasts several players who have previously claimed championship titles. The young talents are seamlessly adapting to the coaching demands. Atlanta, on the other hand, is a team that could struggle at a slower pace. Not everyone is ready to defend in a gritty and often tedious manner. But they will have to. The Celtics are likely to completely shut down the visitors' offense, as many players will be worn out by the intensity. Given this, our editorial team suggests placing a bet on total under 234.5 points.