Varese vs Virtus Bologna Prediction 27 September 2026
🏀 Openjobmetis Varese are set to host Virtus Bologna in one of the most anticipated matchups of Serie A’s opening round. This clash is drawing plenty of attention, with the visitors arriving as one of the league’s top contenders and the home side boasting impressive offensive firepower. Varese have looked particularly sharp in preseason, winning all eight of their friendlies - a run that has fired up their supporters and sparked hopes of a turnaround after last season’s disappointing campaign. Facing off against a title challenger like Virtus offers the perfect litmus test for Varese’s ambitions.
Head-to-Head
📊 Openjobmetis Varese and Virtus Bologna have faced off 37 times in official competitions. The hosts have claimed 14 victories, while the visitors have come out on top in 23 encounters. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 10 May 2026 at the Virtus Bologna court and ended in a 104-85 win for Virtus.
Head-to-head statistics Varese - Virtus Bologna
Openjobmetis Varese Team Overview
Varese missed out on the playoffs last season, but they swept all eight of their preseason friendlies-this team has clearly gained confidence and built strong on-court chemistry. Judging by their preseason form, Varese are arguably in the best shape of any Serie A side right now - a factor worth considering when betting, even against a powerhouse like Virtus. Varese are known for their aggressive, up-tempo style (they averaged around 94 points per game in those exhibition matches). We expect them to stick to this approach against Bologna, aiming to drag their opponents into a high-octane shootout that could unsettle the favorites.
Match Results: Openjobmetis Varese
Virtus Bologna Team Overview
Virtus Bologna enter the new campaign as reigning runners-up, with a clear mandate from the board to reclaim the championship crown they last lifted in the 2024/25 season. However, the squad have yet to hit top gear - a fact underscored by their EuroLeague opener on Thursday, where they fell 68-78 to Fenerbahce. Virtus kept pace through the first half but struggled to match the disciplined tempo of the more organized Istanbul side after the break. While Varese build their game around offense, Virtus are all about defense. Expect them to suffocate opponents with disciplined, relentless defending and look to dictate the tempo throughout.
Match Results: Virtus Bologna
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters: 37;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts: 10; for the visitors on the road: 8;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.51;
- Today's home team averages 20.03 points, while the visitors average 20.49.
- Over 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 Openjobmetis Varese home games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
- Over 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 Virtus Bologna games (Seria A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.7, for the away team - 83.54;
- average total points in H2H matches - 162.24.
Statistics Openjobmetis Varese vs Virtus Bologna in the last 10 matches:
- average total points scored: 88.1 vs 85.3;
- Openjobmetis Varese: average total points scored home - 88.8;
- Virtus Bologna: average total points scored away - 80.33.
- Virtus Bologna have scored under 85.5 points in 7 of last 8 away games.
- Virtus Bologna have scored under 85.5 points in 6 of last 7 away games (Seria A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 37;
- Home team wins - 14, away team wins - 23.
- Openjobmetis Varese have lost in 14 of last 15 games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
- Openjobmetis Varese have lost in 7 of last 8 home games against Virtus Bologna (Seria A).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Openjobmetis Varese boast solid offensive firepower and like to push the tempo. Virtus Bologna, on the other hand, traditionally rely on defensive discipline and controlling the pace, but their physical condition is in question following Thursday’s gruelling EuroLeague clash in Istanbul. The visitors have seen some roster changes during the offseason - most notably, the departure of point guard Vildoza - and are still finding their rhythm under coach Mumbrú. Varese, meanwhile, seem to have already developed strong chemistry, as evidenced by their unbeaten preseason run, which could help them break through Bologna’s defense. The smart play here is to back Openjobmetis Varese’s individual total over 83 points.
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Betting Tips: Openjobmetis Varese - Virtus Bologna
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