Panama vs Canada Prediction 28 August 2026

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The main thing

    🏀 Panama host Canada in a crucial World Cup qualifier on home court. For Panama, this is a last-ditch opportunity to stay in contention for a Top 3 finish. However, their hopes are slim - they sit bottom of the group, trailing their main rivals by a considerable margin. Meanwhile, the North Americans have been flawless so far, topping Group F without a single setback. We doubt Panama will be able to put up much resistance, even with home advantage. Ultimately, the only real question is just how dominant the favorites will be when the final buzzer sounds.

    Head-to-Head

    📊The teams have faced each other five times, with Canada coming out on top in four of those encounters. Their most recent clash took place on Canadian soil on August 24, 2025, where Canada cruised to a dominant 99-49 victory.

    Head-to-head statistics Panama - Canada

    20%
    1 Win
    80%
    4 Wins
    24.08.25
    AmeriCup
    Canada
    Canada
    Panama
    Panama
    99
    49
    33
    16
    21
    15
    24
    4
    21
    14
    14.11.22
    World Cup Qualification, Americas
    Canada
    Canada
    Panama
    Panama
    112
    71
    30
    21
    22
    11
    33
    17
    27
    22
    30.08.22
    World Cup Qualification, Americas
    Panama
    Panama
    Canada
    Canada
    50
    106
    7
    33
    18
    31
    11
    28
    14
    14
    06.09.15
    American Championship
    Canada
    Canada
    Panama
    Panama
    103
    66
    20
    10
    22
    13
    35
    20
    26
    23
    08.09.11
    American Championship
    Panama
    Panama
    Canada
    Canada
    91
    89
    24
    27
    25
    21
    21
    22
    21
    19
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    Panama Team Overview

    Panama head into the fixture in inconsistent form, having picked up just two wins from six World Cup qualifying games and sitting at the bottom of the table. Their struggles are particularly evident on the defensive end, where they concede an average of 87 points per game while only putting up 78.2 themselves. At home, Panama tend to slow the tempo and play with caution - a trend reflected by their streak of 21 consecutive home games finishing under 176.5 total points. Offensively, the team’s firepower is limited; they rarely surpass the 80-point mark and often rely on mid-range shooting efficiency. The roster lacks size in the paint and suffers from a lack of depth off the bench. Under sustained pressure, the Group F underdogs turn the ball over frequently and are physically outmatched by more skilled opponents, particularly in second halves.

    Match Results: Panama

    03.08.26
    Central America MCAC
    Nicaragua
    Nicaragua
    Panama
    Panama
    84
    70
    16
    18
    26
    24
    19
    17
    23
    11
    L
    01.08.26
    Central America MCAC
    Panama
    Panama
    Guatemala
    Guatemala
    73
    55
    12
    12
    22
    14
    18
    13
    21
    16
    W
    30.07.26
    Central America MCAC
    Jamaica
    Jamaica
    Panama
    Panama
    43
    74
    18
    18
    10
    22
    6
    12
    9
    22
    W
    28.07.26
    Central America MCAC
    Puerto Rico
    Puerto Rico
    Panama
    Panama
    70
    56
    22
    12
    18
    14
    19
    15
    11
    15
    L
    26.07.26
    Central America MCAC
    Panama
    Panama
    Mexico
    Mexico
    64
    66
    10
    19
    21
    16
    18
    13
    15
    18
    L
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    Canada Team Overview

    Canada have been unstoppable in the current World Cup qualifiers, sweeping all six of their previous games. Securing a place at the sport’s marquee event looks like a mere formality -even with star player Gilgeous-Alexander set to miss the next two fixtures. The Canadians still boast plenty of quality, fielding a roster packed with EuroLeague, G League, and top European league talent such as Bell-Haynes, Miller, and Darling. NBA representation is present as well, with Washington’s K. George standing out among the squad. With this lineup, it’s no surprise the North Americans have been thrilling fans with their offensive firepower, averaging 107.6 points over their last 10 games. Defensively, Canada remain solid, conceding just over eighty points per contest thanks to aggressive off-ball pressure and disciplined perimeter play. 

    Match Results: Canada

    06.07.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Canada
    Canada
    Jamaica
    Jamaica
    116
    78
    32
    15
    25
    25
    32
    15
    27
    23
    W
    03.07.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Canada
    Canada
    Puerto Rico
    Puerto Rico
    110
    84
    31
    16
    25
    22
    27
    22
    27
    24
    W
    01.03.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Jamaica
    Jamaica
    Canada
    Canada
    81
    97
    19
    27
    17
    22
    22
    29
    23
    19
    W
    27.02.26
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Puerto Rico
    Puerto Rico
    Canada
    Canada
    85
    96
    23
    13
    12
    23
    22
    23
    25
    23
    3
    14
    W
    02.12.25
    FIBA AM Qualifier
    Canada
    Canada
    Bahamas
    Bahamas
    94
    88
    23
    11
    29
    25
    23
    26
    19
    26
    W
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 5;
    • Home team wins - 1, away team wins - 4.
    Trends
    • Panama won with a +25.5 points handicap in last 7 games.
    • Panama won with a +25.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: Panama Handicap (+25,5) (odds: 1.72)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Historically and stylistically, Panama have always been a favourable matchup for Canada. In recent official head-to-heads, the Canadians have simply blown out their Panamanian rivals. The underdogs just don’t have the defensive tools to contain Canada’s versatile offense, and Panama rarely put up more than 60-70 points when facing Canadian pressure. The physical presence of the North American forwards will shut down driving lanes, forcing Panama into rushed shots as the shot clock winds down. Our pick: Panama under 75.5 points (team total).

    Panama Total points Under (75,5)
    Published: 25/08/2026, 14:48
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball specialist
    40
    0
    34
    74 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Panama - Canada

    Canada won the 3rd quarter:
    canada-3in 10 of last 11 away games.
    3rd Quarter Canada Win
    -
    Canada won the 1st half:
    canada-3in last 6 games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    1st Half Canada Win
    -
    Over 176.5 points scored:
    canada-3in last 6 Canada games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    Total points Over (176,5)
    -139
    Under 176.5 points scored:
    panamain last 21 Panama home games.
    panamain last 19 Panama games.
    panamain last 6 Panama games (FIBA Basketball World Cup Americas Qualifiers).
    Total points Under (176,5)
    -139
    View more facts

    Panama - Canada Table position

    Group stage Group F
    gWLPForm
    1.
    Canada
    Canada
    66012
    2.
    Uruguay
    Uruguay
    65111
    3.
    Argentina
    Argentina
    65111
    4.
    Puerto Rico
    Puerto Rico
    6248
    5.
    Bahamas
    Bahamas
    6248
    6.
    Panama
    Panama
    6248