Lebanon vs Южная Корея Prediction 27 August 2026
🏀 Lebanon host South Korea in a crucial World Cup qualifier, with the home side looking to cement their position at the top of Group F. The visitors, meanwhile, sit second from bottom and face an uphill battle to secure a spot at the sport’s showpiece event. Still, it would be a mistake to write off the South Koreans - they have a solid roster and are capable of troubling the group leaders, even on the road.
Head-to-Head
📊The last time these national teams faced off was on August 10, 2025, during the Asia Championship, when South Korea pulled off a surprise 97-86 victory.
Head-to-head statistics Lebanon - Южная Корея
Lebanon Team Overview
Lebanon are in impressive form, having won five of their last six matches in the current qualifiers and deservedly sitting atop the group. Their roster is stacked at a level rarely seen in the region. The naturalized trio of Majok, Lawson, and Funderburk bring significant quality to the squad. Funderburk, in particular, is one to watch after his strong performances in the NBA Summer League. The core remains intact with key players like El-Darwich, Gekchyan, and Zeinoun, as well as promising youngsters such as El-Khatib and Hayat. With this deep pool of talent and the advantage of playing at home, Lebanon are clear favorites in this matchup and will be eager to avenge last year’s defeat to South Korea.
Match Results: Lebanon
Republic of Korea Team Overview
South Korea’s national team may not be among Asia’s undisputed powerhouses, but they remain a competitive force. Since Ratliffe’s retirement from international basketball, the squad has relied exclusively on homegrown talent, focusing on team chemistry and the individual skills of their local stars. The main attacking threat comes from Hyunjoong, who has been in outstanding form during the NBA Summer League. His return to the lineup significantly boosts the team’s offensive potential. Key contributors also include Jeonghyeon and Eddy, while the experienced coach Mazurs who guided South Korea to the second round with a dramatic win over Japan - continues to steer the ship. However, tougher challenges lie ahead, as Korea clearly lag behind their group rivals in terms of both quality and roster depth.
Match Results: Republic of Korea
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 2; for the visitors on the road - 0;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 38.29;
- Today's home team averages 20.29, while the visitors average 18.
First Quarter Stats: Lebanon (home) vs Republic of Korea (away)
- Tournament matches played: 2 vs 3;
- Number of wins: 2 (100%) vs 2 (66.67%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22.5 vs 19.33;
- Average points conceded: 15.5 vs 17.33.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 8 vs 4;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 40.2 (scored - 22.7, conceded - 17.5) vs 40.2 (scored - 20.8, conceded - 19.4).
- Republic of Korea scored under 20.5 points in the 1st quarter in 6 of last 7 games against Lebanon.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 74.57, for the away team - 83.29;
- average total points in H2H matches - 157.86.
Statistics: Lebanon vs Republic of Korea
- average total in the tournament: 161.83 vs 156;
- average total points scored: 89.5 vs 78;
- average total points conceded: 72.33 vs 78;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44 vs 41;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 45.5 vs 36.17;
- Lebanon: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 88.5;
- Republic of Korea: average total points scored away in the tournament - 72.33;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.6 (home - 89) vs 77.2 (away - 70.33).
- Republic of Korea have scored over 79.5 points in 6 of last 7 games against Lebanon.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 7;
- Home team wins - 2, away team wins - 5.
- Republic of Korea won with a +6.5 points handicap in last 7 games against Lebanon.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The character of this matchup is shaped by Lebanon’s dynamic offense on home court and South Korea’s cautious approach following a string of away disappointments. Korean road games have frequently turned into low-scoring affairs. While Lebanon are generally productive on offense, their opponents are forced to play more pragmatically after a series of setbacks and shooting struggles against high-caliber rivals. The visitors’ current form doesn’t suggest they’ll be firing on all cylinders for all four quarters, and the historical trend of low-scoring encounters is only reinforced by South Korea’s recent scoring slump away from home - six straight games under 166.5 points. Given these factors, our pick is under 165.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Lebanon - Republic of Korea
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