Liberty vs Sun Prediction

    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    81
    79
    27
    10
    21
    23
    15
    21
    23
    20

    🔊 The upcoming clash between the New York Liberty and the Connecticut Sun promises to be an exciting spectacle. The game will take place on Liberty's home court, adding extra motivation for the team. While the hosts have already secured a playoff spot, consistently ranking in the top three throughout the regular season, the visitors are long out of contention, stuck at 11th place, far from the knockout round. Can they challenge the favorites?

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between New York Liberty (W) and Connecticut Sun (W):

    • They have faced off in 57 matches;
    • Wins (including overtime): the hosts today have 30 victories, while the visitors have 27;
    • The hosts average 76.25 points per game, and the visitors average 77.49;
    • The average total score of a match is 153.74.

    The last encounter took place on 03 August 2025 at the Connecticut Sun's home court and ended with a score of 78-87.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    56%
    34 Wins
    44%
    27 Wins
    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    08.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    106
    75
    36
    13
    30
    24
    21
    23
    19
    15
    03.05.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    67
    79
    20
    24
    20
    18
    13
    19
    14
    18
    25.08.25
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    81
    79
    27
    15
    10
    21
    21
    23
    23
    20
    03.08.25
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    78
    87
    19
    25
    19
    20
    19
    21
    21
    21
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    New York Liberty (W) Team Overview

    New York Liberty are showing solid form this season with a 22-15 record. Over their last five games, the team has maintained stability, securing three wins against two losses. Their average scoring at home surpasses 84 points, highlighting a strong offensive performance. However, their defense can occasionally falter, which might be a vulnerability against an opponent with a fast-paced attack. An intriguing fact: Liberty have already defeated today's opponent this season by more than five points.

    Match Results: New York Liberty (W)

    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    W
    07.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    83
    75
    21
    25
    16
    15
    17
    17
    29
    18
    W
    03.06.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    Toronto Tempo (W)
    97
    82
    17
    20
    23
    14
    30
    24
    27
    24
    W
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    75
    68
    17
    11
    17
    20
    25
    23
    16
    14
    W
    27.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    84
    74
    24
    22
    18
    21
    30
    12
    12
    19
    W
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    Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview

    Connecticut Sun are currently not in top form, with just 9 wins against 27 losses this season. However, the team has shown signs of improvement, winning three of their last five games. Their strategy relies on solid defense and extended ball possession, enabling them to control the pace of the game even against more aggressive opponents. It's worth noting their performance on the road: the club traditionally scores fewer than 78 points away from home.

    Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)

    08.06.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    80
    89
    18
    23
    17
    15
    21
    27
    24
    24
    L
    05.06.26
    WNBA
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    85
    80
    11
    25
    32
    20
    22
    16
    20
    19
    L
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    91
    75
    24
    25
    26
    24
    18
    16
    23
    10
    L
    30.05.26
    WNBA
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    84
    81
    20
    18
    19
    18
    23
    24
    22
    21
    W
    28.05.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    71
    61
    17
    16
    20
    11
    13
    23
    21
    11
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 57;
    • First-quarter wins for home team - 13; for away team - 14;
    • Average first-quarter total: 40.23;
    • Today's home team averages 20.19 points, while the visitors average 20.04.

    First-quarter Stats: New York Liberty (home) vs Connecticut Sun (away)

    • Games played in the tournament: 18 vs 15;
    • Wins: 13 (72.22%) vs 4 (26.67%);
    • Losses: 5 (27.78%) vs 11 (73.33%);
    • Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 22.72 vs 18.87;
    • Average points conceded: 20.28 vs 23.67.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Losses: 4 vs 5;
    • Draws: 0 vs 0;
    • Average first-quarter total: 43.7 (scored - 22.6, conceded - 21.1) vs 39.4 (scored - 19.2, conceded - 20.2).
    Trends
    • New York Liberty have won the first quarter in 8 consecutive head-to-head games against Connecticut Sun (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter New York Liberty (W) Win(odds: 1.4)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 57;
    • Home wins - 30, Away wins - 27.
    Trends
    • Connecticut Sun (W) cover the +10.5 spread in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings (WNBA).
    • Connecticut Sun (W) cover the +10.5 spread in 5 consecutive games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Connecticut Sun (W) Handicap (+10.5) (odds: 2.04)

    Total Points Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Average points per game for home teams - 76.25, for away teams - 77.49;
    • Average total points in head-to-head games - 153.74.

    Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)

    • Average total in the tournament: 166.74 vs 161.81;
    • Average points scored: 85.03 vs 76.13;
    • Average points conceded: 81.71 vs 85.68;
    • Average points scored in the first half: 42.79 vs 38.55;
    • Average points scored in the second half: 42.24 vs 37.29;
    • New York Liberty (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 86.89;
    • Connecticut Sun (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 71.6;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 82.5 (home - 81.5) vs 76.7 (away - 76).
    Trends
    • Connecticut Sun (W) score under 78.5 points on the road in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Connecticut Sun (W) Total points Under (78.5) (odds: 1.53)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be a tactical battle: the hosts aim to dominate through fast breaks and three-point shooting, while the visitors will try to slow down the game with solid defense. The current form of the teams suggests Liberty have the upper hand, consistently scoring heavily at home and having a strong chance to win comfortably due to their offensive prowess and home crowd support. Considering the trends from previous meetings between these clubs, betting on under 161.5 total points seems to be the most reasonable choice, given their frequent low-scoring encounters.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (161.5) at odds of +106*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (25 August 2025, 07:13)

    Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)

    New York Liberty (W) won the 1st quarter
    new-york-libertyconnecticut-sunin last 8 games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter New York Liberty (W) Win
    -286
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 3rd quarter
    connecticut-sunin 14 of last 15 away games (WNBA).
    3rd Quarter New York Liberty (W) Win
    -238
    Connecticut Sun (W) lost the 2nd half
    connecticut-sunin 10 of last 11 away games (WNBA).
    connecticut-sunin 7 of last 8 games (WNBA).
    2nd Half New York Liberty (W) Win
    -286
    New York Liberty (W) have scored under 89.5 points
    new-york-libertyconnecticut-sunin 14 of last 15 home games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
    New York Liberty (W) Total points Under (89.5)
    +110
    View more facts

    Liberty - Sun Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Eastern Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Indiana Fever (W)
    Indiana Fever (W)
    541
    2.
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    541
    3.
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    532
    4.
    Washington Mystics (W)
    Washington Mystics (W)
    523
    5.
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    514
    6.
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    Connecticut Sun (W)
    514