Liberty vs Sun Prediction
🔊 The upcoming clash between the New York Liberty and the Connecticut Sun promises to be an exciting spectacle. The game will take place on Liberty's home court, adding extra motivation for the team. While the hosts have already secured a playoff spot, consistently ranking in the top three throughout the regular season, the visitors are long out of contention, stuck at 11th place, far from the knockout round. Can they challenge the favorites?
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between New York Liberty (W) and Connecticut Sun (W):
- They have faced off in 57 matches;
- Wins (including overtime): the hosts today have 30 victories, while the visitors have 27;
- The hosts average 76.25 points per game, and the visitors average 77.49;
- The average total score of a match is 153.74.
The last encounter took place on 03 August 2025 at the Connecticut Sun's home court and ended with a score of 78-87.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York Liberty are showing solid form this season with a 22-15 record. Over their last five games, the team has maintained stability, securing three wins against two losses. Their average scoring at home surpasses 84 points, highlighting a strong offensive performance. However, their defense can occasionally falter, which might be a vulnerability against an opponent with a fast-paced attack. An intriguing fact: Liberty have already defeated today's opponent this season by more than five points.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)

Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
Connecticut Sun are currently not in top form, with just 9 wins against 27 losses this season. However, the team has shown signs of improvement, winning three of their last five games. Their strategy relies on solid defense and extended ball possession, enabling them to control the pace of the game even against more aggressive opponents. It's worth noting their performance on the road: the club traditionally scores fewer than 78 points away from home.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- First-quarter wins for home team - 13; for away team - 14;
- Average first-quarter total: 40.23;
- Today's home team averages 20.19 points, while the visitors average 20.04.
First-quarter Stats: New York Liberty (home) vs Connecticut Sun (away)
- Games played in the tournament: 18 vs 15;
- Wins: 13 (72.22%) vs 4 (26.67%);
- Losses: 5 (27.78%) vs 11 (73.33%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22.72 vs 18.87;
- Average points conceded: 20.28 vs 23.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Losses: 4 vs 5;
- Draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first-quarter total: 43.7 (scored - 22.6, conceded - 21.1) vs 39.4 (scored - 19.2, conceded - 20.2).
- New York Liberty have won the first quarter in 8 consecutive head-to-head games against Connecticut Sun (WNBA).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- Home wins - 30, Away wins - 27.
- Connecticut Sun (W) cover the +10.5 spread in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head meetings (WNBA).
- Connecticut Sun (W) cover the +10.5 spread in 5 consecutive games (WNBA).
Total Points Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Average points per game for home teams - 76.25, for away teams - 77.49;
- Average total points in head-to-head games - 153.74.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- Average total in the tournament: 166.74 vs 161.81;
- Average points scored: 85.03 vs 76.13;
- Average points conceded: 81.71 vs 85.68;
- Average points scored in the first half: 42.79 vs 38.55;
- Average points scored in the second half: 42.24 vs 37.29;
- New York Liberty (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 86.89;
- Connecticut Sun (W): Average points scored away in the tournament - 71.6;
- Last 10 games (average points scored): 82.5 (home - 81.5) vs 76.7 (away - 76).
- Connecticut Sun (W) score under 78.5 points on the road in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The match promises to be a tactical battle: the hosts aim to dominate through fast breaks and three-point shooting, while the visitors will try to slow down the game with solid defense. The current form of the teams suggests Liberty have the upper hand, consistently scoring heavily at home and having a strong chance to win comfortably due to their offensive prowess and home crowd support. Considering the trends from previous meetings between these clubs, betting on under 161.5 total points seems to be the most reasonable choice, given their frequent low-scoring encounters.