Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction 25 February 2026

Details
Key points
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    113
    109
    31
    15
    31
    36
    19
    20
    33
    37

    🔊 Can the visiting team, playing with a semi-reserve lineup, overcome an unmotivated underdog? In one of the NBA regular-season matchups, the New Orleans Pelicans will host the Golden State Warriors. For the hosts, the season is practically over as they sit 14th in the Western Conference. Meanwhile, the Californians, currently in eighth place, still harbor hopes of breaking into the top six, trailing by just five wins. Let's consider how this game might unfold and make a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The head-to-head history between these clubs spans 59 encounters, with the stats clearly favoring the visitors. The Warriors have claimed victory 46 times, while the Pelicans have managed just 13 wins. In their most recent clash on 30 November 2025 at the Golden State Warriors' arena, the game ended 104-96 in favor of the home side.

    Head-to-head statistics Pelicans - Warriors

    23%
    14 Wins
    77%
    46 Wins
    25.02.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    113
    109
    31
    19
    15
    20
    31
    33
    36
    37
    30.11.25
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    104
    96
    17
    18
    25
    20
    31
    34
    31
    24
    17.11.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    106
    124
    28
    44
    21
    17
    22
    24
    35
    39
    29.03.25
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    95
    111
    28
    21
    25
    29
    29
    33
    13
    28
    23.11.24
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    108
    112
    30
    34
    33
    28
    21
    25
    24
    25
    Empty
    There are no events
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    New Orleans Pelicans Team Overview

    The New Orleans Pelicans are navigating yet another season as underdogs in the league. However, their last five games have been promising, securing three wins. By their standards, the team is performing reasonably well offensively, averaging 114.8 points per game (21st in the league). Clearly, the players have found some chemistry by winter's end, leaving fans to lament that it didn't happen sooner.

    Defensively, there's still a significant amount of work to be done (allowing 120.6 points, 27th position). This shortcoming often proves to be a stumbling block for New Orleans. Yet, it didn't stop them from confidently defeating Philadelphia with a score of 126-111. The trio of Poole, Zion, and Bey combined for 64 points, while the role players also contributed effectively. It seems that by shedding psychological burdens, the Pelicans are playing with more freedom and are poised to challenge any opponent in the near future.

    Match Results: New Orleans Pelicans

    07.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    109
    115
    30
    27
    21
    30
    28
    20
    30
    38
    L
    05.11.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    120
    113
    24
    24
    18
    13
    28
    43
    34
    24
    16
    9
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    134
    135
    31
    34
    31
    25
    33
    41
    29
    24
    10
    11
    W
    31.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    121
    99
    35
    18
    28
    30
    29
    26
    29
    25
    W
    30.10.26
    NBA
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    132
    120
    24
    30
    39
    31
    39
    27
    30
    32
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Golden State Warriors Team Overview

    The Golden State Warriors continue to experience inconsistency this season, alternating between strong performances and mediocre ones, largely due to significant roster issues and, consequently, on-court struggles. In their last five games, Steve Kerr's squad managed just two victories. Over the past ten games, they've registered a similar pattern with four wins and six losses.

    In their previous matchup, the Warriors triumphed at home against the formidable Denver Nuggets (117-128), despite being clear underdogs according to bookmakers-a situation exacerbated by injuries to Butler and Curry. The role players stepped up impressively, particularly Moody, who scored 23 points, and Podziemski, who contributed 18 points and 15 rebounds. The question remains, however, how often they can deliver such performances moving forward, as their success in the playoff race will hinge on it.

    Match Results: Golden State Warriors

    06.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Miami Heat
    Miami Heat
    120
    100
    26
    29
    27
    24
    38
    23
    29
    24
    W
    03.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    116
    113
    19
    31
    32
    26
    42
    36
    23
    20
    W
    02.11.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    124
    112
    29
    37
    34
    20
    29
    28
    32
    27
    W
    31.10.26
    NBA
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    112
    95
    15
    38
    38
    15
    32
    27
    27
    15
    W
    29.10.26
    NBA
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State Warriors
    114
    119
    23
    30
    25
    34
    33
    29
    33
    26
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    New Orleans Pelicans

    ⛔ The Pelicans have three roster setbacks due to injuries, with Misi, Pivi, and Murphy sidelined. Quinn, Jordan, and Matkovich are the most likely options to step in for the absent players.

     📋Projected lineup: Williamson, Jones, Bey, Quinn, Jordan.

    Golden State Warriors

    ⛔ The Warriors have struggled to field their optimal lineup for quite some time. Curry, Butler, and Porzingis are confirmed absentees for this game, while Green, Melton, and Horford are listed as questionable.

    📋 Projected lineup: Spencer, Melton, Moody, Santos, Green.

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    The Pelicans are struggling from beyond the arc, hitting just 34.6% of their shots (25th in the league). However, they are strong defensively on their perimeter, allowing opponents to convert only 35.3% of three-point attempts (10th position).

    The Warriors, predictably solid from the perimeter thanks to Curry's influence, are making threes at a rate of 36.3% (11th). The Californians also maintain a strong defensive presence on their own arc, with opponents converting just 35.2% of their attempts (9th place).

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    We anticipate a tense matchup with both teams focusing on defense. New Orleans aim to capitalize on their opponent's significant personnel issues, and we believe they will succeed-this current Pelicans roster is certainly not weaker than the inconsistent Warriors' bench. Golden State clearly lack quality on both ends of the court, and we doubt their role players will outperform expectations again. Instead, we expect a drop in their efficiency. We'll go with a home win with a spread of (+3.5).

    New Orleans Pelicans Handicap (+3,5)
    Odds-143
    Published: 24/02/2026, 10:11

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    Betting Tips: New Orleans Pelicans - Golden State Warriors

    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 4th quarter:
    new-orleans-pelicansgolden-state-warriorsin last 7 games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
    4th Quarter Golden State Warriors to Win
    +110
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 2nd half:
    new-orleans-pelicansgolden-state-warriorsin last 7 games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
    new-orleans-pelicansgolden-state-warriorsin last 4 home games against Golden State Warriors (NBA).
    2nd Half Golden State Warriors to Win
    -118
    Golden State Warriors lost the 3rd quarter:
    golden-state-warriorsin last 7 games (NBA).
    3rd Quarter New Orleans Pelicans to Win
    +100
    New Orleans Pelicans lost the 1st half:
    new-orleans-pelicansin 6 of last 7 home games (NBA).
    1st Half Golden State Warriors to Win
    -114
    View more facts

    Pelicans - Warriors Table position

    Group stage WESTB
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    440
    2.
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis Grizzlies
    431
    3.
    Los Angeles Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    422
    4.
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas Mavericks
    413
    5.
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    404