Chinese Taipei(w) vs Philippines (W) Prediction 24 September 2026
🏀 Chinese Taipei host the Philippines in the quarter-finals of the Asian Games. Both sides navigated the group stage solidly, finishing second in their respective groups. However, bookmakers are backing the home team as clear favourites to advance. Still, the Philippines boast a balanced and talented roster, making those odds open to debate. We’ll soon find out if the underdogs can defy expectations and shake up the bracket.
Head-to-Head
📊 These national teams have faced each other just once, with Chinese Taipei cruising past the Philippines 85-59 in their 2025 encounter.
Head-to-head statistics Chinese Taipei(w) - Philippines (W)

Chinese Taipei (W) Team Overview
Chinese Taipei finished second in their group behind South Korea, but wrapped up the stage with a 59-73 defeat to the Koreans-a significant margin that highlighted the team's ongoing struggles to generate offense. They fit the mold of a typical Asian basketball side: disciplined and well-organized, yet lacking genuine top-tier talent, even at individual positions. Even if Chinese Taipei do manage to get past the Philippines, it’s hard to see them going much further. Last year, Chinese Taipei impressed in their previous head-to-head clash, but this time around, their opponents boast a much stronger roster.
Match Results: Chinese Taipei (W)

Philippines (W) Team Overview
The Philippines have looked impressive so far at the Asian Games, cruising to convincing wins over Kazakhstan (86-58) and Hong Kong (90-73). Even their expected defeat to hosts Japan (67-89) didn’t dampen the overall impression. For much of that contest, the Filipinas held their own against one of the tournament’s top favourites, especially in the second half. The team’s offensive engine is the naturalised player Mins, who dropped 23 points in the opener and added 16 more against Japan. Berbarabe, Bernardino, and Pontejos have also made significant contributions. Under new head coach Ti Tius, the squad is being built around the speed and physical strength of its key players. We wouldn’t count them out in this quarter-final clash.
Match Results: Philippines (W)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
The contrast in current form and momentum is striking: the Philippines are a team on the rise, climbing the rankings and proving in this tournament that they can go toe-to-toe even with hosts Japan. Meanwhile, Chinese Taipei wrapped up the group stage with a double-digit defeat. While Taipei’s convincing win in their previous head-to-head might look significant, it loses its weight given how much stronger this current Philippines roster is compared to past squads. We recommend considering a bet on the nominal visitors with a +6.5 handicap.