Geelong United (W) vs Adelaide Lightning Prediction 24 January 2026
🔈Which players can take on leadership in defense? The names of the best defenders will become known after the showdown between the teams Geelong United (W) and Adelaide Lightning (W), which will take place on 24 January at 04:00 in the "WNBL, Australia Women" tournament. After a thorough analysis of the match, we are ready to share our predictions regarding its possible outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊So far, teams Geelong United (W) and Adelaide Lightning (W) have had two official encounters, with the most recent one taking place on 21 November 2025. The match was held at the venue of Adelaide Lightning (W) and ended with a score of 99:93.
Head-to-head statistics Geelong United (W) - Adelaide Lightning
Geelong United (W) Team Overview
🏆This season, Geelong United (W) has stepped onto the court for 19 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 5 victories, 14 defeats.
📈Throughout this season, Geelong United (W) boasts a success rate of 26.32%, while their defeats account for 73.68% of their total matches.
📊The team plays with the average over/under of 157.79 points, with an average of 76.05 points per match and conceding 81.74 points to the opposition.
🏀At their home venue, the team's average score per game is 79.6 points. In home games, the team's defense concedes an average of 76.8 points per game.
Match Results: Geelong United (W)
Adelaide Lightning Team Overview
🏆This season, Adelaide Lightning (W) has stepped onto the court for 20 matches, with their performance breaking down as follows: 5 victories, 15 defeats.
📈Throughout this season, Adelaide Lightning (W) boasts a success rate of 25%, while their defeats account for 75% of their total matches.
📊The team plays with the average over/under of 156 points, with an average of 73.5 points per match and conceding 82.5 points to the opposition.
🏀Away, the team throws on average 71.2 points per game, misses on average 85 points per meeting.
Match Results: Adelaide Lightning
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 1;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 46;
- Today's home team averages 20, while the visitors average 26.
First Quarter Stats: Geelong United (W) (home) vs Adelaide Lightning (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 10 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 2 (20%) vs 1 (10%);
- Number of losses: 8 (80%) vs 8 (80%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (10%).
- Average points scored: 18.8 vs 17.9;
- Average points conceded: 22.6 vs 21.9.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 0;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 9;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 40.2 (scored - 17.4, conceded - 22.8) vs 40.6 (scored - 17.5, conceded - 23.1).
- Geelong United (W) scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in 10 of last 11 games (WNBL, Australia Women).
- Geelong United (W) scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 home games (WNBL, Australia Women).
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of matchups - 2;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 1.
Statistics: Geelong United (W) vs Adelaide Lightning (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 19 vs 20;
- number of wins: 5 (26.32%) vs 5 (25%);
- number of losses: 14 (73.68%) vs 15 (75%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 2 vs 2;
- number of losses: 8 vs 8;
- number of home wins for the home team: 1;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Adelaide Lightning have lost in 14 of last 15 away games (WNBL, Australia Women).
- Adelaide Lightning have lost in 8 of last 9 games (WNBL, Australia Women).
Total Goals Prediction
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 101.5, for the away team - 87.5;
- average total points in H2H matches - 189.
Statistics: Geelong United (W) vs Adelaide Lightning (W)
- average total in the tournament: 157.79 vs 156;
- average total points scored: 76.05 vs 73.5;
- average total points conceded: 81.74 vs 82.5;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 36.79 vs 39.15;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 38.11 vs 33.6;
- Geelong United (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 79.6;
- Adelaide Lightning (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 71.2;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 72.5 (home - 79.5) vs 71.9 (away - 71.83).
- Adelaide Lightning have scored under 75.5 points in 8 of last 9 away games (WNBL, Australia Women).
Editorial Prediction
- Under 152.5 points scored in last 5 Adelaide Lightning games (WNBL, Australia Women).
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Betting Tips: Geelong United (W) - Adelaide Lightning
in 14 of last 15 away games (WNBL, Australia Women).in 8 of last 9 games (WNBL, Australia Women).in 13 of last 15 away games (WNBL, Australia Women).in 10 of last 11 games (WNBL, Australia Women).in last 7 away games (WNBL, Australia Women).in 8 of last 9 games (WNBL, Australia Women).
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