Hawks vs Hornets Prediction 23 November 2025
🔊 Can the hosts put on a solid defensive display? In this NBA regular season matchup, Atlanta will face off against Charlotte. The visitors are in a rather dismal state, which almost rules out any standout offensive performances. Meanwhile, the Hawks, who are gradually tightening up their defense, are in a position to capitalize on this.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical analysis of previous official games between the Atlanta Hawks and Charlotte Hornets:
- They have played 50 matches;
- Victories (including overtime): the current home team has won 26 times, while the visitors have secured 24 wins;
- The home team averages 109.3 points per game, while the visitors average 106.8;
- The average total score per game is 216.1.
The last encounter took place on 18 March 2025 at the Charlotte Hornets' court and ended with a score of 102-134.
Head-to-head statistics Hawks - Hornets
Atlanta Hawks Team Overview
Atlanta's current standing reflects their mid-table status in the Eastern Conference, boasting a 56.3% win rate. The team isn't on a hot streak, but it's far from a slump either, securing 3 victories in their last 5 games. They defeated New Orleans (115-98), though they previously fell to San Antonio (126-135) and Detroit (112-120). Heading into the upcoming matchup, the Hawks are seen as favorites, with a strong chance of securing a decisive victory on home court.
The team's unpredictability in terms of top scorers is evidently a key strength. With Young sidelined due to injury, any player could step up and deliver a standout scoring performance in any given game. This has positively impacted their overall statistics, as they currently average 117.8 points per game. Their three-point shooting is hitting at a 37.4% success rate. Against Charlotte, they have the potential to excel significantly.
Match Results: Atlanta Hawks
Charlotte Hornets Team Overview
The visiting team, to put it mildly, is not performing at its best: they've suffered four losses in their last four games. They recently faced the Clippers and lost 116-131. This was against one of the weakest offenses in the entire league. It's becoming clear that the current configuration of the "Hornets" is simply unable to compete even with mid-tier Eastern teams, let alone those aiming for higher positions.
There aren't any major issues with the lineup. However, the team is plagued by significant disarray in many aspects. Their shooting accuracy is a mere 45.7%, ranking them 21st in the league. Their average scoring stands at 116.6 points (20th). There's no standout factor that would help them manage against the current Atlanta squad. Most notably, their offensive component might falter significantly. LaMelo Ball and Collin Sexton are far from being players who consistently deliver results in the here and now.
Match Results: Charlotte Hornets
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 50;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 6;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 52.82;
- Today's home team averages 27.56, while the visitors average 25.26.
First Quarter Stats: Atlanta Hawks (home) vs Charlotte Hornets (away)
- Tournament matches played: 8 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Number of losses: 4 (50%) vs 9 (81.82%);
- Number of draws: 1 (12.5%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 30.88 vs 30.09;
- Average points conceded: 29.38 vs 34.64.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 6;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 58.6 (scored - 30.3, conceded - 28.3) vs 66.9 (scored - 32.7, conceded - 34.2).
- Atlanta Hawks scored over 29.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 home games against Charlotte Hornets (NBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 50;
- Home team wins - 26, away team wins - 24.
- Charlotte Hornets won with a +13.5 points handicap in 13 of last 15 away games against Atlanta Hawks (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 109.3, for the away team - 106.8;
- average total points in H2H matches - 216.1.
Statistics: Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets
- average total in the tournament: 233.62 vs 238.29;
- average total points scored: 117.52 vs 117.52;
- average total points conceded: 116.1 vs 120.76;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 59.52 vs 60;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 57.19 vs 57.29;
- Atlanta Hawks: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 113.75;
- Charlotte Hornets: average total points scored away in the tournament - 118.27;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 119.3 (home - 114.5) vs 114 (away - 116).
- Over 227.5 points scored in 7 of last 8 Charlotte Hornets away games (NBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
It's entirely logical that bookmakers favor the Hawks. Their decentralized offense clearly poses significant challenges to nearly any defense in the league. Charlotte's defense, which has been lackluster, won't be an exception. Atlanta appear to be a much more elite club, with options both in defense and attack. Given the tight schedule, it's unlikely the hosts will maintain their optimal lineup when the outcome is already decided. Once rotation begins, the pace will slow down, and there will be a greater focus on defense. Bookmakers are overestimating the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Therefore, our editorial team suggests betting on under 238.5 points.No comments
Betting Tips: Atlanta Hawks - Charlotte Hornets
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in 7 of last 8 games (NBA).
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