Zalgiris vs Asvel Prediction 23 October 2026
π Round 7 of the EuroLeague brings Zalgiris and ASVEL head-to-head in Kaunas. Both sides have opened the tournament with identical 2-4 records and currently sit near the bottom of the standings. The hosts, seen as clear favourites by the bookmakers, face a crucial home fixture where they need to pick up points and restore their confidence. For the French club, itβs a tough road trip against a team renowned for their strength on home court.
Head-to-Head
πΕ½algiris cruised to victory in both meetings during last seasonβs EuroLeague campaign, posting a dominant 96-59 win at home and following up with a 96-77 triumph on the road. However, prior to that, ASVEL had claimed three consecutive wins in this head-to-head.
Head-to-head statistics Zalgiris - Asvel
Zalgiris: Can They Hold Their Ground Without Williams-Goss?
In their previous outing, Ε½algiris fell at home to Anadolu Efes (70-85) and were thrashed by FenerbahΓ§e (80-99) the week before. Tomas Masiulisβ side are struggling for consistency: early in the season, they notched impressive wins on the road against Barcelona (88-81) and Paris, but have since suffered a sharp downturn. The main headline for the Kaunas club in recent days is the loss of Williams-Goss, who is set to miss around four weeks. The starting point guard and chief playmaker aggravated an injury against Efes and will be sidelined for up to seven EuroLeague games. In response, Ε½algiris are close to bringing Evans back from the London Lions to fill the point guard vacancy.
Nevertheless, the Baltic club remain a real threat in the frontcourt. ValanΔiΕ«nas and Tubelis form a powerful big-man duo capable of dominating the boards. Against Barcelona, Tubelis played as a small-ball center and stretched the floor, giving his team a significant edge. Facing ASVEL - who lack elite rim protectors - this pairing should be able to cause major problems in the paint.
Match Results: Zalgiris Kaunas
ASVEL: Mills, Crowder and the Rest of the Squad
ASVEL head into this fixture with a record identical to that of Zalgiris. In their last outing, the French side suffered a heavy defeat to Real Madrid (92-111), with their only EuroLeague wins coming against Maccabi and Paris. Parkerβs squad are still searching for consistency, and a trip to Kaunas is hardly the ideal setting to turn things around. Their primary offensive threats, Mills and Crowder, are both veteran players (38 and 36 years old), forcing the coaching staff to carefully manage their minutes and occasionally leave them out of the domestic league roster to preserve their fitness.
Bolomboy is ASVELβs main presence in the paint, shouldering much of the responsibility under the basket, especially in the absence of Dosso-Yovo. Facing Valanciunas and Tubelis, heβll have his work cut out for him - making it difficult for the French side to compete on equal terms with a more skilled opponent. To make matters worse, Washington is also sidelined by injury alongside Dosso-Yovo, and Millsβ availability remains in doubt.
Match Results: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
Match Outcome Prediction
Looking at the last ten games for each side, both have recorded six wins and four losses. Notably, Ε½algiris have secured seven of those victories on home court, while ASVEL have celebrated four away wins during that stretch. A key trend to highlight: the French side have managed to avoid defeats by more than 13 points in 14 of their last 15 EuroLeague outings. With that in mind, backing the visitors with a +13.5 handicap at odds of 1.64 looks like a well-founded prediction.
Total Points Prediction
In head-to-head matchups, Ε½algiris average 82 points per game, while ASVEL post 76.2. Looking at the last ten meetings, Ε½algiris have bumped their average to 86.4 points (with an even higher 91 points at home), and ASVEL are putting up 88.7 (slightly higher on the road at 88.8). The under 174.5 points has landed in thirteen of the last fourteen EuroLeague clashes between these sides, and in six out of seven games hosted by Ε½algiris. These trends make a strong case for backing under 174.5 points at odds of 1.80.
β Editorial Prediction
Zalgiris enter this clash as clear favorites - and rightfully so. With home-court advantage, a more balanced roster, and Valanciunas anchoring the frontcourt, the hosts hold a significant edge. ASVEL can cause problems in spurts, especially through individual drives and perimeter shooting from Crowder and Mills (if he features), but sustaining the tempo and holding firm defensively over four quarters will be a tall order for the French side. Our pick: Zalgiris to win with a -8.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Zalgiris Kaunas - ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
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