Lynx vs Mercury Prediction

    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    83
    89
    21
    27
    14
    17
    19
    13
    22
    25
    4
    10

    🔊 The WNBA playoff clash between the Minnesota Lynx and the Phoenix Mercury promises to be a nail-biter. The game will take place in Minneapolis, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. The home team solidified their status as favorites in the first encounter, but the Mercury certainly didn't look out of contention. Let's break down the matchup and offer an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of past official games between the Minnesota Lynx (W) and Phoenix Mercury (W):

    • They have played 66 matches;
    • Wins (including overtime): 51 for the current home team and 15 for the visitors;
    • The hosts average 83.41 points per game, while the visitors average 75.45;
    • The average total score per game is 158.86.

    The last encounter took place on 21 September 2025 at the Minnesota Lynx's court and ended with a score of 82-69.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    53 Wins
    25%
    18 Wins
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    13.05.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    84
    88
    20
    19
    25
    22
    22
    27
    17
    20
    29.09.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    86
    81
    14
    25
    24
    13
    17
    30
    31
    13
    27.09.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    84
    76
    19
    22
    29
    22
    15
    23
    21
    9
    23.09.25
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    83
    89
    21
    19
    27
    13
    14
    22
    17
    25
    4
    10
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview

    The Minnesota Lynx are in impressive form, boasting four wins in their last five games, making them the clear favorites for the upcoming matchup. Throughout the season, the team has secured 33 victories against 11 losses, underscoring their leadership ambitions and status as a top contender for playoff triumph.

    Their average performance highlights a strong game on both offense and defense. A standout feature of this organization is their reliable play under the basket and their ability to control the pace with precise long-range shooting.

    Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)

    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    88
    68
    16
    24
    29
    19
    26
    10
    17
    15
    W
    05.06.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    87
    84
    18
    22
    24
    22
    23
    22
    22
    18
    W
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    W
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    58
    79
    12
    19
    18
    14
    16
    31
    12
    15
    W
    28.05.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    96
    81
    23
    14
    19
    23
    28
    19
    26
    25
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    Phoenix Mercury display a more erratic form, with two wins and three losses in their last five games, highlighting their inconsistency. Their season has been mixed, securing 26 victories out of 44 possible games, yet recent playoff performances reveal fluctuations in their form. Phoenix are known for their aggressive offense and rapid transitions from defense to attack, but inconsistent shooting execution often results in unsatisfactory outcomes.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    72
    78
    16
    21
    18
    17
    17
    17
    21
    23
    W
    04.06.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    68
    72
    15
    21
    18
    15
    22
    16
    13
    20
    W
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    L
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    75
    68
    17
    11
    17
    20
    25
    23
    16
    14
    L
    27.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    84
    74
    24
    22
    18
    21
    30
    12
    12
    19
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total encounters - 66;
    • Home victories - 51, Away victories - 15.
    Trends
    • Minnesota Lynx (W) have won 11 consecutive home games against this opponent (WNBA).
    • Minnesota Lynx (W) have claimed victory in 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matchups (WNBA).
    • Minnesota Lynx (W) have emerged victorious in 8 of their last 9 home games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Minnesota Lynx (W) Win (inc. OT)(Odds: 1.27)

    Total Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Average points per game for the home team - 83.41, for the away team - 75.45;
    • Average total points in head-to-head games - 158.86.

    Statistics: Minnesota Lynx (W) vs Phoenix Mercury (W)

    • Average tournament total: 161.52 vs 162.95;
    • Average points scored: 85.34 vs 82.68;
    • Average points conceded: 76.18 vs 80.27;
    • Average points scored in the first half: 42.25 vs 43.09;
    • Average points scored in the second half: 42.86 vs 39.5;
    • Minnesota Lynx (W): Average points scored at home in the tournament - 87.04;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): Average points scored on the road in the tournament - 81.91;
    • Last 10 games (average points scored): 83.6 (home - 86) vs 78.6 (away - 78).
    👉Prediction: Total points Over (158.5)(Odds: 1.93)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    A thrilling, high-stakes encounter is on the cards as both teams have a lot riding on this match. Minnesota favors a slower pace, focusing on solid defense and reliable three-point shooting, while Phoenix aims to impose a fast-paced game with frequent counterattacks.

    Despite Minnesota's current winning streak and their victory in the previous game of this series, we anticipate a fierce contest from the visitors, driven by the rivalry's intensity and their desire to prove they can compete with the Lynx. Expect a high-scoring affair, and we're backing the total to exceed 158.5 points.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (158.5) at odds of -108*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 September 2025, 07:39)

    Betting Tips: Minnesota Lynx (W) - Phoenix Mercury (W)

    Minnesota Lynx (W) have won
    minnesota-lynxphoenix-mercuryin last 11 home games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    minnesota-lynxphoenix-mercuryin 8 of last 9 games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    minnesota-lynxin 8 of last 9 home games (WNBA).
    Minnesota Lynx (W) Win (inc. OT)
    MyBookie
    -250
    Minnesota Lynx (W) won the 4th quarter
    minnesota-lynxin 11 of last 12 home games (WNBA).
    4th Quarter Minnesota Lynx (W) Win
    -137
    Minnesota Lynx (W) won the 1st half
    minnesota-lynxin 8 of last 9 home games (WNBA).
    1st Half Minnesota Lynx (W) Win
    -233
    Minnesota Lynx (W) won the 2nd half
    minnesota-lynxin 7 of last 8 home games (WNBA).
    minnesota-lynxin last 6 games (WNBA).
    2nd Half Minnesota Lynx (W) Win
    -164

    Lynx - Mercury Table position

    Group stage Commissioner's Cup Western Conference
    gWLForm
    1.
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    651
    2.
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    642
    3.
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    642
    4.
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    633
    6.
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    Las Vegas Aces (W)
    624