Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    84
    88
    20
    25
    22
    17
    19
    22
    27
    20

    🔈Which players can take on leadership in defense? The names of the best defenders will become known after the showdown between the teams Phoenix Mercury (W) and Minnesota Lynx (W), which will take place on 13 May at 02:00 in the "WNBA" tournament. After a thorough analysis of the match, we are ready to share our predictions regarding its possible outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Phoenix Mercury (W) and Minnesota Lynx (W):

    • played 69 matches;
    • wins (including extra time): 18 for today's home team and 51 for the guests;
    • the home team averages 75.93 points per match, the guests - 83.26;
    • average total match points - 159.19.

    The last confrontation took place on 29 September 2025 at the venue of Phoenix Mercury (W) and ended with a score of 86:81.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    25%
    18 Wins
    75%
    53 Wins
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    13.05.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    84
    88
    20
    19
    25
    22
    22
    27
    17
    20
    29.09.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    86
    81
    14
    25
    24
    13
    17
    30
    31
    13
    27.09.25
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    84
    76
    19
    22
    29
    22
    15
    23
    21
    9
    23.09.25
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    83
    89
    21
    19
    27
    13
    14
    22
    17
    25
    4
    10
    Empty
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    Phoenix Mercury (W) Team Overview

    📊The Phoenix Mercury (W) team went through the last ten-game stretch, leaving behind a trail of splendid games and unforgettable moments. 6 wins and 4 losses are the figures that can be seen in this segment in the post-match protocols.

    🏀The athletes demonstrated outstanding offensive qualities, scoring 890 points during this time, and maintaining an average score of 89 points per game. This result is not only due to individual skill but also the skillful combination of efforts by the entire team.

    🚧The defense also deserves attention, as with 83.7 points conceded, the team confirmed its reliability and cohesion in defensive actions. Every mistake in defense was thoroughly analyzed to improve the game.

    ❕The successes at the home venue are especially noteworthy, where 89.67 points were scored in the last 10 matches. This speaks to the team's extraordinary ability to interact and dominate when they play at home.

    Match Results: Phoenix Mercury (W)

    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Portland Fire (W)
    Portland Fire (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    72
    78
    16
    21
    18
    17
    17
    17
    21
    23
    W
    04.06.26
    WNBA
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    68
    72
    15
    21
    18
    15
    22
    16
    13
    20
    W
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    L
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    75
    68
    17
    11
    17
    20
    25
    23
    16
    14
    L
    27.05.26
    WNBA
    New York Liberty (W)
    New York Liberty (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    84
    74
    24
    22
    18
    21
    30
    12
    12
    19
    L
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    Minnesota Lynx (W) Team Overview

    📊Playing away always poses special challenges, but the team Minnesota Lynx (W) managed to overcome them with dignity, achieving 6 victories in a stretch of 10 matches. These achievements were made possible not only by the individual skills of the players but also by their ability to work as a single organism.

    🏀The total number of points scored over the same period - 826 points - highlights the efficiency of the team's attack, which does not lose its potential even in the absence of home support.

    🚧The defensive play, with the team averaging 77.6 points conceded, deserves special attention. In away matches, where every detail matters, the club demonstrated high concentration and mutual support.

    Match Results: Minnesota Lynx (W)

    06.06.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    Seattle Storm (W)
    88
    68
    16
    24
    29
    19
    26
    10
    17
    15
    W
    05.06.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    87
    84
    18
    22
    24
    22
    23
    22
    22
    18
    W
    02.06.26
    WNBA
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    77
    111
    22
    35
    18
    32
    16
    21
    21
    23
    W
    29.05.26
    WNBA
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Chicago Sky (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    58
    79
    12
    19
    18
    14
    16
    31
    12
    15
    W
    28.05.26
    WNBA
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    Atlanta Dream (W)
    96
    81
    23
    14
    19
    23
    28
    19
    26
    25
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 69;
    • First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 19;
    • Average total points in the first quarter: 40.97;
    • Today's home team averages 19.83, while the visitors average 21.14.

    First Quarter Stats: Phoenix Mercury (W) (home) vs Minnesota Lynx (W) (away)

    • Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
    • Number of wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
    • Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • Average points scored: 29 vs 12;
    • Average points conceded: 13 vs 21.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 4 vs 6;
    • Number of losses: 5 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
    • Average first quarter total: 45.4 (scored - 22.9, conceded - 22.5) vs 41.7 (scored - 21.1, conceded - 20.6).
    Trends
    • Phoenix Mercury (W) scored under 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 7 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter, Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Under (22.5) (odds: 1.72)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • Number of encounters - 69;
    • Home team wins - 18, away team wins - 51.
    Trends
    • Minnesota Lynx (W) won with a +8.5 points handicap in 21 of last 22 away games against Phoenix Mercury (W) (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Minnesota Lynx (W) Handicap (+8.5) (odds: 1.59)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H:

    • average total points per match for the home team - 75.93, for the away team - 83.26;
    • average total points in H2H matches - 159.19.

    Statistics: Phoenix Mercury (W) vs Minnesota Lynx (W)

    • average total in the tournament: 174.33 vs 157.5;
    • average total points scored: 97.67 vs 82;
    • average total points conceded: 76.67 vs 75.5;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 54 vs 42.5;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.67 vs 39.5;
    • Phoenix Mercury (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 86;
    • Minnesota Lynx (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 77;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89 (home - 89.67) vs 82.6 (away - 77.25).

    Trends
    • Phoenix Mercury (W) have scored under 86.5 points in 7 of last 8 games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
    • Phoenix Mercury (W) have scored under 86.5 points in 13 of last 14 home games (WNBA).
    👉Prediction: Phoenix Mercury (W) Total points Under (86.5) (odds: 1.87)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 172.5 points scored in last 8 Phoenix Mercury (W) games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
    • Under 172.5 points scored in 8 of last 9 Minnesota Lynx (W) games (WNBA).

    Our choice
    Total points Under (172.5) at odds of -156*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 May 2026, 04:25)

    Betting Tips: Phoenix Mercury (W) - Minnesota Lynx (W)

    Phoenix Mercury (W) lost the 1st quarter
    phoenix-mercuryminnesota-lynxin last 5 home games against Minnesota Lynx (W) (WNBA).
    1st Quarter Minnesota Lynx (W) Win
    +145
    Phoenix Mercury (W) won the 2nd half
    phoenix-mercuryin last 7 home games (WNBA).
    2nd Half Phoenix Mercury (W) Win
    -137
    Minnesota Lynx (W) lost the 1st half
    minnesota-lynxin 6 of last 7 away games (WNBA).
    1st Half Phoenix Mercury (W) Win
    -167
    Phoenix Mercury (W) won the 4th quarter
    phoenix-mercuryin last 6 home games (WNBA).
    4th Quarter Phoenix Mercury (W) Win
    -118
    View more facts

    Mercury - Lynx Table position

    Preseason
    gWLForm
    1.
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    Minnesota Lynx (W)
    330
    2.
    Dallas Wings (W)
    Dallas Wings (W)
    220
    3.
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    Los Angeles Sparks (W)
    220
    4.
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    Phoenix Mercury (W)
    220
    5.
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    Golden State Valkyries (W)
    110