Raptors vs Cleveland Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    126
    104
    31
    23
    29
    43
    25
    29
    27
    23

    🔊 Can the home team turn the series around after moving to their own court? On Friday, the third game of the NBA playoff opening round will feature the Toronto Raptors against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The visitors have so far confidently lived up to their status as favorites, easily winning both matchups on their home court. Their margin of safety was so significant that fans of the club have reasonable grounds to believe their team might secure advancement to the next round right in Canada. However, let's not rush to conclusions, as the league's history has plenty of examples where everything changes dramatically. Let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams have faced each other 67 times, with the visitors from Cleveland currently leading in victories-39 to the hosts' 28. The last encounter between these opponents took place at the Cavaliers' court and ended in their triumph with a score of 115-105.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    43%
    31 Wins
    57%
    41 Wins
    03.05.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    114
    102
    24
    26
    25
    23
    38
    19
    27
    34
    01.05.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    112
    110
    32
    32
    29
    19
    31
    30
    12
    23
    8
    6
    29.04.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    125
    120
    38
    34
    29
    40
    33
    29
    25
    17
    26.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    93
    89
    14
    17
    24
    19
    22
    22
    33
    31
    24.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    126
    104
    31
    25
    23
    29
    29
    27
    43
    23
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Toronto Raptors Team Overview

    The Toronto Raptors are currently navigating a turbulent stretch, marked by a mix of victories and defeats. Over their last five games, they have secured two wins but suffered three losses, indicating a downturn in their performance. This was particularly evident in the opening two setbacks of their series against Cleveland. Compared to Game 1, the Canadians made some adjustments, notably improving in rebounding battles and fast breaks, effectively wearing down the Cavaliers physically.

    However, their overall offensive performance still fell short against a more skilled opponent. The Raptors struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 27% of their attempts, and they committed nearly twice as many turnovers-22 compared to 12. Their offense found some rhythm thanks to the efforts of Barnes and Barrett, who combined for 48 points. Meanwhile, star player Ingram was tightly marked by Wade and had a dismal outing, making just 3 of his 15 field goal attempts. Coach Rajakovic benched Pöltl for the second half, opting for the shorter Müller-Boyles, which further opened up opportunities for the opponent in the paint. Overall, the outcome of the series seems all but decided at this point.

    Match Results: Toronto Raptors

    03.05.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    114
    102
    24
    26
    25
    23
    38
    19
    27
    34
    L
    01.05.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    112
    110
    32
    32
    29
    19
    31
    30
    12
    23
    8
    6
    W
    29.04.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    125
    120
    38
    34
    29
    40
    33
    29
    25
    17
    L
    26.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    93
    89
    14
    17
    24
    19
    22
    22
    33
    31
    W
    24.04.26
    NBA
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    126
    104
    31
    25
    23
    29
    29
    27
    43
    23
    W
    Empty
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    Cleveland Cavaliers Team Overview

    The Cleveland Cavaliers are in excellent shape, having secured eight wins in their last ten games. Fortunately for the franchise's fans, their impressive form has carried over into the playoffs, where they've started with two convincing victories. Everything is going according to plan, as Atkinson's squad effectively capitalizes on their clear superiority. This is particularly evident in their offensive creativity-Toronto simply can't keep up with the dynamic plays orchestrated by Harden, Mitchell, and their teammates. It's worth highlighting Mobley's role, who has found remarkable chemistry with Harden at this crucial stage of the season.

    Mobley dominated the paint in Game 2, sinking 11 of 13 shots from the field-almost all (10 of 13) were made right under the basket. It seems this weapon could prove fatal for their opponents, as neither Pöltl nor Müller-Boyles can effectively counter the big man. It's important to note that while Cleveland's primary options remain Harden and Mitchell, Mobley's presence has added much-needed versatility to their offense. The Cavaliers' defense is also performing well; in the second game, Wade completely shut down Ingram, denying him any open looks. So far, the balance of power in this series clearly favors Cleveland, and it could very well end in a sweep of the Canadians.

    Match Results: Cleveland Cavaliers

    26.05.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    93
    130
    26
    38
    23
    30
    22
    30
    22
    32
    L
    24.05.26
    NBA
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    108
    121
    27
    37
    27
    23
    28
    31
    26
    30
    L
    22.05.26
    NBA
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    109
    93
    24
    27
    29
    22
    32
    21
    24
    23
    L
    20.05.26
    NBA
    New York Knicks
    New York Knicks
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    115
    104
    23
    16
    23
    32
    23
    35
    32
    18
    14
    3
    L
    18.05.26
    NBA
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit Pistons
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    94
    125
    22
    31
    25
    33
    26
    35
    21
    26
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Toronto Raptors

    ⛔ Toronto will be without Hepburn, and Quickley's participation is questionable.

    📋 Projected lineup: Barrett, Barnes, Shead, Ingram, Poeltl.

    Cleveland Cavaliers

    ⛔ The Cavaliers will be without backup Bryant.

    📋 Projected lineup: Wade, Harden, Mitchell, Allen, Mobley.

    🔝 Top Scorers

    Toronto's leading scorer remains Ingram, averaging 21.5 points per game. However, he's yet to make a significant impact in the series against Cleveland: he scored 17 points in the first game and just 7 in the second.

    For Cleveland, Mitchell stands out as the main scorer, delivering an impressive 27.9 points per game. Harden also shines, breathing new life into an already formidable Ohio squad. This dynamic duo dismantled Toronto's defense in the second game, combining for a total of 58 points.

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    Toronto ranks among the bottom ten in the NBA for three-point shooting accuracy, with a 35.3% success rate. In Game 2 against Cleveland, the Canadians performed even worse, hitting just 27% of their threes. However, under Rajakovic's guidance, they excel at defending the perimeter, allowing opponents to make only 34.9% of their long-range shots.

    Cleveland, on the other hand, shows solid three-point shooting with a 36% success rate. Yet, in the last game, the Cavaliers struggled like the Raptors, managing only 32.5% of their attempts. Defensively, Atkinson's team has issues on their own perimeter, conceding a 37.2% success rate to opposing shooters.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be dynamic and high-scoring, thanks to the fast pace of both teams. The current form of the visitors looks significantly more convincing compared to the home side. Cleveland have surpassed an individual total of over 110 points in 9 of their last 10 away games. Considering the Raptors' defense struggles to contain the star-studded and fast-paced Cavaliers' offense, we believe Atkinson's squad can rack up a lot of points even on the road, making this a high-scoring affair. Moreover, the hosts are well aware that a 0-3 series deficit in the NBA is a death sentence, so they'll be fighting tooth and nail for a win. We'll go with over 215.5 total points.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (215.5) at odds of -161*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 April 2026, 11:06)

    Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors - Cleveland Cavaliers

    Toronto Raptors lost the 4th quarter
    toronto-raptorscleveland-cavaliersin last 6 home games against Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA).
    Cleveland Cavaliers won the 4th quarter
    cleveland-cavaliersin 11 of last 12 away games (NBA).
    4th Quarter Cleveland Cavaliers Win
    -133
    Toronto Raptors won the 1st quarter
    toronto-raptorsin 8 of last 9 home games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Toronto Raptors Win
    -105
    Toronto Raptors have won
    toronto-raptorsin 8 of last 9 home games (NBA).
    Toronto Raptors Win (inc. OT)
    Bovada
    +125
    Toronto Raptors have scored over 107.5 points
    toronto-raptorscleveland-cavaliersin 7 of last 8 games against Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA).
    Toronto Raptors Total points Over (107.5)
    -152
    View more facts

    Raptors - Cleveland Table position

    Group stage EASTA
    gWLForm
    1.
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto Raptors
    440
    2.
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta Hawks
    422
    3.
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    422
    4.
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana Pacers
    413
    5.
    Washington Wizards
    Washington Wizards
    413