New York Liberty (W) vs Dream Prediction 22 September 2026
🏀 New York is set to host a WNBA clash as the hometown Liberty take on the Atlanta Dream. Both teams sit among the frontrunners in the Eastern Conference and have already secured their playoff berths. For the Liberty, this game carries extra weight as they look to lock up second place in the regular season, while the Dream are determined to hold onto top spot. With plenty at stake in terms of both competition and pride, this promises to be a fiercely contested matchup.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have faced each other 55 times in official competitions. The home team have claimed 33 victories, while the visitors have come out on top on 22 occasions. Their most recent head-to-head took place on 11 June 2026 in Atlanta, with Liberty securing a 104-90 win.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Dream
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York head into this matchup riding a three-game winning streak and have dropped just one of their last five contests. Over their previous ten outings, Liberty have claimed seven victories against three defeats - an impressive run that cements their status as one of the season’s frontrunners. During this stretch, they are averaging 90.9 points per game while conceding just 82.3, a notable improvement compared to their season average of over 86 points allowed. New York thrive in an up-tempo style, especially evident in their offensive sets at home, but it’s their disciplined defense that often allows them to maintain an edge over top-tier opponents.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Atlanta Dream (W) Team Overview
Atlanta Dream are currently on a hot streak, having won three straight games and securing eight victories in their last ten outings, dropping just two contests in that span. Their offensive firepower has been especially impressive during this run - averaging 97.4 points per game while conceding just 81.6. This highlights both a potent attack and a consistent defense against most of their opponents this season. Over the course of the entire campaign, their stats are slightly more modest, with around 91 points scored and nearly 85 allowed per game. However, their recent form suggests that Atlanta are more than capable of maintaining a high tempo, even when playing on the road.
Match Results: Atlanta Dream (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 13;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.73;
- Today's home team averages 20.58, while the visitors average 20.15.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Atlanta Dream (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 22 vs 21;
- Number of wins: 14 (63.64%) vs 8 (38.1%);
- Number of losses: 7 (31.82%) vs 10 (47.62%);
- Number of draws: 1 (4.55%) vs 3 (14.29%).
- Average points scored: 23.05 vs 19.86;
- Average points conceded: 19.82 vs 19.81.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 43.7 (scored - 22.9, conceded - 20.8) vs 44.7 (scored - 24.8, conceded - 19.9).
- Under 45.5 points in the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 New York Liberty (W) home games against Atlanta Dream (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.02, for the away team - 77.35;
- average total points in H2H matches - 157.36.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Atlanta Dream (W)
- average total in the tournament: 176.44 vs 175.66;
- average total points scored: 90.11 vs 90.91;
- average total points conceded: 86.33 vs 84.75;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.29 vs 44.45;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 45.18 vs 46.23;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 87.55;
- Atlanta Dream (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 88.62;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 90.9 (home - 90) vs 97.4 (away - 100.4).
- Atlanta Dream (W) have scored under 90.5 points in 49 of last 50 games against New York Liberty (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 55;
- number of wins for the home team - 33, for the away team - 22.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Atlanta Dream (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 42 vs 42;
- number of wins: 28 (62.22%) vs 29 (65.91%);
- number of losses: 17 (37.78%) vs 15 (34.09%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 15;
- number of away wins for the away team: 14.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 7 vs 8;
- number of losses: 3 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 5.
- Atlanta Dream (W) have won in 7 of last 8 away games (WNBA).
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Much in this matchup will hinge on how quickly Atlanta can impose their tempo on the hosts. Both teams excel in transition and aren’t shy about taking shots from deep or ramping up the pace. However, New York typically play lower-scoring games at home: the under 182.5 has hit in six of their last seven home fixtures, and totals below 179.5 have been recorded in seven of their previous eight outings. This recent trend suggests that, regardless of an energetic start, games tend to slow down and become more cautious down the stretch. Considering the hosts’ solid defensive performances in the second half of home games and Atlanta’s tendency to cool off after fast starts, it’s reasonable to expect a relatively modest final score despite both sides’ offensive firepower. The pick - under 180.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Atlanta Dream (W)
in last 6 games against Atlanta Dream (W) (WNBA).in 5 of last 6 home games against Atlanta Dream (W) (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 away games (WNBA).in 7 of last 8 away games (WNBA).
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