New York Liberty (W) vs Chicago Sky (W) Prediction 22 July 2026
🏀 In the WNBA, the New York Liberty are set to host the Chicago Sky. For the hosts, this game is a chance to solidify their position among the contenders at the top of the Eastern Conference. The visitors, meanwhile, sit in the lower half of the standings and are eager to bounce back after a disappointing run of results. With both teams highly motivated - New York aiming to find consistency and Chicago searching for a breakthrough amidst their struggles - this matchup carries significant weight in the context of the season.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams New York Liberty (W) and Chicago Sky (W):
- played 57 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 26 for today's home team and 31 for the guests;
- the home team averages 81.04 points per match, the guests - 83.93;
- average total match points - 164.96.
The last confrontation took place on 18 June 2026 at the venue of Chicago Sky (W) and ended with a score of 95:96.
Head-to-head statistics New York Liberty (W) - Chicago Sky (W)
New York Liberty (W) Team Overview
New York head into this matchup having snapped a four-game losing streak with a hard-fought overtime victory against Dallas (99-98) just last night. Over their last 10 outings, Liberty have managed only four wins alongside six defeats, signalling a dip in form. On the season, they’re averaging 88.2 points scored and 86 conceded per contest. Defensive lapses have become a recurring issue, with opponents regularly surpassing the 85-point mark in recent weeks. Playing at home, New York rarely exceed their season scoring average; quick transition plays are often followed by stretches of offensive stagnation.
Match Results: New York Liberty (W)
Chicago Sky (W) Team Overview
Chicago sit in the lower half of the Eastern Conference standings, teetering between breaking free from a prolonged slump and enjoying occasional bursts of success, five wins and five losses in their last ten games perfectly illustrate their inconsistency. Offensively, the Sky have seen their average points per game climb to an impressive 95.1 over that stretch, but defensive issues persist. Chicago are conceding 90.6 points per game and own one of the weakest defensive ratings in the league this season (90.1). This results in high-scoring, up-tempo contests with an emphasis on offense, particularly as the team tends to take control in the second half.
Match Results: Chicago Sky (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 57;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 12; for the visitors on the road - 14;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 41.42;
- Today's home team averages 20.53, while the visitors average 20.89.
First Quarter Stats: New York Liberty (W) (home) vs Chicago Sky (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 14 vs 14;
- Number of wins: 8 (57.14%) vs 4 (28.57%);
- Number of losses: 5 (35.71%) vs 10 (71.43%);
- Number of draws: 1 (7.14%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 22 vs 18.71;
- Average points conceded: 20.07 vs 22.64.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 42.7 (scored - 21.6, conceded - 21.1) vs 45.8 (scored - 23.1, conceded - 22.7).
- Under 45.5 points in the 1st quarter in 26 of last 27 New York Liberty (W) home games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 57;
- number of wins for the home team - 26, for the away team - 31.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Chicago Sky (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 26 vs 26;
- number of wins: 16 (55.17%) vs 9 (32.14%);
- number of losses: 13 (44.83%) vs 19 (67.86%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 8;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 5;
- number of losses: 6 vs 5;
- number of home wins for the home team: 2;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Chicago Sky (W) won with a +15.5 points handicap in last 10 games (WNBA).
- Chicago Sky (W) won with a +15.5 points handicap in last 5 away games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.04, for the away team - 83.93;
- average total points in H2H matches - 164.96.
Statistics: New York Liberty (W) vs Chicago Sky (W)
- average total in the tournament: 174.21 vs 177.64;
- average total points scored: 88.21 vs 87.54;
- average total points conceded: 86 vs 90.11;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 43.45 vs 41;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.76 vs 46.11;
- New York Liberty (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 85.29;
- Chicago Sky (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 83.79;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 87.4 (home - 89.67) vs 95.1 (away - 87.2).
- New York Liberty (W) have scored under 94.5 points in last 14 home games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams tend to play at a high tempo: Chicago consistently scores over 86 points in nearly every recent outing, while New York have seen the total go over 174.5 in six of their last seven games. Neither side can boast reliable defense at the moment, Chicago are trending downward defensively, and the visitors also allow opponents plenty of opportunities around the rim. In nine of their last ten games, Chicago have been involved in contests finishing with at least 177 points. We expect a fast-paced shootout with little emphasis on tough defense from either team. The pick - total over 176.5.
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Betting Tips: New York Liberty (W) - Chicago Sky (W)
in 9 of last 10 home games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).in last 6 games against Chicago Sky (W) (WNBA).in 9 of last 10 away games (WNBA).
in 7 of last 8 away games (WNBA).
