Aces vs Seattle Storm (W) Prediction 21 September 2026
๐ In this WNBA regular season clash, the Las Vegas Aces take on the Seattle Storm. The hosts have been in excellent form lately, especially on the defensive end. Meanwhile, Seattleโs offense has struggled mightily on the road. All signs point toward a low-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
๐ The teams faced off just a few days ago, with Las Vegas cruising to a 114-77 victory. Over their last five games, the Aces have looked far superior, posting a 4-1 record.
Head-to-head statistics Aces - Seattle Storm (W)
Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview
Las Vegas boast a 65.9% win rate this season - one of the best records in the league. They recently routed Seattle on the road, and now, back on their home court, Las Vegas are expected to tighten up defensively. Offensively, they have plenty of weapons as well. However, once the team builds a comfortable lead, they tend to ease off the gas, and shooting efficiency often dips when the second unit comes in. On average, Las Vegas put up 90.9 points per game, but that number may drop this time around, as their opponents are likely to raise their defensive intensity and put up a tougher fight.
Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)
Seattle Storm (W) Team Overview
Seattle have dropped four of their last five games, struggling to find any consistency on the court. Both ends of the floor have been an issue - defensively, theyโre conceding an average of 88 points per game, while offensively, theyโre only managing 82.2. In addition to their loss to Las Vegas, Seattle also fell to Golden State (57-70), a game in which they managed just six points in one quarter - a clear sign of their offensive woes. Creativity and execution remain major concerns. Playing on the road will only add to their challenges. Their best shot at staying competitive is to ramp up the defensive intensity. While itโs unlikely theyโll be able to completely shut down their opponent, putting in a respectable performance is still within reach.
Match Results: Seattle Storm (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 64;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 14; for the visitors on the road - 17;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.19;
- Today's home team averages 20.06, while the visitors average 20.13.
First Quarter Stats: Las Vegas Aces (W) (home) vs Seattle Storm (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 21 vs 22;
- Number of wins: 14 (66.67%) vs 8 (36.36%);
- Number of losses: 6 (28.57%) vs 14 (63.64%);
- Number of draws: 1 (4.76%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 25.1 vs 20.45;
- Average points conceded: 21.57 vs 24.55.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 3 vs 7;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.3 (scored - 23.3, conceded - 21) vs 42.1 (scored - 17.8, conceded - 24.3).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) scored under 25.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 7 games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) scored under 25.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 home games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) scored under 25.5 points in the 1st quarter in 12 of last 13 games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 81.56, for the away team - 79.36;
- average total points in H2H matches - 160.92.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.52 vs 170.14;
- average total points scored: 90.93 vs 82.16;
- average total points conceded: 86.59 vs 87.98;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.7 vs 40.7;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.7 vs 41.14;
- Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.9;
- Seattle Storm (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 79.36;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 89.2 (home - 88.67) vs 80.6 (away - 76.5).
- Under 179.5 points scored in 8 of last 9 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games against Seattle Storm (W) (WNBA).
- Under 179.5 points scored in 7 of last 8 Las Vegas Aces (W) games (WNBA).
- Under 179.5 points scored in last 6 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 64;
- number of wins for the home team - 37, for the away team - 27.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 41 vs 42;
- number of wins: 29 (65.91%) vs 9 (20.45%);
- number of losses: 15 (34.09%) vs 35 (79.55%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 14;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 2;
- number of losses: 4 vs 8;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
- Seattle Storm (W) won with a +16.5 points handicap in 19 of last 21 games (WNBA).
โญ Editorial Prediction
Bookmakers are backing the home side in this matchup. Las Vegas have what it takes to control the game from start to finish. Still, a blowout isn't guaranteed here. Seattle are slowly adjusting to their offensive struggles, and they're steadily tightening up on defense. Expect a slow-paced contest with fewer possessions. Given these factors, our editorial team suggests taking under 180.5 total points.
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Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - Seattle Storm (W)
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