Aces vs Connecticut Sun (W) Prediction 21 August 2026
π In one of the upcoming WNBA matchups, the Las Vegas Aces host the Connecticut Sun. The home side remain firmly in the hunt among the Western Conference frontrunners, while the visitors sit bottom of the Eastern standings and are merely playing out the remainder of the regular season. For Las Vegas, this game offers a chance to further solidify their position among the leagueβs elite, whereas for the underdogs, any positive result would be a welcome boost during a tough stretch. However, there are serious doubts as to whether the Sun can hold their own against such a formidable opponent.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Las Vegas Aces (W) and Connecticut Sun (W):
- played 55 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 28 for today's home team and 27 for the guests;
- the home team averages 78.18 points per match, the guests - 78.93;
- average total match points - 157.11.
The last confrontation took place on 15 May 2026 at the venue of Connecticut Sun (W) and ended with a score of 94:101.
Head-to-head statistics Aces - Connecticut Sun (W)
Las Vegas Aces (W) Team Overview
Las Vegas are putting together a solid campaign, racking up 24 wins and 13 losses through 37 games. However, their recent form has been inconsistent-just two victories in their last five outings, capped by a disappointing 82-97 defeat to Atlanta. Over the past ten games, the Aces have split results evenly with five wins and five losses, signalling a dip after earlier dominant stretches this season.
There are positives to build on. Center Wilson is having a monumental season, remaining the frontrunner in the MVP race, while Gray, Young, and Carter inject tremendous pace and ball movement into the offense. The addition of Loyd and Smith to the rotation has given the bench more versatility. Unsurprisingly, the Aces rank among the league leaders in field goal efficiency and assists. Their home court continues to provide an edge on the glass and in transition play.
Match Results: Las Vegas Aces (W)
Connecticut Sun (W) Team Overview
Connecticut are enduring a tough campaign, with just 9 wins against 25 losses highlighting their prolonged struggles this season. The visitorsβ form remains shaky-only three victories in their last ten outings, including a recent win over the Los Angeles Sparks (85-77) coming into this matchup, but consistency continues to elude them. The team lags well behind the leagueβs frontrunners on both ends of the floor, averaging just 79.1 points per game for the season and dipping to 78.6 over the last stretch. Defensively, they concede nearly as much as they score-allowing an average of 86.4 points per game this season, a figure that has climbed to 88.2 over their most recent ten-game span.
Instability in the frontcourt and recurring injuries to key players such as Griner and Edwards have significantly undermined their defensive capabilities. The young star Morrow, along with Van Lith and veteran Charles, remain the driving force for the club, but they struggle to keep pace with more powerful opponents across all four quarters.
Match Results: Connecticut Sun (W)
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 55;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 15; for the visitors on the road - 9;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.84;
- Today's home team averages 19.6, while the visitors average 20.24.
First Quarter Stats: Las Vegas Aces (W) (home) vs Connecticut Sun (W) (away)
- Tournament matches played: 19 vs 17;
- Number of wins: 12 (63.16%) vs 9 (52.94%);
- Number of losses: 6 (31.58%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Number of draws: 1 (5.26%) vs 1 (5.88%).
- Average points scored: 25 vs 22.94;
- Average points conceded: 21.68 vs 23.59.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 5;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 43.8 (scored - 21.8, conceded - 22) vs 46.9 (scored - 22.8, conceded - 24.1).
- Over 40.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 7 Las Vegas Aces (W) home games (WNBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 78.18, for the away team - 78.93;
- average total points in H2H matches - 157.11.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- average total in the tournament: 177.73 vs 165.58;
- average total points scored: 90.13 vs 79.14;
- average total points conceded: 87.6 vs 86.44;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 46.4 vs 40.83;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.15 vs 38.14;
- Las Vegas Aces (W): average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.16;
- Connecticut Sun (W): average total points scored away in the tournament - 78.76;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 87.8 (home - 88.4) vs 78.6 (away - 80.33).
- Over 166.5 points scored in 12 of last 14 Las Vegas Aces (W) games (WNBA).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 55;
- number of wins for the home team - 28, for the away team - 27.
Statistics: Las Vegas Aces (W) vs Connecticut Sun (W)
- number of tournament matches played: 37 vs 34;
- number of wins: 25 (62.5%) vs 10 (27.78%);
- number of losses: 15 (37.5%) vs 26 (72.22%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 12;
- number of away wins for the away team: 4.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 3;
- number of losses: 5 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in last 10 games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
- Las Vegas Aces (W) have won in last 7 home games against Connecticut Sun (W) (WNBA).
β Editorβs Prediction
Las Vegas outclass their opponents across the board-dominating the glass, pushing the tempo, and boasting superior individual talent at the top. Itβs hard to see Connecticut containing superstar Wilson in the paint while also shutting down the Acesβ sharpshooters on the perimeter. Expect the hosts to take command early and maintain control with a high-scoring display. With their deep roster and home-court advantage, the Nevada side look set to pull away by 12 points or more. The smart play is Las Vegas to win with a -11.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Las Vegas Aces (W) - Connecticut Sun (W)
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