Rockets vs Spurs Prediction 21 January 2026
π On Wednesday, the Toyota Center in Houston will host an exciting matchup between the hometown Rockets and the San Antonio Spurs. This clash holds significant importance for both teams as they fiercely compete for a higher spot within the Top 6. The visitors, led by the phenomenal Wembanyama, currently sit in second place and arrive in the neighboring city riding a four-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the hosts have regained their form with the return of ΕengΓΌn. We anticipate an enthralling battle between these two vibrant clubs. Let's delve into the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs:
- played 60 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 28 for today's home team and 32 for the guests;
- the home team averages 107.25 points per match, the guests - 108.3;
- average total match points - 215.55.
The last confrontation took place on 08 November 2025 at the venue of San Antonio Spurs and ended with a score of 121:110.
Head-to-head statistics Rockets - Spurs

Houston Rockets Team Overview
The Houston Rockets are showcasing a solid performance this season, currently sitting in 5th place in the Western Conference with a record of 25 wins and 15 losses. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with three victories interspersed with two defeats, but they managed to secure a win in their latest matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans (119-110).
Offensively, Houston traditionally excels due to their precise long-range shooting (37% accuracy, ranking 6th) and their ability to control the pace of the game. However, their primary strength remains their cohesive defense, which boasts the 4th best rating of the season (110.7). In the aforementioned clash with the Pelicans, role player Smith shone brightly, scoring 32 points. The returning big man Sengun also put in a solid performance with 21 points and 8 rebounds.
Match Results: Houston Rockets

San Antonio Spurs Team Overview
The San Antonio Spurs are sitting in the Top 2 of the Western Conference with an impressive record: 30 wins against just 13 losses. The team is in fine form, having won three of their last five games. The Spurs' strengths lie in their solid defense and smart ball distribution among their offensive players. Additionally, their ability to adapt to various playing styles makes them one of the most versatile teams in the league.
In their previous matchup, Johnson's squad comfortably defeated Utah (123-110). Wembanyama was unstoppable, racking up 33 points and 10 rebounds. The rest of the roster also shone, with seven players scoring 10 or more points. This impressive depth, combined with the "French Swatter," allows the Spurs to have their best season in the past decade.
Match Results: San Antonio Spurs
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 60;
- Home team wins - 28, away team wins - 32.
- Houston Rockets have won in 9 of last 10 home games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 107.25, for the away team - 108.3;
- average total points in H2H matches - 215.55.
Statistics: Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs
- average total in the tournament: 229.95 vs 230.88;
- average total points scored: 118.39 vs 118.51;
- average total points conceded: 111.57 vs 112.37;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 58.27 vs 61.1;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 58.66 vs 56.9;
- Houston Rockets: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 118.74;
- San Antonio Spurs: average total points scored away in the tournament - 117.3;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 106.8 (home - 107.8) vs 111.4 (away - 105.8).
- San Antonio Spurs have scored under 109.5 points in 7 of last 8 games against Houston Rockets (NBA).