Cleveland vs Oklahoma Prediction 19 January 2026
🔊 On Monday night, one of the marquee NBA matchups takes place in Cleveland, where the local Cavaliers face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The reigning champions continue to hold the top spot in the Western Conference and the entire league, but they enter this clash following an unexpected setback against Miami. Meanwhile, the hosts have surged into playoff contention for the first time this season thanks to their recent successes. Will they find a way to counter Daigneault's formidable squad? Let's analyze the matchup and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder:
- played 36 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 18 for today's home team and 18 for the guests;
- the home team averages 103.83 points per match, the guests - 104.33;
- average total match points - 208.17.
The last confrontation took place on 17 January 2025 at the venue of Oklahoma City Thunder and ended with a score of 134:114.
Head-to-head statistics Cleveland - Oklahoma

Cleveland Cavaliers Team Overview
The Cleveland Cavaliers show mixed results this season, winning 24 out of 43 games. Their last five matchups highlight their inconsistency, alternating between victories and losses: three wins and two defeats. The team averages around 120 points per game (4th in the league), but their defense struggles, allowing 117.4 points (21st rank).
One of the strong suits of last year's Eastern Conference regular-season champions is their decent three-point shooting efficiency (35.9%, 12th). This skill has been a key factor in their current form upswing. However, their recent away game against Philadelphia was a tough battle-Mitchell and company only edged out a win in the clutch (117-115).
Match Results: Cleveland Cavaliers

Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the standout team of the season, boasting 35 wins out of 43 games. They were riding an impressive four-game winning streak until they stumbled on the road against Miami on Saturday, narrowly losing 120-122. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up a remarkable 39 points, yet it wasn't enough to counter the Heat's inspired offense.
However, there's no cause for concern. Coach Daigneault's squad performs confidently on the court, thanks to their excellent ball movement and accurate long-range shooting (35.8%), regularly surpassing the 121-point mark per game (second in the league) while maintaining a top-ranked defense, allowing around 108 points. Nothing has changed-Thunder remain the leading contenders for the title.
Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- Number of encounters - 36;
- Home team wins - 18, away team wins - 18.
- Cleveland Cavaliers won with a +5.5 points handicap in 6 of last 7 home games (NBA).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 103.83, for the away team - 104.33;
- average total points in H2H matches - 208.17.
Statistics: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- average total in the tournament: 236.96 vs 227.84;
- average total points scored: 119.45 vs 119.65;
- average total points conceded: 117.51 vs 108.18;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 57.55 vs 59.88;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 61.68 vs 58.47;
- Cleveland Cavaliers: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 118.81;
- Oklahoma City Thunder: average total points scored away in the tournament - 118.71;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 121.5 (home - 122) vs 117.7 (away - 116.8).
- Under 232.5 points scored in 6 of last 7 Cleveland Cavaliers home games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).