Real Madrid vs Burgos Prediction 19 October 2025

    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    90
    80
    25
    16
    27
    22
    20
    26
    22
    12

    🔊 Can the hosts halt one of the league's most dynamic teams? In the 3rd round of the Spanish basketball championship, Real Madrid will face off against Burgos. The disparity in class is evident, and the visitors will try to make up for it with a high volume of attempts. However, the "royal" club possesses the experience to decipher and neutralize this strategy.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The last encounter between these opponents dates back to 2022. Real Madrid, playing away, secured a victory with a scoreline of 85-70. Burgos last triumphed over the "Blancos" in 2020.

    Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Burgos

    92%
    11 Wins
    8%
    1 Win
    12.04.26
    ACB
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    78
    94
    20
    25
    19
    18
    18
    23
    21
    28
    19.10.25
    ACB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    90
    80
    25
    20
    16
    26
    27
    22
    22
    12
    13.03.22
    Spagnola ACB
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    70
    85
    14
    22
    16
    19
    17
    22
    23
    22
    19.09.21
    Spagnola ACB
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    70
    63
    21
    18
    15
    16
    19
    18
    15
    11
    27.02.21
    Spagnola ACB
    Real Madrid BC
    Real Madrid BC
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    96
    81
    29
    13
    19
    19
    22
    22
    26
    27
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Real Madrid Team Overview

    So far, Real Madrid have secured just one victory at the start of the season, having taken care of Gran Canaria with an 81-71 win. In their second outing against Baskonia, their defense faltered significantly, resulting in a 100-105 loss. The coaching staff will undoubtedly look to implement strategies to bolster their performance near their own basket. This need is evident on the international stage as well, with a recent 75-90 defeat to Crvena Zvezda. When examining the roster, it's clear there are many players considered top-tier by continental standards. However, they tend to focus too heavily on the offensive side of the game. Some, like Sergio Llull, can no longer excel in multiple facets simultaneously. A rotation favoring more athletic and resilient players might be on the horizon.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    27.10.26
    ERL
    Saski Baskonia
    Saski Baskonia
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    86
    104
    19
    30
    27
    26
    23
    26
    17
    22
    W
    25.10.26
    ACB
    Caprabo Lleida
    Caprabo Lleida
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    86
    122
    21
    31
    19
    23
    23
    27
    23
    41
    W
    22.10.26
    ERL
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Maccabi Tel-Aviv
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    99
    113
    30
    23
    22
    28
    21
    30
    26
    32
    W
    18.10.26
    ACB
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Bilbao Basket
    Bilbao Basket
    119
    84
    36
    13
    26
    22
    27
    22
    30
    27
    W
    15.10.26
    ERL
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne
    111
    92
    27
    25
    34
    23
    16
    23
    34
    21
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    San Pablo Burgos Team Overview

    As for Burgos, the team also boasts a 50% win rate. They initially faced little resistance from Girona (97-79), but then suffered a disappointing defeat to Bilbao (85-95). It's become clear that the team is currently able to achieve their goals primarily through offense. Their defense lacks not only tactical or professional aspects but also the basic desire. It's evident that Burgos won't be able to outgun the "royal" club in a shootout. They need to focus on protecting their own basket. Despite the setback against the Basques in their last match, Argentine Corbalan stood out for Burgos with 20 points. Additionally, Panamanian Jackson made a solid contribution with 14 points and 6 rebounds. The Madrid club's defense will be particularly focused on these two, which doesn't bode well for the visitors' attacking prospects.

    Match Results: San Pablo Burgos

    24.10.26
    ACB
    Basquet Manresa
    Basquet Manresa
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    81
    99
    20
    34
    17
    18
    26
    29
    18
    18
    W
    21.10.26
    Eurocup
    Derthona Basket
    Derthona Basket
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    89
    79
    18
    25
    18
    20
    22
    17
    31
    17
    L
    17.10.26
    ACB
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    Obradoiro CAB
    Obradoiro CAB
    72
    79
    23
    25
    15
    21
    16
    20
    18
    13
    L
    14.10.26
    Eurocup
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    Hapoel Jerusalem
    Hapoel Jerusalem
    84
    85
    18
    24
    21
    22
    20
    24
    25
    15
    L
    11.10.26
    ACB
    Bilbao Basket
    Bilbao Basket
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    96
    87
    19
    20
    25
    25
    30
    25
    22
    17
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction for the 1st quarter

    1st Quarter Statistics: Real Madrid (home) vs San Pablo Burgos (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
    • wins: 1 (100%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (100%);
    • draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
    • average total points scored: 22 vs 25;
    • average total points conceded: 18 vs 27.

    Last 10 Matches (overall):

    • wins: 9 vs 9;
    • losses: 1 vs 1;
    • draws: 0 vs 0;
    • average 1st quarter total: 42.8 (scored - 23.8, conceded - 19) vs 41 (scored - 23, conceded - 18).
    Trends
    • Real Madrid won the 1st quarter in last 10 games against San Pablo Burgos (Liga ACB).
    • Real Madrid won the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 games.
    • Real Madrid won the 1st quarter in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga ACB).
    👉Prediction: 1st Quarter Real Madrid to Win(odds: 1.35)

    Prediction on the outcome

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs San Pablo Burgos

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • Number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 1 (50%);
    • Home team tournament wins on their court: 1;
    • Away team tournament wins on the road: 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Number of wins: 6 vs 9;
    • Number of losses: 4 vs 1;
    • Home team wins on their court: 5;
    • Away team wins on the road: 5.
    Trends
    • San Pablo Burgos won with a +15.5 points handicap in last 5 away games against Real Madrid (Liga ACB).
    👉Prediction: San Pablo Burgos Handicap (+15,5)(odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Statistics: Real Madrid vs San Pablo Burgos

    • average total in the tournament: 178.5 vs 178;
    • average total points scored: 90.5 vs 91;
    • average total points conceded: 88 vs 87;
    • average total points scored in the 1st half: 51 vs 42;
    • average total points scored in the 2nd half: 39.5 vs 49;
    • Real Madrid: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 81;
    • San Pablo Burgos: average total points scored away in the tournament - 85;
    • last 10 matches (average total points scored): 83.8 (home - 85.67) vs 86.4 (away - 81.83).
    Trends
    • Real Madrid have scored under 94.5 points in last 6 home games.
    👉Prediction: Real Madrid Total points Under (94,5)(odds: 1.91)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    It's clear that Real Madrid are the favorites in this matchup. Playing at home, they boast a stronger lineup and have immense motivation to bounce back from recent setbacks, which have been surprisingly frequent. The coaching staff will undoubtedly instruct their players to focus more on defense than they have in the early weeks of the season. Burgos will aim to play at a high tempo, but if their key players face tight marking, they'll only find good scoring opportunities through prolonged possessions-and even then, it's uncertain. As a result, the game could very well be low-scoring. Against this backdrop, our editorial team sees under 172.5 points as an excellent choice.

    Total points Under (172,5)
    Odds-110
    Published: 17/10/2025, 11:25

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos

    Real Madrid won the 1st quarter:
    real-madrid-bcsan-pablo-burgosin last 10 games against San Pablo Burgos (Basketball Spagnola ACB).
    real-madrid-bcin 9 of last 10 games.
    real-madrid-bcin 7 of last 8 home games (Basketball Spagnola ACB).
    1st Quarter Real Madrid to Win
    -286
    Real Madrid won the 1st half:
    real-madrid-bcsan-pablo-burgosin 8 of last 9 games against San Pablo Burgos (Basketball Spagnola ACB).
    real-madrid-bcin 8 of last 9 home games (Basketball Spagnola ACB).
    1st Half Real Madrid to Win
    -526
    San Pablo Burgos won the 1st quarter:
    san-pablo-burgosin 11 of last 12 games.
    san-pablo-burgosin 6 of last 7 away games.
    1st Quarter San Pablo Burgos to Win
    +278
    San Pablo Burgos have won:
    san-pablo-burgosin 13 of last 14 games.
    San Pablo Burgos Win (inc. OT)
    +630
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Burgos Table position

    Regular season Regular Season Standings
    MPWLForm
    1.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    34268
    2.
    Valencia Basket
    Valencia Basket
    34259
    3.
    Saski Baskonia
    Saski Baskonia
    34259
    12.
    Basquet Girona
    Basquet Girona
    341420
    13.
    San Pablo Burgos
    San Pablo Burgos
    341222
    14.
    Caprabo Lleida
    Caprabo Lleida
    341222