Южная Корея vs Iran Prediction 18 September 2026
🔊 South Korea and Iran are set to clash in the Asian Games semifinals. The hosts on paper are clear favourites, but Iran, despite lacking a bit of class, have shown they can deliver in attack. Expect a high-tempo encounter, with both sides likely to create plenty of offensive opportunities.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last head-to-head clash took place in 2023, with Iran coming out on top 89-82. Previous encounters are not relevant to the current context.
Head-to-head statistics Южная Корея - Iran
Republic of Korea Team Overview
South Korea are enjoying an impressive run through the tournament. They recently dismantled Jordan in a 114-80 rout, underlining their offensive prowess. There’s no doubt they’ll look to maximize their attacking potential again in the semi-finals. However, their commitment to a high-tempo game comes with its own set of risks. The opposition will inevitably get plenty of scoring opportunities as well. While Korea have shown they can defend effectively, the sheer volume of possessions could see them concede 80-plus points once more. The coaching staff seem comfortable with this scenario, especially given that their side consistently puts up close to 100 points per game.
Match Results: Republic of Korea
Iran Team Overview
Iran are a far more pragmatic side compared to South Korea. They average a total of 138.75 points per game, scoring 71.25 and conceding 67.5. However, when it comes to overall quality, Iran still trail behind their opponents. Containing South Korea’s offense will be a tough ask. As a result, Iran - as underdogs - are likely to look for ways to increase their offensive output and play at a higher tempo than usual. They'll need to adapt to the fast pace set by their rivals. It won’t always come off, but trying to slow the game down will be even more challenging than keeping up on the scoreboard.
Match Results: Iran
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 7;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 0; for the visitors on the road - 1;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 35.57;
- Today's home team averages 14.14, while the visitors average 21.43.
First Quarter Stats: Republic of Korea (home) vs Iran (away)
- Tournament matches played: 0 vs 0;
- Number of wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average points conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 1;
- Average first quarter total: 38.5 (scored - 21.3, conceded - 17.2) vs 30.6 (scored - 16.9, conceded - 13.7).
- Under 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 Iran games.
- Under 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 5 Iran games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 72.86, for the away team - 80.86;
- average total points in H2H matches - 153.71.
Statistics: Republic of Korea vs Iran
- average total in the tournament: 168.75 vs 138.75;
- average total points scored: 99.5 vs 71.25;
- average total points conceded: 69.25 vs 67.5;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 42.75 vs 32;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 56.75 vs 39.25;
- Republic of Korea: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 0;
- Iran: average total points scored away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 85.2 (home - 82) vs 70.4 (away - 67).
- Iran have scored over 70.5 points in 9 of last 10 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 7;
- number of wins for the home team - 1, for the away team - 6.
Statistics: Republic of Korea vs Iran
- number of tournament matches played: 3 vs 3;
- number of wins: 4 (100%) vs 3 (75%);
- number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (25%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 0;
- number of away wins for the away team: 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 6 vs 6;
- number of losses: 4 vs 4;
- number of home wins for the home team: 3;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
- Iran won with a +16.5 points handicap in last 7 games against Republic of Korea.
- Iran won with a +16.5 points handicap in 32 of last 33 games.
- Iran won with a +16.5 points handicap in last 10 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This semifinal promises an up-tempo, high-energy contest. South Korea are known for setting a fast pace, forcing their opponents to play at a higher intensity. Iran typically respond well to this style, having scored over 70.5 points in nine of their last ten tournament games. It's tough to gauge just how much the favored Korean side can put up against Iran's defense, but the underdogs have shown they can hit their individual over, given the line. We're backing Iran to score over 68.5 points.
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Betting Tips: Republic of Korea - Iran
in 9 of last 10 games (Asian Games - Men's Basketball).in last 6 games.in last 7 games against Republic of Korea.in last 7 games against Iran.
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