Umana Venezia vs Milano Prediction 18 June 2026
π Reyer Venezia host Olimpia Milano on their home court for Game 4 of the Serie A playoffs Italian Serie A showdown. In the previous matchup, the hosts managed to narrow the deficit in the series, giving themselves a real shot at forcing a decisive game back in Milan. Can they pull it off? Letβs break down what to expect from this clash and find the best betting option.
Head-to-Head
πStatistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Umana Venezia and Olimpia Milano:
- played 50 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 15 for today's home team and 35 for the guests;
- the home team averages 76.6 points per match, the guests - 82.94;
- average total match points - 159.54.
The last confrontation took place on 16 June 2026 at the venue of Umana Venezia and ended with a score of 109:97.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Umana Venezia Team Overview
Reyer Venezia have experienced mixed results over their last five games, picking up three wins and suffering two defeats. Their most recent outing in the finals series against Olimpia ended with a commanding 109-97 victory. On average, Reyer put up 84.8 points per game while conceding 89.2-numbers that highlight their tendency for high-scoring shootouts but also expose ongoing defensive issues.
At home, Venezia are slightly more effective offensively, averaging 88.9 points per contest. However, their defensive struggles persist-allowing 86.3 points per game on their own floor underscores the need to shore up their backcourt against elite opposition. In the aforementioned clash with Olimpia, those defensive frailties remained evident; the win was secured thanks to an explosive offensive display rather than a solid performance at the back.
Match Results: Umana Venezia
Olimpia Milano Team Overview
Olimpia Milan head into this clash riding a wave of momentum, having won four straight and dropping just one of their last five-making it eight victories in their previous ten outings. The team have been impressive at both ends of the floor, averaging 87.4 points per game this season while conceding just 80.3 points per contest across the campaign. Their defensive numbers have been particularly strong in recent weeks, with that average dropping to 80 points allowed even against tough opposition.
Milan consistently maintain a high tempo without sacrificing offensive efficiency. However, in Game 3 of the finals against Reyer, they clearly took their foot off the gas defensively, allowing a staggering 109 points-their highest total conceded in the playoffs so far. Will we see a strong response from this storied franchise in the upcoming battle?
Match Results: Olimpia Milano
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 50;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 7; for the visitors on the road - 13;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 40.74;
- Today's home team averages 18.88, while the visitors average 21.86.
First Quarter Stats: Umana Venezia (home) vs Olimpia Milano (away)
- Tournament matches played: 20 vs 18;
- Number of wins: 9 (45%) vs 8 (44.44%);
- Number of losses: 9 (45%) vs 9 (50%);
- Number of draws: 2 (10%) vs 1 (5.56%).
- Average points scored: 22.2 vs 20.67;
- Average points conceded: 23.1 vs 21.28.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 8;
- Number of losses: 8 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 44.1 (scored - 19.1, conceded - 25) vs 40.6 (scored - 22.2, conceded - 18.4).
- Umana Venezia lost the 1st quarter in 12 of last 13 games against Olimpia Milano.
- Umana Venezia lost the 1st quarter in last 7 games against Olimpia Milano (Seria A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 50;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 35.
Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Olimpia Milano
- number of tournament matches played: 28 vs 28;
- number of wins: 26 (63.41%) vs 28 (71.79%);
- number of losses: 15 (36.59%) vs 11 (28.21%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 14;
- number of away wins for the away team: 11.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 5 vs 8;
- number of losses: 5 vs 2;
- number of home wins for the home team: 4;
- number of away wins for the away team: 2.
- Olimpia Milano won with a +6.5 points handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Seria A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 76.6, for the away team - 82.94;
- average total points in H2H matches - 159.54.
Statistics: Umana Venezia vs Olimpia Milano
- average total in the tournament: 175.29 vs 167.79;
- average total points scored: 88.98 vs 87.46;
- average total points conceded: 86.32 vs 80.33;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 44.22 vs 45.56;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 44.49 vs 41.9;
- Umana Venezia: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 89.1;
- Olimpia Milano: average total points scored away in the tournament - 85.89;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 84.8 (home - 94.25) vs 89.7 (away - 87).
- Olimpia Milano have scored over 89.5 points in last 5 games against Umana Venezia (Seria A).
β Editorβs Prediction
We can expect a rather cautious game in terms of total points here. Reyer Venezia often struggle defensively at home, but their own scoring rarely exceeds 86-88 points when facing top opposition. Olimpia Milano are generally efficient on offense, but away from home theyβve surpassed the 90.5-point mark just once in their last seven outings-the rest have all finished below that line. Additionally, the under 175.5 has hit in six of Olimpiaβs last seven road games, and this trend is equally strong in Reyerβs home fixtures. Given these factors, a well-founded prediction would be to back under 177.5 total points.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Umana Venezia - Olimpia Milano
in 12 of last 13 games against Olimpia Milano.in last 7 games against Olimpia Milano (Seria A).in last 5 away games against Umana Venezia (Seria A).in 6 of last 7 away games.in 6 of last 7 games (Seria A).
Other predictions
