Samara vs BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Prediction 17 October 2026

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Key points

    πŸ€ In one of the VTB United League matchups, Samara are set to host Uralmash. This fixture pits one of the league’s weakest sides against a solid mid-table team, who have consistently come out on top in recent head-to-head clashes. Samara are mired in a deep crisis, still searching for their first win of the season, while the Yekaterinburg outfit arrive with renewed confidence after a tough run of games against top opposition. An upset here seems highly unlikely. The gap in quality and current form is just too wide, and bookmakers have long since identified a clear favourite.

    Head-to-Head

    πŸ“Š The clubs have faced each other 13 times in official matches. The hosts have claimed two victories, while the visitors have come out on top 11 times. Their most recent encounter took place on 15 April 2026 in Samara, where the home side suffered a heavy defeat, losing 74-99.

    Head-to-head statistics Samara - BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg

    15%
    2 Wins
    85%
    11 Wins
    15.04.26
    VTB
    Samara
    Samara
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    74
    99
    28
    30
    19
    18
    10
    29
    17
    22
    04.03.26
    VTB
    Samara
    Samara
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    69
    73
    19
    20
    15
    11
    19
    21
    16
    21
    18.01.26
    VTB
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    Samara
    Samara
    109
    46
    39
    13
    19
    13
    23
    11
    28
    9
    04.11.25
    VTB
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    Samara
    Samara
    79
    72
    23
    13
    19
    20
    16
    16
    21
    23
    12.02.25
    VTB
    Samara
    Samara
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    65
    85
    9
    23
    21
    20
    17
    18
    18
    24
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    Samara: Heavy Defeats and a Packed Injury List

    Samara head into this fixture on the back of four straight defeats, with the last two being particularly heavy losses: a 62-117 blowout against UNICS in Kazan and a 70-91 setback to Enisey in Krasnoyarsk. The Volga side are averaging just 71 points per game - one of the lowest marks in the league. In their latest outing against the Siberians, Samara collapsed after halftime, allowing their opponents to pull away with ease.

    The team continues to struggle both with personnel and on-court performance. The roster is predominantly Russian, featuring the likes of Chevarenko, Cheburkin, Petenev, Savrasov, and Minchenko. Head coach Pavicevic is attempting to build a system based on pace and teamwork, but so far, results have been underwhelming. Their offense remains inconsistent, while the defense has leaked far too many points - especially against more organized opposition.

    Match Results: Samara

    14.10.26
    VTB
    Enisey Krasnoyarsk
    Enisey Krasnoyarsk
    Samara
    Samara
    91
    70
    25
    20
    14
    16
    30
    14
    22
    20
    L
    07.10.26
    VTB
    Samara
    Samara
    Uniks Kazan
    Uniks Kazan
    62
    117
    15
    25
    14
    25
    21
    34
    12
    33
    L
    04.10.26
    VTB
    Samara
    Samara
    Dinamo Vladivostok
    Dinamo Vladivostok
    84
    98
    23
    34
    27
    20
    19
    26
    15
    18
    L
    26.09.26
    VTB
    Avtodor Saratov
    Avtodor Saratov
    Samara
    Samara
    77
    69
    7
    19
    24
    17
    27
    9
    19
    24
    L
    22.04.26
    VTB
    Mba Moscow
    Mba Moscow
    Samara
    Samara
    79
    61
    20
    22
    21
    14
    21
    16
    17
    9
    L
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    Uralmash are currently languishing near the bottom of the table, but they are expected to climb up soon.

    Uralmash aren’t exactly on a hot streak either-just one win and three losses so far. But there’s a key difference: the Yekaterinburg side have put up a fight in every defeat, falling to CSKA (85-90), UNICS (84-95), and Betcity Parma (71-86). Their lone victory came on the road against Avtodor in Saratov (80-75), where Douglas dropped 24 points and Efiani added 22.

    Uralmash look considerably more solid than Samara in terms of roster depth. Their rotation features Clemons, David, Volkhine, Popov, and Ellis. Dalton will miss out due to injury, but the bench is deep enough to cover his absence. Head coach Yudin relies on discipline, efficient three-point shooting, and strong rebounding. In recent head-to-heads with Samara, Uralmash have dominated almost unchallenged, so fans aren’t expecting any trouble this time around either.

    Match Results: BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg

    14.10.26
    VTB
    Uniks Kazan
    Uniks Kazan
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    95
    84
    24
    21
    22
    25
    32
    15
    17
    23
    L
    10.10.26
    VTB
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    Parma Perm
    Parma Perm
    71
    86
    17
    25
    27
    20
    17
    23
    10
    18
    L
    07.10.26
    VTB
    CSKA Moscow
    CSKA Moscow
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    90
    85
    14
    25
    34
    24
    21
    19
    21
    17
    L
    30.09.26
    VTB
    Avtodor Saratov
    Avtodor Saratov
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    75
    80
    19
    19
    18
    21
    20
    16
    18
    24
    W
    25.09.26
    VTB
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    Zenit Saint Petersburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    92
    68
    23
    24
    19
    14
    25
    13
    25
    17
    L
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    Total Points Prediction

    In head-to-head matchups, Samara average 70.8 points per game, while Uralmash put up 83. Over their last ten outings, Samara’s scoring dips slightly to 70.4 points per game (rising to 73.6 at home), whereas Uralmash average 74.9 (and reach as high as 77.6 on the road). It’s worth noting that Samara have failed to surpass the 74.5-point mark in seven consecutive VTB United League meetings against this opponent. With that in mind, we’re backing Samara’s individual total under 74.5 at odds of 1.60.

    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Uralmash hold the edge over Samara with their deeper rotation, superior fitness, and greater team chemistry. The hosts might keep things close in the opening half, fueled by home-court energy and crowd support, but over the full 40 minutes, the visitors’ dominance in the paint and defensive discipline are likely to prove decisive. While Uralmash aren’t in peak form themselves, they boast a strong head-to-head record, a healthier and more talented roster, and plenty of motivation to snap their losing streak. We’re backing the visitors to cover the -16 handicap.
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Handicap (-16)
    Odds-147
    Published: 16/10/2026, 14:15
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Alexander Mihalchenko
    Basketball expert
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    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Samara - BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg

    Samara have lost:
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarauralmashin last 11 games against BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain 26 of last 27 games (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain last 22 home games (VTB United League).
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Win (inc. OT)
    -1667
    Samara lost the 1st quarter:
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarauralmashin last 11 games against BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarauralmashin last 5 home games against BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain last 8 home games (VTB United League).
    1st Quarter BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg to Win
    -370
    Samara lost the 1st half:
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarauralmashin 10 of last 11 games against BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain last 9 home games (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain 6 of last 7 games (VTB United League).
    1st Half BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg to Win
    -1250
    Samara lost the 2nd half:
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarauralmashin last 4 home games against BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg (VTB United League).
    bc-krasnye-krylya-samarain last 5 games (VTB United League).
    2nd Half BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg to Win
    -455
    View more facts

    Samara - BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Table position

    Regular season First Stage
    MPWLForm
    6.
    Avtodor Saratov
    Avtodor Saratov
    523
    7.
    Enisey Krasnoyarsk
    Enisey Krasnoyarsk
    312
    8.
    Mba Moscow
    Mba Moscow
    312
    9.
    Dinamo Vladivostok
    Dinamo Vladivostok
    312
    10.
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg
    514
    11.
    Samara
    Samara
    404